July 2016 temperature forecast contest

[Roger Smith]

__ continued from earlier anomaly tracker __

_____________________ DCA __ NYC __ BOS ___ ORD __ ATL __ IAH ___ DEN __ PHX __ SEA

SEASONAL MAX _______100____ 96 ____ 98 ____ 93 ___ 100 ___100 ____ 102 ___ 118 ___ 93

 

Anomaly __ (20d) ______ +1.1 __ +0.7 __ +1.0 ____ 0.0 __ +3.2 __ +3.7 ___ +1.3 __ +1.8 __ +0.1

Anomaly __ (23d) ______ +1.6 __ +1.5 __ +2.0 ___ +0.9 __ +3.2 __ +3.5 ___ +2.1 __ +2.3 __ +0.4

Anomaly __ (24d) ______ +1.9 __ +1.8 __ +2.1 ___ +1.2 __ +3.3 __ +3.5 ___ +2.2e__+2.3 __ +0.5

Anomaly __ (26d) ______ +2.5 __ +2.0 __ +2.6 ___ +1.5 __ +3.5 __ +3.3 ___ +2.2 __ +2.5 __ +0.7

Anomaly __ (27d) ______ +2.7 __ +2.1 __ +2.7 ___ +1.6 __ +3.5 __ +3.0 ___ +2.2 __ +2.6 __ +0.8

Anomaly __ (28d) ______ +2.8 __ +2.3 __ +2.9 ___ +1.7 __ +3.5 __ +2.8 ___ +2.0 __ +2.7 __ +1.0

Anomaly __ (29d) ______ +2.9 __ +2.2 __ +2.9 ___ +1.7 __ +3.5 __ +2.8 ___ +1.9 __ +2.6 __ +1.3

Anomaly __ (30d) ______ +2.8 __ +2.2 __ +2.9 ___ +1.6 __ +3.4 __ +2.7 ___ +2.0 __ +2.4 __ +1.2

Confrimed  (31d) _______ +2.9 __ +2.2 __ +2.7 ___ +1.5 __ +3.2 __ +2.7 ___ +2.0 __ +2.3 __ +1.1

 

Final scores for July are now posted (two posts back). The annual update should appear soon. 

 

[Eric Romm]

That's vivid but...

DCA:  +1.6

NYC:  +1.8

BOS:  +0.9

ORD:  +4.1

ATL:   +1.9

IAH:   +1.9

DEN:  +2.1

PHX:  +2.1

SEA:  +0.2

[Roger Smith]

Is the above for July or August? If for August, we have a thread open for that contest. 

[Roger Smith]

=======<<<< UPDATED ANNUAL SCORING JANUARY to JULY 2016 >>>>=======

 

 

FORECASTER ______ DCA_NYC_BOS __ east ___ ORD_ATL_IAH __ cent __ TOTAL __ Best scores

 

 

01 DonSutherland.1 ___ 497 . 561 . 490 __ 1548 ___ 459 . 486 . 508 ___ 1453 ___ 3001 __ 010011 . 1. 1 ..MAY

02 wxdude64 ________ 492 . 529 . 516 __ 1537 ___ 462 . 486 . 484 ___ 1432 ___ 2969 __ 111111 .1 . 0

03 RodneyS _________ 525 . 516 . 494 __ 1535 ___ 411 . 488 . 512 ___ 1411 ___ 2946 __ 221021 . 2 . 1

04 BKViking _________ 423 . 522 . 473 __ 1418 ___ 537 . 515 . 477 ___ 1499 ___ 2917 __ 000210 . 0 . 1 ..JAN

 

05 Consensus________ 493 . 530 . 464 __ 1487 ___ 454 . 498 . 464 ___ 1416 ___ 2903 __ 000000 . 0 . 0

 

05 hudsonvalley21 ____ 471 . 498 . 464 __ 1433 ___ 544 . 486 . 396 ___ 1426 ___ 2859 __ 000100 . 0 . 0

06 Mallow____________435 . 530 . 500 __ 1465 ___ 466 . 390 . 512 ___ 1368 ___ 2833 __ 100001 . 0 . 0

07 blazess556 ________435 . 524 . 500 __ 1459 ___ 359 . 535 . 440 ___ 1334 ___ 2793 __ 000011 . 0 . 0

08 wxallannj _________ 451 . 508 . 480 __ 1439 ___ 444 . 418 . 484 ___ 1346 ___ 2785 __ 010100 . 0 . 1 ..APR

