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July 2016 Discussions/Observations


Rtd208

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24 minutes ago, Isotherm said:

850mb temperatures must have been slightly cooler than progged today. My high was 89.1F. Four consecutive 90s, and now 11 on the season. Need another 6-7 or so to make average, which will be easy. Get ready for a continued very warm pattern through August and likely September. I think we'll be adding 90 degree days well into September this year.

What's your precip for July now Tom? Central nj looks like the rain winner this month.

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1 minute ago, BombsAway1288 said:

Ok we get it. Michael9372948 said it would be cool and wet all summer and it's obviously not. You don't need to keep mentioning it in every single one of your posts. Thanks

You're welcome!

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91 today...day 6 of the heatwave

 

Thursday:   91

Friday:       95

Saturday:   96

Sunday:     95

Monday:    95

Tuesday:   91

 

all things considered this is a pretty good heatwave, have to check my official 90 plus tally but I think I hit 20 already and over

 

as this heatwave comes to a close by Thursday..what are the long range models saying about next week, do we get another pulse of heat or will this persistent soupy pattern for the weekend persist?

 

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90 degree days

2016:

PHL: 21 (Apr: 0  ; May:  3; Jun: 5 ; Jul: 13 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
EWR: 20 (Apr: 0  ; May: 3 ; Jun: 3 ; Jul: 14; Aug: ; Sep: 
TTN: 17 (Apr: 0  ; May: 2  ; Jun: 4; Jul: 11; Aug: ; Sep: 
LGA: 17 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 1; Jul : 13; Aug: ; Sep: 
ACY: 16 (Apr: 0 ; May: 1 ; Jun: 4  ; Jul: 11; Aug: ; Sep: 
TEB: 17 (Apr: 0 ; May: 4  ; Jun : ; Jul: 13; Aug: ; Sep: 
NYC: 10  (Apr: 0 ; May: 2  ; Jun: ; Jul: 8; Aug: ; Sep: 
JFK: 8 (Apr: 0 ; May: 0  ; Jun:1 ; Jul: 7 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
ISP: 6 (Apr: 0 ; May:  ; Jun:  ; Jul: 6 ; Aug: ; Sep: 

New Brunswick: 21 (Apr: 0 ; May: 4  ; Jun: 3; Jul: 14 ; Aug: ; Sep: 


89 Degree Days:

TEB: 3
TTN: 3
PHL:  3
New Brunswick: 1
EWR: 2
NYC: 3
ACY: 2
JFK: 
LGA: 2

ISP: 

 

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While the ridging was strong enough for consistent 90 degree warmth at LGA and a top ten warmest July, it couldn't build to levels

for a 100 degree reading. You can see the heights were just a little too low over the Great Lakes from the LGA July 100 composite.

The stronger ridging building across Alaska and Canada to Greenland may have been the culprit. Notice the confused North Pacific

pattern combining a developing Nina ridge north of Hawaii and warm +PDO ridging holding on into Alaska and Canada.

 

July 2016

16.gif

 

LGA July 100 degree conmposite

 

100.png

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12 hours ago, doncat said:

What's your precip for July now Tom? Central nj looks like the rain winner this month.

 

Doing well here -- up to 6.87" on the month with very green grass. We have been hitting the jackpot locally; no complains in that department. Could be why my highs seem to be slightly lower too given the wetter soils.

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7 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Is it time to change the heatwave criteria. 90+ is basically average at this point, I think 3+ days of 95+ is more of a heatwave. 

I agree, new normals. 90 is meh no big deal now. Just don't use the park which is terrible during the summer especially after rain. I think LGA and EWR are more representative of what Manhattan is like during a heat event

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22 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

looking good for a soaker friday morning. the nam shows pwats over 2.4" which is insane outside of a tropical system in this area

 A 2.4" PWAT is the record around here for late July and early August. So wherever the training sets up we'll see some potentially

record breaking rainfalls.

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