canderson Posted June 22, 2019 Share Posted June 22, 2019 I’ll be back in Longview (East Texas) August 14-18. Haven’t been home in August since 2009. Curious if I’ll be 101+ on more that one day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted July 1, 2019 Share Posted July 1, 2019 Still a good amount of snow up high in northern NM. Lakes are full and rivers running good. Great early summer up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted July 1, 2019 Author Share Posted July 1, 2019 A bit of hail in Guadalajara a couple of nights ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted July 2, 2019 Share Posted July 2, 2019 Those images of Guadalajara are pretty impressive. That's one way to cool the ground for sure. Albuquerque just had its coldest January-June average temperature since 1998 - running nearly four degrees colder than last year so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted July 3, 2019 Share Posted July 3, 2019 On 7/1/2019 at 7:11 PM, raindancewx said: Those images of Guadalajara are pretty impressive. That's one way to cool the ground for sure. Albuquerque just had its coldest January-June average temperature since 1998 - running nearly four degrees colder than last year so far. Oklahoma City had its coldest January-June average temperature since 1993, and its fifth wettest such period on record. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 8, 2019 Share Posted July 8, 2019 Euro has a Cat 1 into the border of LA and TX at 144 hours 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted July 8, 2019 Share Posted July 8, 2019 Last week was very nice in the mountains. Lows dropped as low as 35 with highs around 80 on the days it did not rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted July 8, 2019 Share Posted July 8, 2019 4 hours ago, Snow88 said: Euro has a Cat 1 into the border of LA and TX at 144 hours Quite a westward shift. Obviously still a long ways out, but at least it's something interesting to follow. Flooding will likely be the biggest threat (barring major intensification), but fortunately east Texas and LA haven't received as much rain recently as they did in spring, for the most part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 10, 2019 Share Posted July 10, 2019 On 7/8/2019 at 2:34 PM, cstrunk said: Quite a westward shift. Obviously still a long ways out, but at least it's something interesting to follow. Flooding will likely be the biggest threat (barring major intensification), but fortunately east Texas and LA haven't received as much rain recently as they did in spring, for the most part. Every model has a Cat 1 into LA. Hopefully it fizzles out in the upcoming days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted July 10, 2019 Share Posted July 10, 2019 https://www.weather.gov/images/fwd/graphicast/image_full1.jpg?7ba82bb19e61c89a8f97eadc28a28d02 "Mostly dry weather is expected, which is why this week was chosen." It has stormed every day of this planned radar outage, with some big ones today. Another awesome job of forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted July 11, 2019 Share Posted July 11, 2019 Finally topped 95F today in Albuquerque - pretty late for that to happen for the first time in a calendar year. Have yet to hit 100F officially. Some areas in town surely did today though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted July 11, 2019 Share Posted July 11, 2019 Surprise, surprise, the MCS from KS is knocking on my door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted July 11, 2019 Share Posted July 11, 2019 13 hours ago, cstrunk said: Surprise, surprise, the MCS from KS is knocking on my door. It packed a punch wind wise. Still dealing with issues from it at the office in downtown Tyler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted July 11, 2019 Share Posted July 11, 2019 42 minutes ago, aggiegeog said: It packed a punch wind wise. Still dealing with issues from it at the office in downtown Tyler. We had about 45 mph gusts, but only received a few sprinkles IMBY. Disappointing combined with the forecasted track of Barry shifting farther east. We probably won't end up with much from that either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted July 11, 2019 Share Posted July 11, 2019 1 hour ago, cstrunk said: We had about 45 mph gusts, but only received a few sprinkles IMBY. Disappointing combined with the forecasted track of Barry shifting farther east. We probably won't end up with much from that either. I got over a half inch in Hideaway. Yea, not looking like much rain from Barry in Tyler/Longview area, but maybe some heavy showers for far E TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted July 13, 2019 Share Posted July 13, 2019 Streak of colder year/year highs looks like it may end this July. May continue - will be close. From Oct 2018 to June 2019, each month was colder than Oct 2017 to June 2018. July 2018 had a high of 92F. We're below that now, but a fair number of mid-90s look likely for the next week to ten days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 I've been attempting to refine my methods for predicting high temperatures anomalies in the SW in La Ninas. It looks like the ACE Index in the Atlantic is a pretty strong indicator. Historically severe Atlantic hurricane seasons, in La Ninas, tend to be very hot, dry winters in Albuquerque. I'm not even convinced this will be a La Nina, but just for reference, I thought this was interesting - the three hottest La Ninas were all absolutely terrible, life destroying hurricane seasons - 1933, 2005, 2017. The two La Ninas over 250 on the Ace Index are 2005-06 and 1933-34 - essentially low-solar, Dust Bowl BS patterns in each case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Next week looks amazing for late July with weekly anomalies 5-10F below normal per ensembles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted July 25, 2019 Share Posted July 25, 2019 This makes consecutive morning with 62 degree lows, wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Cashed in on 0.50" of rain yesterday afternoon, and 1.85" early this morning in a storm that woke me up. Great timing as I could tell my grass was beginning to fade a bit from it's lush green nature I have enjoyed all spring/summer so far. I've only watered one time all year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted July 31, 2019 Share Posted July 31, 2019 No rain recently in Hideaway that I know of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 It's been dry IMBY since the bonus rain last week. It finally feels like mid-late summer here, with temperatures in the upper 90's today and through the extended forecast, and no rain expected. I'll have to water my lawn this weekend for only the 2nd time all year! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 9, 2019 Share Posted August 9, 2019 On 8/7/2019 at 2:10 PM, cstrunk said: It's been dry IMBY since the bonus rain last week. It finally feels like mid-late summer here, with temperatures in the upper 90's today and through the extended forecast, and no rain expected. I'll have to water my lawn this weekend for only the 2nd time all year! I’m in town next week, Tuesday through Sunday. I hope I can eat my Shivers quickly so it doesn’t immediately melt. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 Been a long-time here since the trend in anomalies in Summer highs has gone cold, warmer, warmest for June, July, August. June was -2.1, July +1.5, and August should be around +3.0 in terms of highs against the respective long-term averages. 2000 and 2009 both had cold Junes that gradually gave way to a lot of warmth. The monsoon is fairly likely to finish below average here now too - about a 72% chance that the rains in the remainder of Aug/Sept will not be enough for the city to reach 4.31 inches of rain from 6/15-9/30. Leaning toward a very wet, slightly warm winter for now. Something like 2016, 2018, 2009, 2007, 2004, 2013 as a blend? Will have a better idea by mid-September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted August 27, 2019 Share Posted August 27, 2019 Been missing the rain so this morning's showers are a very welcome sight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 23 hours ago, cheese007 said: Been missing the rain so this morning's showers are a very welcome sight Ditto, except we haven't had a good shower yet. I'm hoping to cash in on one today yet before it dries out for a while again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Think these are birds on the HGX radar this morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Yesterday the rain was to my north and today to the south, ugh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 1 hour ago, aggiegeog said: Yesterday the rain was to my north and today to the south, ugh. Same here. It does look like the outflow from this morning convection to the south has stalled near or just north of Longview, and there is an area of agitated cumulus that may turn into a few storms/showers with continued strong insolation along the boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Doesn't look promising. I guess I'll have to keep watering my lawn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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