White Gorilla Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Feeling disappointed with this event though the snow was nice, even if very little and now melting away. Hoping January can deliver for us.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 2:39 PM, White Gorilla said: Feeling disappointed with this event though the snow was nice, even if very little and now melting away. Hoping January can deliver for us. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Expand How much did you end up with? I'm honestly not even sure what the forecasting lesson here was. It just did not want to snow meaningfully before the changeover. It seems like there was a general .25" to .5" of liquid in this storm, which is drier than most guidance I looked at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 3:03 PM, Juliancolton said: How much did you end up with? I'm honestly not even sure what the forecasting lesson here was. It just did not want to snow meaningfully before the changeover. It seems like there was a general .25" to .5" of liquid in this storm, which is drier than most guidance I looked at. Expand Forecasting lesson. Meteorology over modelology. The setup was not conducive for snow, as many on here, including myself, said. You cant have both a system cutting to the west and a high offshore drifting east. It creates a southerly flow with NO mechanism to lock in the cold air, even north and west. Sometimes it's about pattern recognition and not following weenie snow maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 3:35 PM, psv88 said: Forecasting lesson. Meteorology over modelology. The setup was not conducive for snow, as many on here, including myself, said. You cant have both a system cutting to the west and a high offshore drifting east. It creates a southerly flow with NO mechanism to lock in the cold air, even north and west. Sometimes it's about pattern recognition and not following weenie snow maps. Expand Well, no... most places in the interior verified their snowfall forecasts, as far as I can tell. I'm speaking specifically about central Dutchess which busted pretty bigly. I'm surrounded by significantly higher totals to my S, W, and N. Plenty of folks were beating the "pattern recognition" drum to insist that nobody, even in the far interior, would see accumulating snows, but 3-5" totals proved pretty common. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 3:03 PM, Juliancolton said: How much did you end up with? I'm honestly not even sure what the forecasting lesson here was. It just did not want to snow meaningfully before the changeover. It seems like there was a general .25" to .5" of liquid in this storm, which is drier than most guidance I looked at.I think between 1-2 inches. Elevation mattered. I live in the town of Poughkeepsie near the Pleasant Valley border. Central Dutchess has been the screw zone for far too long and our low elevation relative to surroundings doesn't help. We are either too east, west, south or north in almost every system with few exceptions going back.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 3:38 PM, Juliancolton said: Well, no... most places in the interior verified their snowfall forecasts, as far as I can tell. I'm speaking specifically about central Dutchess which busted pretty bigly. I'm surrounded by significantly higher totals to my S, W, and N. Expand Was gonna say, I received my forecasted totals, despite others suggesting little to none Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 3:45 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Was gonna say, I received my forecasted totals, despite others suggesting little to none Expand I'm gonna need to see pics of all this "snow" you guys supposedly received. It can't snow with a low to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 3:46 PM, Juliancolton said: I'm gonna need to see pics of all this "snow" you guys supposedly received. It can't snow with a low to the west. Expand For some reason you can't make out the shuwangunk ridgeline, kinda that darkening sloping figure behind trees to the right, drive up this morning, easily 8" up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Must be Photoshopped. This was a DOA rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 3:48 PM, Juliancolton said: Must be Photoshopped. This was a DOA rainstorm. Expand Lmao, atleast someone can't accuse it of being an old photo..the most snow I ever received in a single storm living up here so far is last nights... before that... 1.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 3:45 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Was gonna say, I received my forecasted totals, despite others suggesting little to none Expand My total of 3.7" was right in the range that Upton forecasted as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Don't look now, but the RGEM likes a quick inch or two tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 3:55 PM, Juliancolton said: Don't look now, but the RGEM likes a quick inch or two tomorrow night. Expand Too late, I already saw it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 3:55 PM, Juliancolton said: Don't look now, but the RGEM likes a quick inch or two tomorrow night. Expand Oh good .....I need sleep bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 GFS has that band now too, not as enhanced as RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Nam/GFS/RGEM coating to 2" tomorrow evening/night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 3:58 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Oh good .....I need sleep bad Expand Maybe cause I'm older <shut up BxEngine> or don't have the bug as much but it needs to be something special for me to lose sleep these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 4:16 PM, IrishRob17 said: Maybe cause I'm older <shut up BxEngine> or don't have the bug as much but it needs to be something special for me to lose sleep these days. Expand Yea idk, I think early season does it, and the fact I've seen less than 10" in over 2 years total... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 GFS crushing Sullivan county again by this weekend, we see another 2-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 4:19 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Yea idk, I think early season does it, and the fact I've seen less than 10" in over 2 years total... Expand They plowed my driveway this morning for the first time in close to two years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 4:22 PM, IrishRob17 said: They plowed my driveway this morning for the first time in close to two years. Expand Is 8-12" with temps in the teens that much to ask.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 4:23 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Is 8-12" with temps in the teens that much to ask.... Expand I learned a while ago that those requests often go unanswered so I learned to take what I can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 4:23 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Is 8-12" with temps in the teens that much to ask.... Expand Be careful what you wish for. You'll end up with 8.2" of sawdust at 15F while western CT gets buried under yards and yards. I'm not still bitter about Nemo, why do you ask... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 12:11 PM, IrishRob17 said: Total: 3.7" of snow Expand Same here.. 3.7" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 4:27 PM, Juliancolton said: Be careful what you wish for. You'll end up with 8.2" of sawdust at 15F while western CT gets buried under yards and yards. I'm not still bitter about Nemo, why do you ask... Expand What could a little cute cartoon fish do to you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 4:35 PM, IrishRob17 said: What could a little cute fish do to you? Expand That confounded "lucky fin" of his really grinds my gears! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 3:35 PM, psv88 said: Forecasting lesson. Meteorology over modelology. The setup was not conducive for snow, as many on here, including myself, said. You cant have both a system cutting to the west and a high offshore drifting east. It creates a southerly flow with NO mechanism to lock in the cold air, even north and west. Sometimes it's about pattern recognition and not following weenie snow maps. Expand We verified here on this side of the river. 3-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 GFS has fantasy land nor'easter next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 4:03 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Nam/GFS/RGEM coating to 2" tomorrow evening/night Expand can't that come south just a tad please!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 4:42 PM, allgame830 said: can't that come south just a tad please!! Expand No! lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.