JerseyWx Posted October 22, 2016 Share Posted October 22, 2016 8 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Most of my leaves are now down already. So far a lot of stuff is holding on here, but I still think this will put a dent in it. Our Dogwoods are getting stripped bare, but with those the leaves dried out very early on in September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 22, 2016 Share Posted October 22, 2016 1 minute ago, JerseyWx said: So far a lot of stuff is holding on, but I still think this will put a dent in it. My dogwoods are getting stripped bare, but the leaves dried out very early on in September. It was just a quick drop after peak this year thanks to the drought around here and that was before the rain this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 22, 2016 Share Posted October 22, 2016 10 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: It was just a quick drop after peak this year thanks to the drought around here and that was before the rain this morning. Yeah, that's the problem with drought foliage. Like others have said, you get good color, but it's gone just like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 22, 2016 Share Posted October 22, 2016 28 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Most of my leaves are now down already. Yeah same here. Not much left on the trees 41.4° w/ lgt rain 0.65" so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted October 22, 2016 Share Posted October 22, 2016 38 here in Liberty NY, hoping for a flake. In central Deleware county just north of here, solid dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 22, 2016 Share Posted October 22, 2016 41° w/ lgt rain here.. 0.71" so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted October 22, 2016 Share Posted October 22, 2016 1 hour ago, snywx said: 41° w/ lgt rain here.. 0.71" so far 38.9F on the ridge line. Storm total -0.62 Raw/cold day - dogs did not want to go out much. Today - 0.51 - found a small leaf in my davis this am. don't feel it impacted it much. Last night - 0.11 **Yard is a disaster. 2-4 inches of leaf is spots. lmao. Need it to dry out and will blow it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 What a nice day today turned out to be. Went for a 2 hour hike, the leaves are dense and slick and the amount of branches and even full (rotted) trees that are down is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 23, 2016 Share Posted October 23, 2016 I used the wind to my advantage and got the bulk of my leaves cleaned up late this morning. I'll have one more cut and light clean up but the worst is past. I don't recal ever having it all go so fast in a weeks time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 Idk if anyone saw GFS, but many of us could see our first snow this week, bullish run with 1-2"+ wide spread depending on how far north/west you are edit: 06 GFS brings 3-5+ for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 06z GFS below.. CAD has been getting impressive with each run. WAA snows usually come in like a wall and start earlier than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 Albany already put out snow forcast map for those above OC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 GFS backed off totals a tad, in line with euro for a general 2-3" front end, for most north of 84, dusting to 2" around the 84 area, 4-6" higher elevations in Sullivan etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 1 hour ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: GFS backed off totals a tad, in line with euro for a general 2-3" front end, for most north of 84, dusting to 2" around the 84 area, 4-6" higher elevations in Sullivan etc Thicknesses strike me as too high for any real accumulations (except far to the north and at high elevations)... strong WAA into a marginally cold October airmass just doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. I'm not sure what's up with the Tidbits and Wxbell snow maps, but they seem a little outlandish given the progged temps and QPF. Best-case scenario imby is probably a few minutes of slushy car tops, but even that's optimistic IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 11 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Thicknesses strike me as too high for any real accumulations (except far to the north and at high elevations)... strong WAA into a marginally cold October airmass just doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. I'm not sure what's up with the Tidbits and Wxbell snow maps, but they seem a little outlandish given the progged temps and QPF. Best-case scenario imby is probably a few minutes of slushy car tops, but even that's optimistic IMO. Agreed, I'm banking on white rain IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 Elevation is gonna be key to see any accumulation. Areas just to my west on the Shawangunk Ridge 1000'+ prob will see 1-3". I do think its safe to say most in our area will see the first flakes of the season early thursday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 5 minutes ago, snywx said: Elevation is gonna be key to see any accumulation. Areas just to my west on the Shawangunk Ridge 1000'+ prob will see 1-3". I do think its safe to say most in our area will see the first flakes of the season early thursday morning Elevation is at 125' IMBY. Don't expect anything here but PL. If I get a mix, I will take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 On 10/22/2016 at 8:30 AM, IrishRob17 said: It's a regular problem for me and I obviously can't spray the Davis with bug spray. I have sprayed the pole though and wrapped duck tape around the pole , sticky side out, but if it worked it was only short term. Checked mine today. No webs here. Guess I'm lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 25, 2016 Share Posted October 25, 2016 Albany took snow out of my forecast, winter cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 One of the very few SR models I trust is showing 1-2" for parts of Sussex, Orange, Sullivan counties and even a coating down toward Rockland. 18z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 5 minutes ago, snywx said: One of the very few SR models I trust is showing 1-2" for parts of Sussex, Orange, Sullivan counties and even a coating down toward Rockland. 18z RGEM Is there a possible start time. would be epic to get an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 3 minutes ago, Animal said: Is there a possible start time. would be epic to get an inch. If we can get precip in here by 12z we should be able to get some white gold. Timing is everything in October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEC Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Lee Goldberg (Channel 7) is forecasting 3" for the Monticello (Catskills) area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 7 minutes ago, SEC said: Lee Goldberg (Channel 7) is forecasting 3" for the Monticello (Catskills) area. 2-4" is a good call for MSV. Earlier start time and elevation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 GFS/nam still like 1-2" with 3-6 in parts of Sullivan... I doubt those totals IMO, it it's something to watch if timing speeds up a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 27 for the low, coldest of the season thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 31 here for the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 Mt Holly nws seems unimpressed with the event overnight and Thursday morning. Mentions mostly rain, possible brief period of snow sleet to rain. hopefully they are wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 26, 2016 Share Posted October 26, 2016 The mid levels are pretty thoroughly torched on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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