Animal Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 1 hour ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Sooooo... how about that 7 day GFS total lmao That is like 10-12 inches at my house. Holy smokes! Wow factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 1 hour ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Sooooo... how about that 7 day GFS total lmao That's an old school gradient right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 3 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: That's an old school gradient right there I was literally just about to post this! Great minds think alike. That gradient is what I was used to seeing growing up. Then the fringing began. Old school winter ftw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 i posted in the main thread on how the factors coming up are classic for a Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 0z NAM still a big hit.. 1-2" for the 1st wave, 4"+ for the 2nd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Just now, snywx said: 0z NAM still a big hit.. 1-2" for the 1st wave, 4"+ for the 2nd Then there's the Thursday storm that's not even in the GFS range yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 6 hours ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Sooooo... how about that 7 day GFS total lmao Check out 0z GFS for the same time frame.. Gonna be a wild week thats for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 41 minutes ago, snywx said: Check out 0z GFS for the same time frame.. Gonna be a wild week thats for sure It's getting pretty clear, GGEM is close to same solution but cuts LP in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 17 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: It's getting pretty clear, GGEM is close to same solution but cuts LP in Im liking 1-2" for our area tomorrow night, 2-4" for Tuesday event. The way things look right now every single one of us will surpass last yrs snow totals by 12/15 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 7 minutes ago, snywx said: Im liking 1-2" for our area tomorrow night, 2-4" for Tuesday event. The way things look right now every single one of us will surpass last yrs snow totals by 12/15 lol. Wed/Thur is interesting to me too, we could have 6+ on ground cumulative by Friday AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 12z nams juicy for both waves i have concerns regarding the first wave, the air will be plenty cold, but dry as well, with heavier precip not expected till near tail end, I fear totals will be cut via virga, we see it all the time 2mt dew points are progged to be low 20s at start of event, and don't climb much until heavier precip rolls in, by which time were nearly over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 12z NAM.. Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 12z RGEM is a solid 2-3" for most in here for tonight into tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Ggem is 3-5" for both waves total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Srefs are 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Euro juiced up for second wave, in Line with most guidance 2-5" Monday-Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
denvillenj Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 1 hour ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Euro juiced up for second wave, in Line with most guidance 2-5" Monday-Wednesday Maybe your latitude will help this year.....hoping for solid coating of snow down here in Denville NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 5 minutes ago, denvillenj said: Maybe your latitude will help this year.....hoping for solid coating of snow down here in Denville NJ I hope so, despite my Lat, my elevation still sucks, so time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Nam remains 2-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 EPS mean tells me I shouldn't start packing stuff in till next week. quite bullish for the next few days. 3" down into MMU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 7 minutes ago, UnionWX said: EPS mean tells me I shouldn't start packing stuff in till next week. quite bullish for the next few days. 3" down into MMU. If you look at the 96 hour EPS ensembles, an overwhelming number of members give us 4-7" between Monday and Thursday, 3 separate events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 I found the HRRR did very well for me last year. As per your post it's giving my area around an inch at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 16 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: I found the HRRR did very well for me last year. As per your post it's giving my area around an inch at best. HRRR nailed the first event, especially for places that over performed like animal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 51 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: HRRR nailed the first event, especially for places that over performed like animal Exactly, it's usually really accurate in terms of elevation based snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 Nams gonna hit area hard with second wave, southern burbs do better I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 00z Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 Some white stuff falling , 33.3 and sticking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEC Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 One inch on the ground now here in Hurleyville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 I'm at about one inch already, radar seems to be showing one last burst with a bit of redevelopment on the back side before it ends so will get a bit more. Schools are delayed which is nice. Temp is right at 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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