Stormlover74 Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 Is Wed this week our best chance of some storm activity? Models seem to be cluing in on something Wed but not sure about Thurs-Friday. Wednesday? No. Thursday and Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 The Euro has Sunday as a washout. Saturday is nice currently, but high clouds move in late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 The GFS is actually pretty wet moving forward, but a lot of it looks convective so there will be the normal winners and losers. Would be nice to get something tropical going. Models have been quiet and continue to be quiet through mid-month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 13, 2016 Share Posted July 13, 2016 Good shot of storms today, especially Southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 13, 2016 Share Posted July 13, 2016 Humid and cloudy here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 14, 2016 Share Posted July 14, 2016 What does tomorrow look like? Flying in from LA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 14, 2016 Share Posted July 14, 2016 25 minutes ago, Allsnow said: What does tomorrow look like? Flying in from LA? Possibly scattered thunderstorms around 21z but models have shifted the main threat more towards Upstate NY and NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 14, 2016 Share Posted July 14, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 14, 2016 Share Posted July 14, 2016 11 hours ago, NJwx85 said: Possibly scattered thunderstorms around 21z but models have shifted the main threat more towards Upstate NY and NE. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 18, 2016 Share Posted July 18, 2016 Slight risk expanded South and East. 15% Wind, 2% Tornado risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 18, 2016 Share Posted July 18, 2016 4k NAM on board for some scattered storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted July 18, 2016 Share Posted July 18, 2016 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1317.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 18, 2016 Share Posted July 18, 2016 Severe Tstorm warning for me as the cell to my west is about to move in. Sky is real dark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 18, 2016 Share Posted July 18, 2016 Wow the wind here is nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted July 18, 2016 Share Posted July 18, 2016 Check out what I got as it came in!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted July 18, 2016 Share Posted July 18, 2016 Incredible storm. T& L with strong gusts. Only thing that lacked was rain, nearest station only reporting .27". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 18, 2016 Share Posted July 18, 2016 0.27" in my gauge, but I know for a fact more that more fell, I'd say at least half an inch, but it was very windswept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael05192016 Posted July 20, 2016 Share Posted July 20, 2016 When and where will the next derecho / MCS hit? Friday through Monday time period. Someone will get hit hard in the Northeast somewhere?? FRIDAY has me a bit intrigued. MONDAY has me quite intrigued. Something should give being at the edge of a bona fide hot, tall tee airmass with good jet support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 New SPC Day 1, slight risk for northern areas and NYC marginal risk everywhere else. Have to see what the SPC does in future updates. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted July 23, 2016 Share Posted July 23, 2016 Monday-Tuesday looks interesting as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 25, 2016 Share Posted July 25, 2016 Hoping to get some rain at least later on today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 6, 2016 Share Posted August 6, 2016 It shouldn't be widespread but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 6, 2016 Author Share Posted August 6, 2016 small convective system headed right for the metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 6, 2016 Share Posted August 6, 2016 Looks like the second round may get me too. First one was the real deal. Heavy duty rain but no wind, thunder or lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 8, 2016 Author Share Posted August 8, 2016 flash flood threat wednesday with deep moisture, skinny cape, and high freezing levels supporting cohesion coalescence rainfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 8, 2016 Share Posted August 8, 2016 29 minutes ago, forkyfork said: flash flood threat wednesday with deep moisture, skinny cape, and high freezing levels supporting cohesion coalescence rainfall Looks like an active/wet period coming up from Wednesday onward through the weekend and possibly into early next week. Several days with afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms with the threat of heavy rainfall with the tropical airmass that will be in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 8, 2016 Author Share Posted August 8, 2016 2 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Looks like an active/wet period coming up from Wednesday onward through the weekend and possibly into early next week. Several days with afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms with the threat of heavy rainfall with the tropical airmass that will be in place. days of 2 to 2.5" pwats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 8, 2016 Share Posted August 8, 2016 While the gfs is often useless in convective events it has 5-6" of rain from Wednesday thru next Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 9, 2016 Share Posted August 9, 2016 26 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: While the gfs is often useless in convective events it has 5-6" of rain from Wednesday thru next Tuesday Even more for southern Brooklyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 9, 2016 Share Posted August 9, 2016 1 hour ago, Morris said: Even more for southern Brooklyn. GFS often has a precip max in that area...its some kind of problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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