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More Summer Banter


eekuasepinniW

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29 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

It's actually not that moist a sounding for us this morning, only 1.3" PWAT. So the moisture is shallow enough to mix out around these parts. OKX on the other hand, 2.4"

Should stay nice a dewy down in the tropics of SNE.

 

Yeah N of pike is in the 68-71 range....while south of the pike is in that 73-77 range. Glad we don't live there.

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33 minutes ago, dendrite said:

This wasn't supposed to be our dew day.

My SHT31 is having spikes to 77/78F when the wind goes light. It should manage 80 tomorrow. lol

85/71

Mine has been tracking nearly perfectly (once the morning dew dries) with LCI today, with little fluctuation. 

33 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

the moisture is shallow enough to mix out around these parts

What a hurtful post. 

I just want 48 hours of Key West. 

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34 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Something must be wrong with the MVL ASOS up here if I'm 84F and you are 85F on your Davis, lol.

I'm up to 86.7 now.  I suppose 90 is within reach, but I can see myself falling short a little.

Nearby sites:

Shelburn 84.9

Shelburne Center 91.4*

Heath 84.7

GCC 91.4 (all the greenfield sites are in the 90's)

South Ashfield 85.7

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Nice!




130 pm update...

*/ Highlights...

 - Heat Advisory for much of Southern New England
 - Heat indices of 100 to 104 degrees forecast
 - Shower / Thunderstorm activity expected over SW New England
 - Includes CT, RI, S/W MA

*/ Discussion...

First and foremost, triple H laying the smack down over a good
chunk of Southern New England. Highs warming into the 90s with
dewpoints in the low to mid 70s. Combination of the two gives you
heat indices in the mid to upper 90s into the low 100s. Seeing
some places N/E mix out with the drier air to lower dewpoints and
subsequently lower humidity, so some minor relief but still hot
enough for the continuation of heat advisories.

Secondly, shower and thunderstorm chances. Focus mainly SW New
England within better moisture per SPC Mesoanalysis. Not a lot of
upper level support. Particular focus at H925-7 Q-vector convergence
yielding a measure of forcing of the ambient environment. Combined
with diurnal heating yielding lift (the two being the trigger when
combined together enough to break a cap around H85), have higher
confidence over CT, RI, and S/W MA away from dry air contamination
in seeing wet-weather activity moving slowly S/E 10 to 15 mph
roughly. With the lack of mid to upper level support and the -10C
layer around 22 kft agl, have greater confidence of a heavy rain
impact given precipitable waters +2 inches, lower confidence on
lightning outcomes. Though can not rule out a rogue storm altering
the environment and becoming stronger as was the case yesterday
over SW CT and points S/E. Will go with heavy rain wording in the
forecast shower and thunderstorms.
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this statement is telling why there is drier fun-killer air NE (although the relief is nice...):

"Particular focus at H925-7 Q-vector convergence" ... i was just discussing with Oceanstwx in the other thread that it appears the warm front actually stalled and didn't get much NE of ALB-PVD (rough) line... there are other evidences to support that. 

it's probably a tedious, inconsequential but, if we were looking for relief from cool shower and hugely needed lawn watering, this day just bent you over - 

it's interesting the models placed the boundary as far N as they did when clearly ... sat exposes shearing vectors between mid levels and the lower troposphere running through the region.  it may also be related to the NAM's off-on BD phenomenon on Saturday because if these air layers are doing so and there is ANY acceleration in that velocity, you end up with net gain over the GOM and the flow will cut SW a the surface...  stand by I suppose -

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