Mophstymeo Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 FWIW, TWC lowered my totals from 8-12 to 5-8. They obviously see something they don't like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 8 hours ago, doncat said: Don't recall seeing one of our favorite tv mets mentioned here much this winter but here is Nick's forecast: I'm on the eastern edge of the 9-14 right there ;-) Ch 7 ABC has a similar 10-14" with me also on the eastern edge of the highest totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 hours ago, Mophstymeo said: FWIW, TWC lowered my totals from 8-12 to 5-8. They obviously see something they don't like. Whenever I tune in to TWC I see something I don't like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 I hate bashing Steve D but he's saying his 4-8 localized 12 was spot on for the city. Maybe some areas didn't make 8 but wasn't the average across the 5 boros more like 9-13"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I hate bashing Steve D but he's saying his 4-8 localized 12 was spot on for the city. Maybe some areas didn't make 8 but wasn't the average across the 5 boros more like 9-13"? He also overplayed the warm ground, colder surfaces only angle...as did others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 13 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I hate bashing Steve D but he's saying his 4-8 localized 12 was spot on for the city. Maybe some areas didn't make 8 but wasn't the average across the 5 boros more like 9-13"? That dude is a disaster. I hope meteorology isn't his full time job 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 1 hour ago, doncat said: He also overplayed the warm ground, colder surfaces only angle...as did others. Yes so many were laughing that the city would never get anywhere near their forecast numbers for that reason. Areas that underperformed got skunked more than anything, not because of temps. Unless we're going to start adding astericks to measurements that a foot is only a foot if it a foot accumulates on the pavement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 11:54 PM, Mophstymeo said: FWIW, TWC lowered my totals from 8-12 to 5-8. They obviously see something they don't like. THey should have stuck with their initial call. Weather channel is kinda whack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Amy Freeze said the city would get 1-3 inch total snowfall at her 8:20 am update this morning. Central Park reported 4.8 inches at 8am this morning. Sometimes they are so clueless you just shake your head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 9 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Amy Freeze said the city would get 1-3 inch total snowfall at her 8:20 am update this morning. Central Park reported 4.8 inches at 8am this morning. Sometimes they are so clueless you just shake your head. She’s a bumbling moron. And I hate talking that negatively about somone. But she’s really that bad. Lee is the best in the business and Jeff smith is also top notch. Bill Evans is meh in my opinion. He’s got a good screen presence for the general public. Amy has none of the other three’s qualities which makes me really wonder how she’s lasted so long. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 8:13 PM, LongBeachSurfFreak said: She’s a bumbling moron. And I hate talking that negatively about somone. But she’s really that bad. Lee is the best in the business and Jeff smith is also top notch. Bill Evans is meh in my opinion. He’s got a good screen presence for the general public. Amy has none of the other three’s qualities which makes me really wonder how she’s lasted so long. ..agree WABC7 has the 2 best OMC's..Jeff Smith/Lee Goldberg..and 1 of the worst in A. F. speaking of Lee..he spoke of an "abrupt pattern change to much warmer weather after April 12-13". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 8 hours ago, tim said: ..agree WABC7 has the 2 best OMC's..Jeff Smith/Lee Goldberg..and 1 of the worst in A. F. speaking of Lee..he spoke of an "abrupt pattern change to much warmer weather after April 12-13". Yeah after 2-4 or 3-6 inches of snow all day Saturday and another possible snow event Tuesday-Wednesday! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 13 hours ago, tim said: ..agree WABC7 has the 2 best OMC's..Jeff Smith/Lee Goldberg..and 1 of the worst in A. F. speaking of Lee..he spoke of an "abrupt pattern change to much warmer weather after April 12-13". That big change in the pattern has been showing up on the ensembles for several days now. IMO, it's real. Whether or not it holds or is temporarily reversed as April concludes remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: That big change in the pattern has been showing up on the ensembles for several days now. IMO, it's real. Whether or not it holds or is temporarily reversed as April concludes remains to be seen. Don even with the April we have going even if we have a temporary reversal at the end of the month it would be hard to believe that we'd get any more snow (measurable or otherwise) or even freezing temps near the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 6, 2018 Share Posted April 6, 2018 18 hours ago, Paragon said: Don even with the April we have going even if we have a temporary reversal at the end of the month it would be hard to believe that we'd get any more snow (measurable or otherwise) or even freezing temps near the end of the month. I agree. The odds would be very much against snowfall, much less any accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 On 4/6/2018 at 6:29 AM, donsutherland1 said: I agree. The odds would be very much against snowfall, much less any accumulation. Even with the cool down coming for next week, I think we might be done with freezing temps. This morning might have been our last freeze here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 