janetjanet998 Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 739 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018 LAC031-081-070100- /O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-180407T0100Z/ DE SOTO LA-RED RIVER LA- 739 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018 ..TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR THE CITY OF COUSHATTA ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL DE SOTO AND CENTRAL RED RIVER PARISHES... AT 738 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR COUSHATTA, OR 16 MILES EAST OF MANSFIELD, MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR COUSHATTA. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 Tornado EMERGENCY in Louisiana for this nasty tornado right here. That thing is meeaannnn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 yes, that is one well-detected tornado. I am even seeing a delta-v of 130kt or 140kt, and I am using GRLevel3. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 it may be off its peak right now but still...... C031-081-070100- /O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-180407T0100Z/ DE SOTO LA-RED RIVER LA- 754 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL DE SOTO AND CENTRAL RED RIVER PARISHES... AT 754 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER COUSHATTA, OR 21 MILES EAST OF MANSFIELD, MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 possible tornado near Jackson MS radar station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Had a nice storm blow through last night, and apparently produce a tornado just a few miles away near Diana, TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 38 yesterday and 34 and still dropping this morning. In some years those are January lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 I had to scrape the frost off of my windshield this morning. That's crazy for mid-April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted April 17, 2018 Share Posted April 17, 2018 We were 40F or so on Friday afternoon, I'd call it a Blue Norther level cold front. Wind was fierce and unrelenting. Midnight high of 54F though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted April 20, 2018 Share Posted April 20, 2018 No posts on what looks to be an cute little severe event this afternoon on the llano estacado? CAMs are pretty enthusiastic about generating some supercells that should be surface-based for at least a couple of hours until they outrun the best surface instability and evolve into elevated clusters. Not like there's going to be a huge tornado outbreak or anything, but its better than nothing . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted April 20, 2018 Share Posted April 20, 2018 Might be a narrow window of time for sups. It is the High Plains. Quality moisture is tardy; so, cells may become outflow dominant quickly and/or line out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted April 27, 2018 Share Posted April 27, 2018 Pending this next little system, I believe we've had only 2 days here (Albuquerque) with over 0.10" precipitation since Oct 1. Very rare here, we're not Yuma, tied with three other years for fewest >0.1" days since 1892. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 CFS has been trying to hint at a wet June for a little while now, which is what my analogs have been showing down here for a while. Early onset monsoon, then ends early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted May 23, 2018 Share Posted May 23, 2018 It's definitely been a pretty boring stretch of weather the last month or so (or more?). At least this week there's been slight chances of afternoon thunderstorms, but I can't seem to cash in on one. NWS has a 50% chance for today so we'll see, I'm not holding my breath. Other than a PDS tornado watch earlier this year (that didn't pan out), and a soggy February, I've been pretty underwhelmed by this spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 23, 2018 Share Posted May 23, 2018 This winter was nothing to write home about in the DFW area either. Already looking forward to the snow season but after the last few years not optimistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 With the Pacific fairly Neutral now, the Atlantic and solar conditions are probably going to drive the pattern for 6-8 weeks. Cold AMO in May is fairly strongly linked to a colder June for TX and parts of NM too - we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 Shreveport NWS discussion this morning notes that the early heat is reminiscent of summer 2011, although that winter/spring was much drier than this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 DFW sounding showed some pretty good lapse rates this morning and 3km nam really ramps up the surface instability later on. Windfields are a bit of a mess, though strong aloft. The storm complex in OK is through Ardmore at present and hasn't weakened too much just yet... If it can keep pushing past the Red River I think there's a decent shot SPC ups the metroplex to slight risk later on. Forcing is pretty weak without that OFB... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 Mesoscale Discussion 0516 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1121 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018 Areas affected...North Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 251621Z - 251845Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A few strong wind gusts are possible as storms move south across the area today, but severe weather is not expected. DISCUSSION...A complex of storms with southward-surging outflow is currently crossing the Red River into TX. These storms are not severe as of 16Z, but have produced 30-40 mph wind gusts. Some increase in intensity is possible this afternoon. The 12Z FWD sounding shows around 3000 J/kg MUCAPE when modified for current surface conditions. Although shear profiles are weak, storms are expected to forward-propagate and maintain and/or increase slightly. An isolated severe wind gust cannot be ruled out, but severe coverage is not expected to warrant a watch at this time. In addition to wind, marginal hail is possible as well given cool temperatures aloft and substantial instability. ..Jewell/Hart.. 05/25/2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 storm complex held together and strengthened as it pushed through the east side of Dallas producing fairly strong/marginally severe gusts and lots of small hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 26, 2018 Share Posted May 26, 2018 huge 4.25" hail in Comanche county, reflectivity levels nearly off the charts, and a TBSS. Big time instability today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted May 30, 2018 Share Posted May 30, 2018 CPC, the CFS and the GFS currently like a wet June for NM - let's do it. Kill the heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 It's hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 Possibility of heavy rain, hail, thunderstorms, tornadoes on Sunday for much of New Mexico. Might give the city the first wet June since 2010. CAPE (up to 2000j/kg?) and Bulk sheer values look fairly impressive for this part of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 7 hours ago, cstrunk said: It's hot. It looks like Presidio and Midland both hit 110+ during the recent heat wave. I am not too familiar with TX climo...but that seems incredibly hot, especially for fairly early in the "hot" season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 Looks like the city had 0.5-1.0 inches of rain today, with areas west of town reporting up to 3 inches and a couple confirmed tornado. Lots of hail and thunder around too. Rained so hard it was actually fell into the upper 50s around 3 pm, which is an amazing outcome for June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted June 4, 2018 Share Posted June 4, 2018 thunderstorm complex held together better than expected this morning and dropped a fair amount of precip across the metroplex, particularly east of Dallas (Garland/Mesquite) where they're pushing 2-3". Parts of Ft Worth did ok too, and along the I35E corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 Just a few sprinkles so far IMBY. Clouds for most of the day from the MCS that fell apart to the west did a decent job of holding down temps. There's a few severe thunderstorms in the area but they're mostly just to my south. If I'm lucky I might get grazed by a shower and pick up 0.05" or so. I'm still holding out hope for more development overnight into tomorrow. I guess I better start my rain dance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 Looks like my rain dance worked. Missed the heavier downpours IMBY but still probably ended up with 0.4" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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