WEATHERBUFF Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, CIK62 said: NYNJPA waved the white flag and gave up on the remainder of the winter. A wrong way SSW does us in. It depends on location...coastal sections may be in trouble because we will get nina climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 11 minutes ago, CIK62 said: NYNJPA waved the white flag and gave up on the remainder of the winter. A wrong way SSW does us in. Where did he say this?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 28 minutes ago, snow1 said: Where did he say this?? On the paysite. Probably will go public tomorrow AM. CPC output has caved too. Tomorrow we will see what they have to say, since meteorologists there lick their wounds on weekends or party for 48hrs. if they get it right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 I just re - discovered the vendor thread so we can get all the conversations about what the paid vendors are talking about out of the main threads ………….lets see how many can follow directions around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 16, 2018 Author Share Posted February 16, 2018 1 hour ago, NEG NAO said: I just re - discovered the vendor thread so we can get all the conversations about what the paid vendors are talking about out of the main threads ………….lets see how many can follow directions around here Lol good luck 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 DT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 JB, never one to admit he is wrong, is now talking about March as he was about Feb. Rekindling the ghost of Ash Wed. NE of '62 and some strong 1984 event. He just skips by the warmest Feb. ever. If he blows it, I am certain he will merely move on to his hurricane forecast or something about putative global warming theories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 9 hours ago, snywx said: DT this is upside down compared to the 12Z NAM and 12Z ICON which has all the heavier amounts in southern NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 1 hour ago, CIK62 said: JB, never one to admit he is wrong, is now talking about March as he was about Feb. Rekindling the ghost of Ash Wed. NE of '62 and some strong 1984 event. He just skips by the warmest Feb. ever. If he blows it, I am certain he will merely move on to his hurricane forecast or something about putative global warming theories. February to forget for sure. MJO got stuck in 7 and that sunk us. March might have a big storm but not seeing much in the way of cold air-need BN given the quickly rising norms after 3/6 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 Steve D big change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Steve D big change Not gonna pan out that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 18 minutes ago, The Plowsman said: 6 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Steve D big change Not gonna pan out that way He's not too different from NWS really, he is justa little too far north with the1-3 area. Bring it down to a little south of 95 and he'd be in line with them. He could very well be right though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 17, 2018 Author Share Posted February 17, 2018 5 hours ago, The Plowsman said: 11 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Steve D big change Not gonna pan out that way Why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 For Nassau/Suffolk, TWC has practically 0 for LI other than <1 in northern third of Nassau, with a sliver of 1-3 right along the north shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 5 hours ago, Rjay said: Why Because people think that they can’t will the weather to their needs and wants? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 1 hour ago, coastalplainsnowman said: For Nassau/Suffolk, TWC has practically 0 for LI other than <1 in northern third of Nassau, with a sliver of 1-3 right along the north shore. Way way way out to lunch for the north shore. Their map makes no sense. They have the cape and islands in the heavier snow. I don’t think there has ever been a storm where the cape and islands had more snow then the north shore of Long Island in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 2 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Way way way out to lunch for the north shore. Their map makes no sense. They have the cape and islands in the heavier snow. I don’t think there has ever been a storm where the cape and islands had more snow then the north shore of Long Island in this setup. TWC looks to go on the GFS output which as we know is the warmest of any model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 20 minutes ago, jm1220 said: TWC looks to go on the GFS output which as we know is the warmest of any model. Indeed, 1-3 for NYC. They are professionals too. They have as much claim as the others. So I don't know what to expect in reality. If its 3 inches for the city then everyone is right. Though they are still saying 4-7 on WNYC today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBlitzkrieg Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Upton with 6-8 and TWC with 0. i'm expecting 3-5 here, id' be happy with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 One thing about Steve D when he picks out an idea, he seems to look for anything to back that up NY NJ PA WeatherVerified account @nynjpaweather 10m10 minutes ago More I am watching the speed of this storm and I'm starting to wonder if the precipitation comes in so fast that the atmosphere doesn't have time to cool. Boy would that cut down snow fall totals! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 35 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: One thing about Steve D when he picks out an idea, he seems to look for anything to back that up NY NJ PA WeatherVerified account @nynjpaweather 10m10 minutes ago More I am watching the speed of this storm and I'm starting to wonder if the precipitation comes in so fast that the atmosphere doesn't have time to cool. Boy would that cut down snow fall totals! Grasping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 17, 2018 Author Share Posted February 17, 2018 13 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Grasping. Pretty much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 2 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: One thing about Steve D when he picks out an idea, he seems to look for anything to back that up NY NJ PA WeatherVerified account @nynjpaweather 10m10 minutes ago More I am watching the speed of this storm and I'm starting to wonder if the precipitation comes in so fast that the atmosphere doesn't have time to cool. Boy would that cut down snow fall totals! This guys supposed to be a pro? This is one of the most idiotic comments I have ever read. And that says allot around here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: This guys supposed to be a pro? This is one of the most idiotic comments I have ever read. And that says allot around here. Agreed, its amazing what some meteorologists will do to support their forecast. One of the dumbest things I have ever heard. I follow him on twitter but sometimes he says some outlandish things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 22 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: This guys supposed to be a pro? This is one of the most idiotic comments I have ever read. And that says allot around here. you can't trust him anymore because when he made his video canceling winter the rest of the way he backed himself into a corner - also I can't understand why anyone would pay money for his forecasts and insight when there are so many free and better forecasters out there...………... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 14 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: you can't trust him anymore because when he made his video canceling winter the rest of the way he backed himself into a corner - also I can't understand why anyone would pay money for his forecasts and insight when there are so many free and better forecasters out there...………... Considering he has a few other jobs I'm guessing not many do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 51 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: you can't trust him anymore because when he made his video canceling winter the rest of the way he backed himself into a corner - also I can't understand why anyone would pay money for his forecasts and insight when there are so many free and better forecasters out there...………... He seems to have trouble with these marginal snow vs rain systems...going the warmer way more often than not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 JB still has all his eggs in the basket of the 'Ash Wed. analog 1962' to our setup in early March. SDiM is not on board with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 2 hours ago, CIK62 said: JB still has all his eggs in the basket of the 'Ash Wed. analog 1962' to our setup in early March. SDiM is not on board with this. he's always got something big in the hopper.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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