10 hours ago, Paragon said: Even with the cool down coming for next week, I think we might be done with freezing temps. This morning might have been our last freeze here. I would not rule out areas that radiate better. The City and adjacent suburbs have be likely had their last freeze of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 15, 2018 Share Posted April 15, 2018 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 While he didn't get to in depth on the discussion in his weekly newsletter it seems like Larry Cosgrove is leaning towards a hotter summer for our area with plenty of thunderstorm chances especially from 40 N Lat and above. Also a sooner start and end to the tropical season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 Larry Cosgrove has an interesting weekly newsletter yesterday. In his medium range outlook (days 4-10) he stated that areas from ND/MI/IL and through PA/NJ/DE/MD could be in line for potential MCS/Derecho development. He also mentioned this in his extended range (days 11-15) outlook as well. He mentioned we could be in the "Ring of Fire" which would obviously increase the potential for MCS/Derecho's moving through our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 2 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Larry Cosgrove has an interesting weekly newsletter yesterday. In his medium range outlook (days 4-10) he stated that areas from ND/MI/IL and through PA/NJ/DE/MD could be in line for potential MCS/Derecho development. He also mentioned this in his extended range (days 11-15) outlook as well. He mentioned we could be in the "Ring of Fire" which would obviously increase the potential for MCS/Derecho's moving through our region. Makes sense with the heat dome in the middle/inter-mountain west section of the US. Mid-Atlantic may once again get the brunt of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Makes sense with the heat dome in the middle/inter-mountain west section of the US. Mid-Atlantic may once again get the brunt of it. I should point out he also mentioned that over time that favored area could possibly shift a little bit further north. But any which way you slice it there is the potential for MCS/Derecho activity for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 5, 2018 Share Posted July 5, 2018 Amy Freeze is the worst weather person I've ever seen on tv. So many mistakes that it's mind-boggling. Today she keeps talking about how saturday is going to be a beautiful sunny day with low humidity, yet every time the 7 day forecast is put up it has a thunderstorm posted for saturday. She is so dumb that she keeps missing that miatake. And I've seen this type of mistake happen so many times with her. She is a complete and utter joke. What a difference from the high quality forecasts from Lee Goldberg and Jeff Smith. I wonder if someone on channel 7 will finally catch the mistake and take that thunderstorm off of saturday the next time they show the 7 day forecast. This is a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 5, 2018 Share Posted July 5, 2018 1 hour ago, winterwx21 said: Amy Freeze is the worst weather person I've ever seen on tv. So many mistakes that it's mind-boggling. Today she keeps talking about how saturday is going to be a beautiful sunny day with low humidity, yet every time the 7 day forecast is put up it has a thunderstorm posted for saturday. She is so dumb that she keeps missing that miatake. And I've seen this type of mistake happen so many times with her. She is a complete and utter joke. What a difference from the high quality forecasts from Lee Goldberg and Jeff Smith. I wonder if someone on channel 7 will finally catch the mistake and take that thunderstorm off of saturday the next time they show the 7 day forecast. This is a joke. Lee tweeted the correct 7 day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 26, 2018 Share Posted August 26, 2018 Interesting snippet from Larry Cosgroves Weather America weekly newsletter last night. "October looks extremely interesting for weather in North America" Looks like he will be discussing that further in some upcoming newsletters. Maybe a stormy October is on the way?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 26, 2018 Share Posted August 26, 2018 DT (Wxrisk) has posted an early winter preview video for the upcoming 2018-19 winter season. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p6fT7Ge7mWE&feature=youtu.be 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 7, 2018 Share Posted October 7, 2018 Interesting discussion from Larry Cosgroves weekly newsletter last night in the longer term outlook. Not set in stone obviously but basically thinking milder temps from November 7 thru December 26 then a fairly cold and stormy January thru March. Winter could be close to 2009-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 On 10/7/2018 at 10:41 AM, Rtd208 said: Interesting discussion from Larry Cosgroves weekly newsletter last night in the longer term outlook. Not set in stone obviously but basically thinking milder temps from November 7 thru December 26 then a fairly cold and stormy January thru March. Winter could be close to 2009-10. That’s exactly what I’m thinking. It’s going to be winter cancel and then kaaaaaaa boom 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 Here is another "early" winter weather forecast: https://www.weatherconcierge.com/the-weather-concierge-winter-forecast-of-2018-19/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 On 10/9/2018 at 3:14 PM, LongBeachSurfFreak said: That’s exactly what I’m thinking. It’s going to be winter cancel and then kaaaaaaa boom The Euro for next February has consistently looked amazing....let's hope it doesn't end up like 2006-07 and we get a bunch of ice/sleet events! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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