hawkeye_wx Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Wow... this mcs has actually built back west all the way to Cedar Rapids. I did not see that coming at all. I have to go put my gauge out and prepare the downspouts. At least the outflow boundary just passed through and dropped the dewpoint 10 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Highly unusual path through Iowa, to be sure. Lots of instability still around and weak LLJ pushing sultry air over the top of that cold pool should keep it going for a while. Gonna be a washout up there for sure. It'll also probably mess up the temp forecast tomorrow with all of the overturning and remnant outflow to the south tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 22, 2016 Author Share Posted July 22, 2016 MCS sure ended up farther west than progged by most guidance, or another way to put it is that areas farther east that were looking good got screwed. I had been following the models pretty closely and they generally had more activity farther east, more through Michigan and Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 14 minutes ago, Hoosier said: MCS sure ended up farther west than progged by most guidance, or another way to put it is that areas farther east that were looking good got screwed. I had been following the models pretty closely and they generally had more activity farther east, more through Michigan and Indiana. Story of the entire summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 This is getting very interesting Saturday night close to the Twin Cities metro area. Given that often times the Nam has a slightly northern basis this far out....... \ http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CENTRAL_NAM212_ATMOS_STP-NEW_48HR.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 KLOT estimated rainfall from this fairly large MCS system (both images as of about 1:02AM Central Time) Milwaukee area radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNstorms Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Yesterday's Highs were 98/81/119F here. Some of the hottest temps I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Power back on after almost 4hrs. Picked up 1.01" this eve. Just shy of 5" for July now. Outflow has reached Keokuk. Currently sustained winds of 288mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Shot of Erie and a nearby bolt from earlier. This was shortly before the power grid crapped the bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 It looks like I got about an inch or a tad over, exactly what I was looking for. It was a pretty garden-variety storm, but there were several nice cracks as it slowly bubbled westward through the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 4 hours ago, Stebo said: Story of the entire summer. And to pour salt on the wounds, lo and behold the MCS that blows up this morning in SW Ontario and is now diving into OH / PA (while we just get to suffer from its debris crap). I don't know about you, but I'm definitely over this severe weather season. I don't think I've had a t'storm wind gust above 30 MPH this entire season, let along all of the other goodies that comes along with organized convection (such as shelf clouds, CTG lightning, hail, massive towers, etc). And I don't even think the total number of t'storms this season, when we average 35-40 per season, can be counted on both hands. There's little chance of redemption at this point. I'm ready to bring on Summer 2017. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 3 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Power back on after almost 4hrs. Picked up 1.01" this eve. Just shy of 5" for July now. Outflow has reached Keokuk. Currently sustained winds of 288mph. Lol. Jason Puma at IND this morning: Nam fails to recognize ongoing convection to the northwest. That is all I am gonna say about the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Not to rub salt in the wounds of the MI posters, but we did get a nice storm here yesterday around 5 PM, with winds up to 50 MPH, several large tree limbs snapped, torrential rain (0.86" in less than a half an hour) and some spectacular lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 took a quick look around... wouldn't be shocked if we don't get much above 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 With 850mb already in the low 20s and 925mb temps already in the mid-20s, there's no way low 90s don't happen at the least (WITH cloud debris). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 one more day of heat, although the air is much drier today... dp in the 50's video of a weakening severe storm yesterday that produced 90 mph winds west of here in twin lakes. .31" of rain and a 42 mph gust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 29 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: took a quick look around... wouldn't be shocked if we don't get much above 87 I know Weather.com already stuck their fork on today in regards with the high temperature. Alongside ILN, they're still hinting low 90s this weekend, but I doubt that will happen at all this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 lamest excessive heat warning ever here along the lake, do we even make it into the upper 80s today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 excessive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Dews down about 10 degrees compared to yesterday, and we're still in the 70s with quite a few clouds. That MCS definitely had a huge impact over a large area. We have another 7-8hrs to go, so I wouldn't be surprised to see us tag a late day 90. Dews will probably jump up later in the afternoon once the temps get going. The northwest half of Iowa, and southern MN are pretty well untouched. Those areas are gonna bake pretty good today. Should see that heat slowly build southeast later today as areas southeast of that slowly recover. I'm guessing by 6pm MLI will be around 90/80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Bottom line is that the reason why temps are down is because of an MCS that no one really saw growing the way that it did and knocking down temps and dews, thus lessening the risk of high heat/dews throughout the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 4 hours ago, Powerball said: With 850mb already in the low 20s and 925mb temps already in the mid-20s, there's no way low 90s don't happen at the least (WITH cloud debris). Already 91, should hit the 94 we were forecast today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 ORD still in the 70s, probably safe to drop the headlines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 22, 2016 Author Share Posted July 22, 2016 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: Dews down about 10 degrees compared to yesterday, and we're still in the 70s with quite a few clouds. That MCS definitely had a huge impact over a large area. We have another 7-8hrs to go, so I wouldn't be surprised to see us tag a late day 90. Dews will probably jump up later in the afternoon once the temps get going. The northwest half of Iowa, and southern MN are pretty well untouched. Those areas are gonna bake pretty good today. Should see that heat slowly build southeast later today as areas southeast of that slowly recover. I'm guessing by 6pm MLI will be around 90/80. Clearly some lingering effects of the cold pool. I think this is also going to hurt convective chances later and wouldn't be surprised if activity this afternoon is isolated/hit or miss at best in northern IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 22, 2016 Author Share Posted July 22, 2016 Think there's a real possibility that one of these weekend days ends up the hottest in Chicago, which would be sort of ironic given that there aren't any heat headlines currently in effect for the city this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 26 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: ORD still in the 70s, probably safe to drop the headlines As if on cue, heat warning cancelled. Heat advisory for mby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Even though this heat wave has been less than anticipated overall, yesterday was about as brutal as it gets for western IL and much of Iowa. Don't see HI above 115 every summer. Temperature wise it's a very forgettable heat wave, but the extreme moisture and associated HI values were very impressive. The 96 at MLI back in June may end up being the hottest air temp of the season unless we get another heat wave in August. Up to 84/73/90 here. Still some patches of mid-level clouds floating through. Still think we'll make a run at 90/80/100+ by 5-6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 95...hottest so far in 2016 at DTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Temp at 94 but humidity is down to 26% yielding a HI of 92. Excessive heat warning cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 22, 2016 Author Share Posted July 22, 2016 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: Even though this heat wave has been less than anticipated overall, yesterday was about as brutal as it gets for western IL and much of Iowa. Don't see HI above 115 every summer. Temperature wise it's a very forgettable heat wave, but the extreme moisture and associated HI values were very impressive. The 96 at MLI back in June may end up being the hottest air temp of the season unless we get another heat wave in August. Up to 84/73/90 here. Still some patches of mid-level clouds floating through. Still think we'll make a run at 90/80/100+ by 5-6pm. There's some upper 70s/80 degree dews farther west in Iowa but I'm not sure they will make it that far east in the next few hours. Airmass is really taking its time recovering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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