UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Sign here... X_____________ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 4-6+ on euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 I'm liking our chances for 6-12" from the 11th through the 17th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 8 minutes ago, snywx said: I'm liking our chances for 6-12" from the 11th through the 17th Oh yea... every model I can pop up, shows any north of rockland with 10+ by next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 5 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Oh yea... every model I can pop up, shows any north of rockland with 10+ by next weekend Sounds like the euro ensembles are almost identical to the op. Fun times ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Just now, snywx said: Sounds like the euro ensembles are almost identical to the op. Fun times ahead Lemme give em a peak lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 I haven't seen the EPS that snowy in a long time... 21"+ over next 8 days on EPS followed by single digit lows/ and highs in the teens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Its still a ways out there but I'm betting no shorts required on this Christmas Eve LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said: Its still a ways out there but I'm betting no shorts required on this Christmas Eve LOL By 21 dec, Eps lays down 26" for our entire area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 12 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Its still a ways out there but I'm betting no shorts required on this Christmas Eve LOL We gotta get our +30F day in sometime during Christmas week. It's tradition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Overrunning patterns are always a good thing to see for us in the interior. We almost always cash in. Coastal patterns not so much unless we have huggers or inside the benchmark. Hopefully a sign of things to come and maybe we are seeing the pattern set up for the winter. Time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 9 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: We gotta get our +30F day in sometime during Christmas week. It's tradition. I still can't believe we were in the mid 70s last Christmas. Craziness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 6 minutes ago, snywx said: I still can't believe we were in the mid 70s last Christmas. Craziness and humid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 Finally a potentially exciting December. Just please be nice for the Dolphins/Jets game on the 17th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 13 minutes ago, snywx said: I still can't believe we were in the mid 70s last Christmas. Craziness Yup, I still have a hard time wrapping my mind around that. It seems like it's almost an annual thing, as well... +30F on Christmas 2015, +24F Christmas 2014, +24F Dec 22, 2013, +20F Dec 21, 2012, +20F December 22, 2011. A blowtorch on or around Christmas is almost inevitable at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEC Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Unbelievable right now. We got a fresh two inches in the past hour and it's still coming down heavily here in Hurleyville (halfway between Monticello and Liberty). WTF??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 8 minutes ago, SEC said: Unbelievable right now. We got a fresh two inches in the past hour and it's still coming down heavily here in Hurleyville (halfway between Monticello and Liberty). WTF??? That's a nice little squall on radar for down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 8 minutes ago, SEC said: Unbelievable right now. We got a fresh two inches in the past hour and it's still coming down heavily here in Hurleyville (halfway between Monticello and Liberty). WTF??? Interesting, looks like some rogue lake effect bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 light snow for about the last hour or so, very light coating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 The main storm thread is already approaching unreadable status with all the weenies and doomcasters. I think I'll just stay in this thread the rest of the winter, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 17 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: The main storm thread is already approaching unreadable status with all the weenies and doomcasters. I think I'll just stay in this thread the rest of the winter, lol. I personally think we're in great shape up here... ggem drops 3-5 Monday, washed away (maybe, doesn't rain long) followed by 6+ wed during daytime... 2 daytime early AM starts, id take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 9 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I personally think we're in great shape up here... ggem drops 3-5 Monday, washed away (maybe, doesn't rain long) followed by 6+ wed during daytime... 2 daytime early AM starts, id take it Yep, I like our chances. The odds of a warm cutter have probably gone up slightly, but we stand to do very well if the NAM and GFS are even a little bit over-amped (which would surprise no-one) . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 2 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Yep, I like our chances. The odds of a warm cutter have probably gone up slightly, but we stand to do very well if the NAM and GFS are even a little bit over-amped (which would surprise no-one) . The trolls are in full swing this year, that's for sure, I've learned from the past and ignore them completely and just carry on lol ( most of the time) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 49 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I personally think we're in great shape up here... ggem drops 3-5 Monday, washed away (maybe, doesn't rain long) followed by 6+ wed during daytime... 2 daytime early AM starts, id take it We are in a complete different position than the coast. These SWFE setups always favor us over the coast. Hopefully we continue to cash in.. Interior winter! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Just now, snywx said: We are in a complete different position than the coast is. These SWFE setups always favor us over the coast. Hopefully we continue to cash in.. Interior winter! lol How many times have these set-ups surprised with a big front end dump, mix line at 84, then back end snow/sleet to taper off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 I remember when we decided to create a separate thread from the main thread. Its amazing how different our climate really is from the coast in such a short distance. Everyone up here has a long term snowfall average 50-75% more than NYC/LI. Some of those kids are soo damn spoiled from the last few yrs its comical to read. Climo always wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 8 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: How many times have these set-ups surprised with a big front end dump, mix line at 84, then back end snow/sleet to taper off CAD is almost always under modeled and holds on tough. Snow-ip/zr is usually how these go. Maybe some of us reach 33-34 but its the same song over and over again. Watch the mesos as we get inside 36 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 1 minute ago, snywx said: CAD is almost always under modeled and holds on tough. Snow-ip/zr is usually how these go. Maybe some of us reach 33-34 but its the same song over and over again. Watch the mesos as we get inside 36 hrs. You see NWS discussion... no credence being given to Nam o GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: You see NWS discussion... no credence being given to Nam o GFS If anything I prefer these type of events over fluff. Im a snowpack guy and these usually provide 6-8" with some ip/zr at the end. With that recipe that snowpack isn't going anywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 2 minutes ago, snywx said: If anything I prefer these type of events over fluff. Im a snowpack guy and these usually provide 6-8" with some ip/zr at the end. With that recipe that snowpack isn't going anywhere NWS think cold damning takes place, and a mix line lingers somewhere just north of NYC or at NYC... exactly what we were just talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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