Sophisticated Skeptic Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 weak coastal front forming and trying to move inland now....as it collides with developing shortwave over NE PA. impressive storms to pop up very soon. more impressive dynamics expected tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 nice little downpour came through..dropped temp down to 80. still humid 73 dewpt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 Suffolk may remain dry. Dont see these holding together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 Pretty quiet now. No new activity popping up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 Just started pouring here in Borough Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 nice line ripping through Westchester NY now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 nice line ripping through Westchester NY now.Drove through right after it. Roadway was flooded in spots on 287. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 Wow, these were taken in asbury park a little earlier. If I didn't know better I'd think they were fake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 Complete deluge with CTG near Spring Valley, NU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 ripping downpour here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rock888 Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 WTF those pics from Asbury Park look like a supercell you'd see in Kansas, insane. btw, dark clouds and a sprinkle in Queens. Damn, looks like some cells blew up just east of us. We keep just missing out this year. North Shore of LI getting some fairly nasty looking storms about now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 Line completely fell apart. Light shower and a rumble of thunder. On to tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Flash Flood Watch probably needed for most of NJ today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Head up to Narrowsburg, NY for a weekend of caboozing down the Delaware. Based on the animated location of the BDCF, I should be near ground zero later tonight for some serious training of cells! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 4k NAM with insane totals today. 12.4" max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 4k NAM with insane totals today over NNJ. 12.4" max. Figures it would keep getting worse. So much for needing today to be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Figures it would keep getting worse. So much for needing today to be nice. I think most of that is tonight and tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 I think most of that is tonight and tomorrow I think the heavier stuff may fall later like you said. Mt. Holly adjusted their forecast to bring in the rain a little earlier. .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A modest shortwave over western Pennsylvania will traverse the region today. This feature, will aid in the development of a lee trough. Meanwhile, a stationary backdoor front will be over northern NJ and the adjacent coastal waters. With a weak gradient, a sea-breeze is also expected to develop. The aforementioned features will serve as triggering mechanisms for convection this afternoon, in addition to ample instability and moisture. Surface based CAPE values may exceed 2.5 kJ, while Precipitable water values reach 2.0 inches. The most numerous and robust convection is expected closer to the lee trough, along and northwest of I-95. Given Bulk Shear generally AOB 30 knots, storms will favor the pulse-type with locally strong downburst winds possible, particularly northwest of I-95. Given anomalously high moisture, locally heavy rainfall will occur, but coverage is expected to be limited, thus it does not warrant a flash flood watch attm. We have continued a mention of heavy rain and gusty winds in the forecast in association with thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. It will be another hot and humid day. Given the combination of unseasonably warm and humid conditions, an Excessive Heat Warning continues thru this evening for the Wilmington-Philadelphia- Trenton urban corridor, where Heat Indices are expected to reach around 100 degrees. The forecast was updated to reflect an earlier timing this afternoon for the onset of showers and thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 I think the heavier stuff may fall later like you said. Mt. Holly adjusted their forecast to bring in the rain a little earlier. The HRRR has widespread activity by early afternoon, especially out by us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 I'm really confused as to why we don't have a FFW West of the city today but we did yesterday. The storm motion today is even slower and the high res models are showing significantly more activity developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Storm really blowing up over Western Morris County. Nearly stationary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 246 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016 NJC027-082245- /O.NEW.KPHI.FA.Y.0060.160708T1846Z-160708T2245Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MORRIS NJ- 246 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SOUTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY... * UNTIL 645 PM EDT * AT 244 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE POOR DRAINAGE, LOW-LYING, URBANIZED OR SMALL STREAM FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ADVISED AREA. UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. UP TO TWO INCHES IN A ONE-HOUR TIMEFRAME IS POSSIBLE. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MORRISTOWN...MADISON...FLORHAM PARK...EAST HANOVER... LINCOLN PARK...CHATHAM...BOONTON...ROCKAWAY...MORRIS PLAINS... MOUNTAIN LAKES...LAKE TELEMARK...PARSIPPANY... PEQUANNOCK TOWNSHIP...WHITE MEADOW LAKE AND HANOVER TOWNSHIP. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. && LAT...LON 4091 7433 4088 7434 4086 7432 4082 7434 4079 7437 4076 7437 4075 7436 4074 7437 4075 7453 4097 7452 4097 7428 4092 7429 4090 7427 $$ KRUZDLO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Warning issuedSOMERSET NJ-MORRIS NJ- 406 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EDTFOR NORTH CENTRAL SOMERSET AND SOUTHERN MORRIS COUNTIES...AT 404 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER CHESTER...OR 9MILES WEST OF MORRISTOWN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. AT 352 PM...DIME SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTEDAT BUDD LAKE.IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 It's slowly moving around my house now. The bulk looks to pass just to my east. The rain has slowed. Minimal wind. Loud, frequent thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Warlock must be getting racked right now. Somerset County has been engulfed on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Nice area of storms blowing up from Wasington in Warren County through Chester down towards the 287/turnpike interchange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Outside the normal viewing area but that cell down in Atlantic County needs to be watched. Radar indicating rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 10, 2016 Share Posted July 10, 2016 About to pour here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted July 10, 2016 Share Posted July 10, 2016 Man it's pouring here in Boro Park now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salseneca Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 Is Wed this week our best chance of some storm activity? Models seem to be cluing in on something Wed but not sure about Thurs-Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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