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All-purpose Thunderstorm Discussion Thread


weatherwiz

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45 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Lapse rates in the low levels were basically dry adiabatic below the cloud bases, so any shower will be pretty gusty today.

Yeah the leading edge of the rain had some good, probably 40mph gusts ripping down the east slope and through the base area at 1,500ft.  Nothing severe but enough to take the usual leaves/twigs/dead stuff down and get whole trees swaying good.

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Lots of rumbles and dark clouds outside the AUG office about 30 minutes ago, then barely wet the ground as the heavy stuff passed to the north.  Looks like possibly 2"+ just south of WVL.  Might've gotten 0.1" at my place from a small cell about 2:30; another one popped up a few miles east and is headed toward Skowhegan.

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2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Saturday is looking like big potential. Possibly a widespread outbreak. Perhaps best shot at anything we've had all summer.

 

Should be better south coast. SREF plumes showing 1000-1500 j/kg of mixed layer CAPE wit ~40 knots of effective shear. That's pretty good - especially considering we'll have decent QG forcing through the day as that shortwave moves in.

Westerly flow should keep storms moving to the beaches. Cape Cod through UUU and GON may have a chance with this one.

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27 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

 

Should be better south coast. SREF plumes showing 1000-1500 j/kg of mixed layer CAPE wit ~40 knots of effective shear. That's pretty good - especially considering we'll have decent QG forcing through the day as that shortwave moves in.

Westerly flow should keep storms moving to the beaches. Cape Cod through UUU and GON may have a chance with this one.

Seems like they've had quite a few severe'S this summer. At least more in the way of storm than interior has. Hopefully this doesn't skip inland just fire over S Ri and SE Mass

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27 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

 

Should be better south coast. SREF plumes showing 1000-1500 j/kg of mixed layer CAPE wit ~40 knots of effective shear. That's pretty good - especially considering we'll have decent QG forcing through the day as that shortwave moves in.

Westerly flow should keep storms moving to the beaches. Cape Cod through UUU and GON may have a chance with this one.

Seems like they've had quite a few severe'S this summer. At least more in the way of storm than interior has. Hopefully this doesn't skip inland just fire over S Ri and SE Mass

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1 hour ago, CT Rain said:

 

Should be better south coast. SREF plumes showing 1000-1500 j/kg of mixed layer CAPE wit ~40 knots of effective shear. That's pretty good - especially considering we'll have decent QG forcing through the day as that shortwave moves in.

Westerly flow should keep storms moving to the beaches. Cape Cod through UUU and GON may have a chance with this one.

Fingers crossed! Hopefully we'll get something before the summer is over.

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