Rjay Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 It's 75/71 here but feels wonderful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 19, 2016 Author Share Posted July 19, 2016 Must have been quite a change with the models overnight with regards to temperatures for this coming weekend. Both Mt.Holly and Upton had mid 90's on Friday and mid to upper 90's Saturday and Sunday on yesterdays afternoon zone forecast, now both they have dropped high temps to the low 90's for all three days with this mornings zone forecast. I was kind of surprised to see that to be honest since the heat for this coming weekend has really been touted the last couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 1 hour ago, Rtd208 said: Must have been quite a change with the models overnight with regards to temperatures for this coming weekend. Both Mt.Holly and Upton had mid 90's on Friday and mid to upper 90's Saturday and Sunday on yesterdays afternoon zone forecast, now both they have dropped high temps to the low 90's for all three days with this mornings zone forecast. I was kind of surprised to see that to be honest since the heat for this coming weekend has really been touted the last couple of days. Last night's Euro had 2m temp anomalies that were not that bad for our immediate area. The +10 anomalies were positioned well west and southwest of the area with another max in eastern New England. The tristate was mostly between +3 and +7 for Sunday and between +2 to +6 for Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 1 hour ago, Rtd208 said: Must have been quite a change with the models overnight with regards to temperatures for this coming weekend. Both Mt.Holly and Upton had mid 90's on Friday and mid to upper 90's Saturday and Sunday on yesterdays afternoon zone forecast, now both they have dropped high temps to the low 90's for all three days with this mornings zone forecast. I was kind of surprised to see that to be honest since the heat for this coming weekend has really been touted the last couple of days. GFS drops a backdoor to NYC or so Friday night before it drifts back north Sunday. Is it correct? Seasonal trend would however argue the heat is south and west as it's had a hard time getting to our area and having any staying power beyond a day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 35 minutes ago, Sundog said: Last night's Euro had 2m temp anomalies that were not that bad for our immediate area. The +10 anomalies were positioned well west and southwest of the area with another max in eastern New England. The tristate was mostly between +3 and +7 for Sunday and between +2 to +6 for Monday. The raw 2m T's were 92..95..97..95 for Newark from Friday through Monday. 850's get warmer near 20C than the 18C which sent LGA to 97 yesterday. So it's all about how much convection and convective debris is around as to whether the temps can max out. The Euro had a 96 for Newark yesterday and LGA wound up beating that by one with the 97. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 I think its prudent to start lower unless the signal is really strong and adjust higher as we get closer. We know its going to be hot and in the low 90s so start there and hopefully move up from there to mid to upper 90s in the normal toastier locations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 11 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: I think its prudent to start lower unless the signal is really strong and adjust higher as we get closer. We know its going to be hot and in the low 90s so start there and hopefully move up from there to mid to upper 90s in the normal toastier locations the tarmacs at EWR and LGA will almost certainly roast. 95+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 19, 2016 Author Share Posted July 19, 2016 Overall, we haven't done to bad lately, while the core of the heat has been further west we have had quite a bit of low to mid 90's in our area recently. This weekend and possibly into early next week looks to continue that at the very least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 1 hour ago, Rtd208 said: Overall, we haven't done to bad lately, while the core of the heat has been further west we have had quite a bit of low to mid 90's in our area recently. This weekend and possibly into early next week looks to continue that at the very least. I will take the low 90's with the storms we been getting the rest of the summer. No use for that heat and brown lawns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 Today and tomorrow look pretty nice and comfortable with lower Dewpoints and clear skies. Some spots might be able to break into the 50s tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 July Departures Through the 18th NYC: +0.8 EWR: +1.4 LGA: +2.5 JFK: +1.8 TTN: +1.8 PHL: +2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael05192016 Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 In my opinion, August 2016 looks quite cool and wet on the CFS. See for yourselves. This really might be it. GEFS also looks much cooler at last 5 days of the run. The trough is looking to get much stronger in the Northeast in long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 the end of the gfes run looks frigid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 12z GFS says hello 100 degrees from Virginia to Southern New Jersey on Sunday with widespread upper 90's into the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 40 minutes ago, forkyfork said: the end of the gfes run looks frigid That's cold sheesh lmfao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 1 hour ago, Michael05192016 said: In my opinion, August 2016 looks quite cool and wet on the CFS. See for yourselves. This really might be it. GEFS also looks much cooler at last 5 days of the run. The trough is looking to get much stronger in the Northeast in long range. At this point you must be trolling. You declared summer over in June and said nobody north east of NY would hit 90. Boston hit 96 the other day. Islip has hit 90 3 times. Stop already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 2 hours ago, SACRUS said: July Departures Through the 18th NYC: +0.8 EWR: +1.4 LGA: +2.5 JFK: +1.8 TTN: +1.8 PHL: +2.0 +0.8 here thru yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 12z Euro came hotter than 0z with widespread upper 90's like the GFS with pockets of 100 degree readings from SE PA to interior portions of NJ for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salseneca Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 Looks like the serious heat now extending into Monday as per the 12z runs so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael05192016 Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 How does Friday look for severe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 1 hour ago, bluewave said: 12z Euro came hotter than 0z with widespread upper 90's like the GFS with pockets of 100 degree readings from SE PA to interior portions of NJ for the weekend. But Mike#s told us summer was over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 35 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: But Mike#s told us summer was over. He was a big fan of June and July 2009... so I think that he was hoping for a low cooling bill special . In any event, summer heat has become the new normal just like snowy winters. Only 3 below normal temperature summers at LGA since 2001 and 4 below normal snowfall seasons around the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 2 hours ago, Michael05192016 said: How does Friday look for severe? Meh for now. The Euro isn't that bad, but the GFS has virtually no SBCAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 Dew point in JFK down to 45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted July 19, 2016 Share Posted July 19, 2016 Currently 77/57. Feels great outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 20, 2016 Share Posted July 20, 2016 July Departures EWR: 2015: +1.6 2014: -0.3 2013: +3.5 2012: +3.5 2011: +5.3 2010: +4.9 2009: -3.1 2008: +1.4 2007: -1.4 2006: +2.1 2005: +0.9 2004: -2.3 2003: -0.3 2002: +2.7 2001: -3.2 2000: -3.7 1999. +3.5 1998: +0.2 1997: -0.6 1996: -3.5 1995: +2.1 1994: +4.5 1993: +5.2 1992: - 0.6 1991: +0.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted July 20, 2016 Share Posted July 20, 2016 1 hour ago, UnionWX said: Currently 77/57. Feels great outside. Feel invigorating! Perfect weather in the middle of July. Why people need 90's and humidity day after day is beyond me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 20, 2016 Share Posted July 20, 2016 Today's highs; PHL: 89 ACY: 88 LGA: 88 JFK: 86 New Brunswick: 86 EWR: 85 TTN: 85 ISP: 85 TEB: 84 NYC: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 20, 2016 Share Posted July 20, 2016 There are only 4 days in July at Newark (EWR) that did not reach 100 (+) 7/12: 99 (2011) 7/24: 99 (2010) 7/25: 98 (1999) 7/26: 99 (2005) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 20, 2016 Share Posted July 20, 2016 Still 82 here. Meanwhile, in Westhampton it's 61 already. They can hit upper 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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