Torchageddon Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 One of the more impressive 500 mb maps I can recall. Only 9 days away gfs_namer_216_500_vort_ht.gif I wish I could send that to myself in July 2014 with the message "There is HOPE..." Those maps are from my weenie drawer. Very cloudy today but nice out. Looking forward to more heat in the coming days. Lawn is still extremely yellow as the rain from Friday was barely evident. Last week was amazing temperature wise, close to a perfect summer week with no annoyances. Even the coldest day Saturday was perfectly comfortable and refreshing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 Still 79/72 with a real nice south breeze. Was out mowing earlier today when the HI was well into the 90s. Wasn't nearly as bad as it would have been if we didn't have the breezy south winds. Really helped make it quite tolerable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 It's a very warm and breezy night. Sitting at 79°/70°. Reach 90° today. Corn is probably 4 feet tall now, maybe slightly higher in pockets. The last rain helped perk things up a little, but it only went so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 even i can't polish this turd, potential nightmare death ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 Storms crapped the bed as expected on the back doorstep. Picked up a trace. Definitely don't need the rain anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 Another 0.95" of rain here overnight... 2.70" for the month. It seems every line of storms that moves through this summer is soaking me good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 12, 2016 Author Share Posted July 12, 2016 The massive expanse of the ridging in the longer term is reminiscent of some of those episodes in summer 2012. The big difference this time is that there isn't nearly the drought so what is realized at the surface may not be as impressive. Plus this is still pretty far out there and subject to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 even i can't polish this turd, potential nightmare death ridge Welcome to the team Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 The massive expanse of the ridging in the longer term is reminiscent of some of those episodes in summer 2012. The big difference this time is that there isn't nearly the drought so what is realized at the surface may not be as impressive. Plus this is still pretty far out there and subject to change. It'll probably be more like the 1995 or 1998 heat ridges (both of which succeeded El Nino winters and preceeded La Nina winters), which I'm ok with. In Detroit, both July 1995 and 1998 were very active in terms of severe weather under these ridges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 the potential round(s) of storms this week are quickly turning into yet another underwhelming turd of an event for us east of the big river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 the potential round(s) of storms this week are quickly turning into yet another underwhelming turd of an event for us east of the big river Things are looking good for garden variety storms here, especially tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 sizzle and fizzle. Maybe we'll luck out unlike last week but I won't be holding my breath. Bring on winter.. at least the fails are more entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 12, 2016 Author Share Posted July 12, 2016 Pretty impressive signal on the 00z EPS and 12z GEFS mean at such distance, so it's not like the op runs are spitting out some crackpot unsupported solution. Besides the heat, could be a good ring of fire pattern for areas on the periphery of the ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 Wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 Quite the stout ridge being shown on all the globals in the D10 timeframe. Liking the consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 get the gold bond ready boyz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 Storms crapped the bed as expected on the back doorstep. Picked up a trace. Definitely don't need the rain anyway. Ended up with 0.01" as a few patches of decaying anvil rain drifted over. 2.65" for the month now. Another 0.95" of rain here overnight... 2.70" for the month. It seems every line of storms that moves through this summer is soaking me good. Too bad we don't have this kind of luck in the winter most of the time lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 after nearly a 1/2" of rain this morning early, sun and 84/63 today. might as well have been a hundred. felt so hot and soupy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 12, 2016 Share Posted July 12, 2016 Euro forecast max surface temps really aren't all that impressive even next week. A day or two in the low-mid 90s for some of us, but it looks like the core of the heat stays southwest like it has much of the summer so far. The Plains and southern MS valley bake though. Could end up being a very stormy pattern for those of us riding the edge, much like we've seen already this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 13, 2016 Share Posted July 13, 2016 Maxed at 93. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 13, 2016 Share Posted July 13, 2016 Euro forecast max surface temps really aren't all that impressive even next week. A day or two in the low-mid 90s for some of us, but it looks like the core of the heat stays southwest like it has much of the summer so far. The Plains and southern MS valley bake though. Could end up being a very stormy pattern for those of us riding the edge, much like we've seen already this summer. Not as deep of a ridge on the Euro comparatively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 13, 2016 Share Posted July 13, 2016 91° here today. Dew point backed off some as the afternoon went on. Breezy again. Looking so dry around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted July 13, 2016 Share Posted July 13, 2016 Another hot day, CLE hit a record high of 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 13, 2016 Share Posted July 13, 2016 91 here for a max Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 13, 2016 Share Posted July 13, 2016 Dew hit 78 earlier this afternoon before the storms hit. Highest dew of the year so far here. Hit 87 before the rain. Down in the 60s now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted July 13, 2016 Share Posted July 13, 2016 I'm glad we got our inch of rain a couple days ago, because that was it for this active period. The mcs action to the south once again nixed our chance. Missouri really needs to be strongly capped in order for us to get good storms. That was the case for our bigger events so far this summer. This weekend has some decent potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted July 14, 2016 Share Posted July 14, 2016 For those wanting even more Severe Weather, Monday might be another shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 14, 2016 Share Posted July 14, 2016 Would be potentially looking at 100*F+ highs in Chicago and Detroit if the GFS is right by next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 14, 2016 Share Posted July 14, 2016 In the mean time, it's going to be another nail biter as far as achieving that 3rd consecutive 90*F+ day tomorrow. While I never want to underestimate the power of that downsloping wind, I'm also concerned about potential convection and its debris (based on progged mid-level RH values). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted July 14, 2016 Share Posted July 14, 2016 11 minutes ago, Powerball said: Would be potentially looking at 100*F+ highs in Chicago and Detroit if the GFS is right by next weekend. AND it would be progged to be muggy as hell at the same time. So really high heat indexes, we could see the first Excessive Heat Warnings in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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