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July pattern discussion


Typhoon Tip

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Models are still trying to door some of us somewhere in the Th/F/Sa period.

 

mmm, particularly in the GFS. ...actually, heh, the Euro turns over minor waves so quick that it's got a warm fropa look on early Saturday.

 

if that sucker can get to central New England, that look sports big thunder!

 

also, getting harder to ignore the heat signal growing next week - see if it has legs?

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Yea no way the coast sees 95 today

 

the "coast" - to which are you referring ?   

 

what gradient there is is off-shore ...the "shore" is the hottest locale - unless the light gradient can be overcome by some very local sea-breeze cycling.   good luck -

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the "coast" - to which are you referring ?   

 

what gradient there is is off-shore ...the "shore" is the hottest locale - unless the light gradient can be overcome by some very local sea-breeze cycling.   good luck -

IDK just looked at a map with wind direction and the sea breeze already kicked in. 

post-322-0-26505900-1467814600_thumb.png

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IDK just looked at a map with wind direction and the sea breeze already kicked in. 

 

alright, so the answer to which coast is CT - 

 

i think 'coast' is too broad brushed to be fair.  

 

you have local shore breezes implied with that product and it's possible that when some mixing kicks in with more heating near-by 'on that coast' that the gradient mixes down and reverses that - or not, but we'll see.  point is, that's a real tenuous and pretty restricted to the shore to hang one's hat.  

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My hood won't see 95

Hoping for 91

Yeah MPM probably 84F or so at 1,000ft. I think that's where he was at last time ORH hit 90F last summer.

ASOS stations will torch pretty much everywhere.

We had a high launch point this morning with a low of 55F, so I bet we'll get near 90F. We've been getting 35+ degree rises every sunny day it seems. Yesterday was 86/50, so we do that again we should end near 91F today.

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Yeah MPM probably 84F or so at 1,000ft. I think that's where he was at last time ORH hit 90F last summer.

ASOS stations will torch pretty much everywhere.

We had a high launch point this morning with a low of 55F, so I bet we'll get near 90F. We've been getting 35+ degree rises every sunny day it seems. Yesterday was 86/50, so we do that again we should end near 91F today.

 

 

ORH may have trouble hitting 90 today...it's marginal when the 850s are +17 to +18...but I'd rather see +19 or higher ..also the wind direction is W to WSW, not the best for torching ORH airport. I like to see a northerly component.

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ORH may have trouble hitting 90 today...it's marginal when the 850s are +17 to +18...but I'd rather see +19 or higher ..also the wind direction is W to WSW, not the best for torching ORH airport. I like to see a northerly component.

True, could see a lot of quick rises to like 86-87F and then just hangs upper 80s later this afternoon. I like MPV up here at 1,200ft will avoid 90F.

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We Breeze

12:35	84.2	62.6	69.5	48	11.5	SSW	29.79		29.87	Clear	10.00						OK
12:30	84.2	62.6	69.5	48	10.4	SW	29.79		29.87	Clear	10.00						OK
12:25	86.0	64.4	71.1	49	9.2	SW	29.79		29.87	Clear	10.00						OK
12:20	84.2	64.4	70.6	52	10.4	SSW	29.79		29.87	Clear	10.00						OK
11:53	84.0	64.9	70.8	53	8.1	WSW	29.79	29.87	29.87	Clear	10.00						OK
11:50	84.2	64.4	70.6	52	9.2	WSW	29.79		29.87	Clear	10.00						OK
11:45	84.2	66.2	71.7	55	8.1	WSW	29.79		29.87	Clear	10.00						OK
11:35	86.0	64.4	71.1	49	8.1	WSW	29.78		29.86	Clear	10.00						OK
11:30	84.2	64.4	70.6	52	8.1	WSW	29.78		29.86	Clear	10.00						OK
11:20	84.2	64.4	70.6	52	6.9	SW	29.78		29.86	Clear	10.00						OK
11:05	87.8	62.6	70.6	43	8.1	WSW	29.78		29.86	Clear	10.00						OK
11:00	87.8	62.6	70.6	43	5.8	WSW	29.78		29.86	Clear	10.00						OK
10:53	88.0	61.0	69.7	41	6.9	W	29.77	29.85	29.85	Clear	10.00
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