Witness Protection Program Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 West side of San Antonio got up to 7" this morning, with the usual resulting flooding. Meanwhile, Midland/Odessa mailing it in on historical comparisons? https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=maf&wwa=flood warning TXC335-070745- /O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-210707T1243Z/ /CDCT2.1.ER.210703T2019Z.210706T1830Z.210707T0043Z.NO/ 240 PM CDT Tue Jul 6 2021 ...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning... The Flood Warning continues for the Colorado River at Colorado City 1WSW. * Until tomorrow morning. * At 2:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 16.0 feet. * Flood stage is 15.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. * Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 2:15 PM CDT Tuesday was 16.1 feet. * Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this evening and continue falling to 4.8 feet early Sunday afternoon. * Impact...At 12.0 feet, The river overflows its banks. This will result in some minor flooding of ranch land and fence posts. Ranchers should move livestock out of the flood plain to higher ground. No structures are threatened at this stage. * Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flooding of farm and ranch land begins. No buildings or other structures are threatened. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.6 feet on 07/06/2021. && Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet): Fld Observed Tue Wed Wed Wed Location Stg Stg Day/Time 7pm 1am 7am 1pm Colorado River Colorado City 1WSW 15.0 16.0 Tue 2pm 15.4 12.1 10.5 9.6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Won't develop because the lowest pressure inland, and if no model likes it, there is a reason. Lowest pressure formed yesterday where conditions were most favorable, inland, but upper levels are becoming favorable over the coastal blob. If that low was closer to the coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Rainfall totals of 6-14" near the coast of Texas in the last 3 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 Local NWS discos suggesting rainfall totals from radar may be conservative, sort of the opposite of hail contamination, radar tends to underestimate rainfall from warm processes. Metro Houston has just missed out on significant flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted July 15, 2021 Share Posted July 15, 2021 This has been a great summer so far. Most days in the 80's or low-90's and above normal precipitation. I haven't had to water my lawn once this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Drought has really been getting it's ass kicked in recent weeks. Not drought busting, but drought denting for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 The STR that kept Grace in Mexico in full effect, Sunday-Thursday, solid sea breeze thunderstorm action every day, even had one produce a tropical funnel that reaches the ground in the NW suburbs of Houston and took down power poles. Forecast near 100F in Houston next several days. But, Gulf may get interesting next weekend, a few ECENS runs in a row. GEFS also showing some action. Per Weather Twitter, a rare August Central American Gyre is forecast to develop, and trigger one or more tropical cyclones in either/both Caribbean and East Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 25, 2021 Share Posted August 25, 2021 Slow trend on the Caribbean to Yucatan into the Gulf system. Has trended to Texas/Louisiana from Mexico, trend may not be done yet. Euro already East of us, but most ECENS are South. 18Z GFS, but not super fantasy range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 25, 2021 Share Posted August 25, 2021 Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted August 26, 2021 Share Posted August 26, 2021 Latest GFS is showing a probable CAT3/4 taking an eerily similar track to Katrina smacking NOLA... however, obviously we should expect this to shift around for a couple more days in both track and intensity. Either way the gulf is bath water ATTM. I expect explosive organization and intensification in this storms development regardless of where it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Be careful everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Let's keep nuking this god damned drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 Nora remnants provided a nice widespread area of rains out here. I think we have a shot at 1-3 more dying hurricanes helping out through 10/31. Some of my analog matches on US temps/precip show a very wet October for the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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