dmillz25 Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: The MCS coming off the NC coast almost looked like a developing tropical system at its peak earlier. It almost looks like the flooding rains over NJ were a PRE or inverted trough type event in tandem with this feature. That's pretty cool actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 11 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: That's pretty cool actually Check out the spinning MCV on the visible. It's looking like a tropical storm before it eventually goes poof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 man..what a hit or miss system. some areas in NJ could just have 0.10 rain total for 2 days...other areas = 10 inches. this is what u call a meso-analysis storm. (hour to hour...forecasting nightmare) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 Hope you're enjoying this lovely weather Warlock. I know I would be... FLASH FLOOD WARNING NJC019-035-312000- /O.NEW.KPHI.FF.W.0030.160731T1553Z-160731T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1153 AM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY... SOUTHERN SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY... * UNTIL 400 PM EDT * AT 1153 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... NEW BRUNSWICK...SOMERVILLE...SOMERSET...MIDDLESEX...BOUND BROOK... MANVILLE...MILLSTONE...MARTINSVILLE...BELLE MEAD...CLOVERHILL... FLAGTOWN...RARITAN AND SOUTH BOUND BROOK. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. DRIVING INTO FLOOD WATERS COULD PUT YOUR LIFE AT RISK AND COST YOU THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS IN VEHICLE REPAIRS. FLOOD WATERS MAY BE DEEPER THAT YOU THINK. TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 1 hour ago, winterwarlock said: well it was already a wet July in my backyard but now its become absurd. 4 inches in just 7 days. I got 2.28 yesterday, another .14 today and counting and over 3 inches in the past 3 days. My total for July is 7.45 and it could break 8 inches by the end of the day...probaby puts it into a top 10 if not top 5 wettest Julys ever I would assume drought talk...lol. Yes we were dry at the end of June but it only took two inches in the first 10 days of June to green the lawns up again and the 8 days of 90 plus in July really had no drought impact So hopefully starting Tuesday we can start drying out. The flooding was absurd in Mercer and Middlesex, no one should want stuff like that to happen. Heres to some nice dry weather coming in midweek What goes up must come down. Or in this case, what goes down must come up Payback from the extremely dry spring and early summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 Sun is out. Areas just to my south have been absolutely dumped on this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 Flash Flood Watch issued for Mt Holly CWA through 11pm tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 Flash Flood Watch issued for Mt Holly CWA through 11pm tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 39 minutes ago, UnionWX said: Sun is out. Areas just to my south have been absolutely dumped on this weekend. Really sharp rainfall gradient in July with Atlantic City coming in at 6th wettest at 8.82". The hardest hit by drought Suffolk County got the least amount of rain with only 3.15" at ISP. http://www.newsday.com/long-island/suffolk/central-suffolk-in-severe-drought-u-s-drought-monitor-says-1.12105316 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 GFS and euro both look active for Monday and Tuesday now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 Any input of if the metro area is expecting the radar to explode later today. My local point and click is going with 1-2 inches of rain tonight and more tomorrow. Current radar does not look all that impressive. This Afternoon Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. High near 79. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tonight Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Low around 66. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Monday Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Monday Night Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light north wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 We hit some pretty heavy pockets of rain coming home on the Parkway. Most were around exits 20-45. Back home it's a light rain and pretty cool, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 45 minutes ago, Animal said: Any input of if the metro area is expecting the radar to explode later today. My local point and click is going with 1-2 inches of rain tonight and more tomorrow. Current radar does not look all that impressive. This Afternoon Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. High near 79. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tonight Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Low around 66. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Monday Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Monday Night Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light north wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible Things should get more active later. We're in a bit of a lull but the 18z HRRR EXP has things really exploding between 02 and 03z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 47 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Things should get more active later. We're in a bit of a lull but the 18z HRRR EXP has things really exploding between 02 and 03z. it might finally be on to something, as it's been pretty dry most of the afternoon... and deep moisture convergence is still ripe for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 Very obvious where the warm front is hung up. http://www.njweather.org/maps/nj-statewide-air-temperatures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 fireworks startin to pop. even in NE NJ. could get interestin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 31, 2016 Author Share Posted July 31, 2016 2 minutes ago, Bacon Strips said: fireworks startin to pop. even in NE NJ. could get interestin. Beat me to it, things look like they are starting to get more active now on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 Radar lighting up on the island. Pouring now with bands developing all around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 HRRR and Rap were way to wet for the area today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 Nam hammers the same area tomorrow (north central nj) with 3-4 inches of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 Pouring unbelievably hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 Crazy downpours the last 10 minutes. Just a wall of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 just .49 today but it seemed like more with intermittment downpours. Looks like I will be very close or above 8 inches for the month..boo hoping to stay dry tomorrow, I have a hunch it will not be so bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 22 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Crazy downpours the last 10 minutes. Just a wall of rain. Yup drove through it on 287. Just unbelievably crazy rain here now in Pequannock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 That cell is producing a quick inch plus where it's passing, per radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 0.50" in the last 4 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 1, 2016 Author Share Posted August 1, 2016 http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0510&yr=2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 I lol at the HRRR when even its 23z run doesn't have that cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: 0.50" in the last 4 minutes. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 Was up near Oakland. Pouring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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