JasonOH Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 moderate incoming? Moderate out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 MDT introduced in MN/IA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 Wow. Didn't see the Mod coming. Temp when I went home for lunch at noon was 82. It's now 91 and climbing. Fuel to the fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 5, 2016 Author Share Posted July 5, 2016 I'm a little more optimistic than I was earlier about the MCS making it to Chicago. I mean, I would still expect it to be weakening but it should have some pretty good MUCAPE to work with. Hopefully it at least lays down some decent rain. As far as tomorrow around Chicago metro, the potential fail mode is pretty obvious...the morning stuff comes through, lays down a rain cooled/outflow boundary well south and the atmosphere doesn't recover for whatever reason. I wouldn't call that scenario likely at this point but it will have to be watched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 Overnight mcs will come through quicker than expected for sure. I think we get plenty unstable tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 MPX warning that a line of 80mph+ winds should strike the metro between 5:30 and 6:30 right at the peak of rush hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 Well that moisture is already popping showers here. Come out of my appointment to some moderate sprinkles and seeing a storm billowing with visible inflow. Edit: That cell near Watkins heading for MSP is going to need a TW soon. Hooking and rotating. And just like that, it's issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 Those cells that are approaching are really packing a punch. 80mph gusts were reported near Buffalo, MN (40mi NW of the metro) with extensive tree damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 The storm near Buffalo no longer tornado warned but still has several areas of broad rotation showing. The metro is in the crosshairs at this point. Supposedly Hennepin County( Minneapolis) is sounding the sirens due to the straight line winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 The storm near Buffalo no longer tornado warned but still has several areas of broad rotation showing. The metro is in the crosshairs at this point. Supposedly Hennepin County( Minneapolis) is sounding the sirens due to the straight line winds. MPX radar detects a small section of 85 kt winds at 2000ft above ground, sort of in the middle of the rain area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 MPX radar detects a small section of 85 kt winds at 2000ft above ground, sort of in the middle of the rain area. I just saw that. In addition, 2800 lightning strikes from that complex in the last 15 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 for what it's worth there's (believable) 7000-8300 J/kg of CAPE near Omaha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 Unfortunate nothing has popped near Omaha then. I'm heading west towards there anyways due to moving. Watching all the moisture fly by above me has been pretty awesome, I don't get to see it like this often. That cell heading for MSP is getting concerning again as it gets closer to the metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 also there are 9 airports near Omaha with a dew point of 80+ at this hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 Looks like the Minneapolis area finally got into some good storms. Hope the crew from up there didn't lose power for too long if they did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 Some small trees down, power out, flooded out. This was a whopper. My rain gauge even overflowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 just a few weather problems in the Twin Cities metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 This was a sure thing, glad it delivered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 Notch just east of Afton might be/have spun up something. Surprised it's not warned as a precaution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Looks like a second line gonna hit parts of the metro again, especially south and west. Police and fire sirens almost nonstop for the last 30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Some small trees down, power out, flooded out. This was a whopper. My rain gauge even overflowed. Where are you located within the MSP area? It appeared the worst raked the north side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Where are you located within the MSP area? It appeared the worst raked the north side. I'm 5 miles due north of St Paul. As the storm was approaching it looked like it was going to pull to the south. But the northern fringe actually intensified and became the worst part of the cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Line about to start accelerating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Very impressive sounding from Topeka a little bit ago. Over 7600j/kg surface cape. Actually quite a bit higher than OAX despite the meso page showing much more up that way. In fact, the meso page now has a 9000j/kg lolli east of Omaha lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Currently 100k people without power in the Twin Cities. No ETA on my power. Gonna be a long night. Rain continues. Reports of around 4-5" in the north metro. 50 year old oak tree got ripped down in my brother in laws yard and fell on his truck. Nearly flattened the Chevy Tahoe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Shelf cloud over Northtown Mall, Blaine,MN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Getting pretty close here. I really hope to not lose power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 northeastern IA looks to get trained overnight, perhaps northwest IL, too. shockingly, the NAM has the best handle on the MCS. HRRR continues to be hours too slow. that extreme instability is forecast to build east with time, thanks to the low level jet, and has been so far this evening - should be able to maintain convection into and through chicagoland after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Currently 100k people without power in the Twin Cities. No ETA on my power. Gonna be a long night. Rain continues. Reports of around 4-5" in the north metro. 50 year old oak tree got ripped down in my brother in laws yard and fell on his truck. Nearly flattened the Chevy Tahoe. We got lucky here in Champlin, MN. No more than 1.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Sky is lighting up like the 4th of July right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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