09 Damage in Tolland __483 . 476 . 460 __ 1419 ___ 414 . 522 . 380 ___ 1316 ___ 2735 __ 101010 . 0 . 1..JUL

10 OHweather ________435 . 537 . 499 __ 1471 ___ 345 . 471 . 414 ___ 1230 ___ 2701 __ 000010. 0 . 0

11 SD ______________ 431 . 490 . 432 __ 1353 ___ 436 . 454 . 452 ___ 1342 ___ 2695 __ 000110. 0 . 0

12 Maxim ___________397 . 450 . 560 __ 1407 ___ 306 . 444 . 484 ___ 1234 ___ 2641 __ 102001 . 1 . 1 ..MAR

13 MidloSnowMaker___ 422 . 464 . 478 __ 1364 ___ 434 . 424 . 369 ___ 1227 ___ 2591 __ 011010 . 1 . 0 ..FEB

14 Stebo____________ 432 . 415 . 408 __ 1255 ___ 374 . 491 . 442 ___ 1307 ___ 2562 __ 000001 . 1 . 1

15 Rjay _____________464 . 421 . 385 __ 1270 ___ 387 . 507 . 345 ___ 1239 ___ 2509 __ 100010 . 0 . 0

16 Roger Smith ______ 455 . 410 . 404 __ 1269 ___ 360 . 426 . 452 ___ 1238 ___ 2507 __ 200001 . 0 . 0

 

17 Normal___________ 438 . 440 . 384 __ 1262 ___ 410 . 356 . 460 ___ 1226 ___ 2488 __ 000000 . 1 . 0

 

17 Tenman Johnson __ 443 . 422 . 438 __ 1303 ___ 406 . 402 . 370 ___ 1178 ___ 2481 __ 210100 . 1 . 0

18 Tom_____________ 425 . 426 . 394 __ 1245 ___ 356 . 404 . 420 ___ 1180 ___ 2425 __ 000000 . 0 . 1 .. JUN

19 dmillz25__________ 410 . 400 . 374 __ 1184 ___ 408 . 458 . 352 ___ 1218 ___ 2402 __ 100100 . 0 . 0

20 ksammut* ________ 413 . 397 . 360 __ 1170 ___ 269 . 338 . 346 ____ 953 ___ 2123 __ 111001 . 1 . 0

______________________________________________

* missed one month (July) , other partial scores can be found in earlier months. 

[Roger Smith]

=== <<<<< Updated Annual Scoring for western and for all nine contests Jan to July 2016 >>>>> ===

 

FORECASTER __________ DEN_PHX_SEA __ TOTALS _ best scores (mo) _ All Nine Totals __ best scores

 

01 wxallannj _____________ 396 _ 452 _ 552 ____ 1400 ________ 0 0 1 _______4185 (= 3) ___ APR

02 DonSutherland.1 _______ 380 _ 408 _ 574 ____ 1362 ________ 0 0 2 _ Apr __4363 (= 1) ___ MAY

03 Mallow _______________360 _ 425 _ 550 ____ 1335 ________ 0 1 0 _______ 4168 (= 4)

 

04 Consensus ___________ 444 _ 404 _ 478 ____ 1326 ________ 0 0 1 _ Jul ___ 4229 (= 2) ___ JUL

 

04 Midlo Snow Maker______ 385 _ 391 _ 528 ____ 1304 ________ 1 0 1_ Mar __ 3895 (=10) ___ FEB

05 hudsonvalley21 ________ 455 _ 400 _ 437 ____ 1292 ________ 0 1 0 _ Jul __ 4151 (= 5)

06 wxdude64 ____________ 413 _ 405 _ 468 ____ 1286 ________ 0 1 2 _ Jan __ 4255 (= 2) ___ JAN

07 Damage in Tolland _____ 393 _ 356 _ 530 ____ 1279 ________ 1 0 1 _ Jun __ 4014 (= 8) ___ JUN

08 OHweather ___________ 356 _ 428 _ 416 ____ 1200 ________ 1 0 1 _ Jul  __ 3901 (= 9) ___ JUL

09 Rjay _________________356 _ 379 _ 455 ____ 1190 ________ 0 0 1 _______ 3699 (=14)

10 BKViking _____________ 376 _ 336 _ 462 ____1174 ________ 0 0 0 _______ 4091 (= 7)

11 Maxim _______________ 266 _ 384 _ 508 ____ 1158 ________ 0 1 1 _______ 3799 (=12) ___ MAR

12 RodneyS _____________ 399 _ 319 _ 428 ____ 1146 ________2 0 0 _ May __ 4092 (= 6)

 

13 Roger Smith __________ 264 _ 398 _ 446 ____ 1108 ________ 0 1 0 _______ 3615 (=15)

14 Tenman Johnson _______ 375 _ 402 _ 298 ____1075 ________ 2 1 1 _ Feb __ 3556 (=16)

15 blazess556 ____________ 325 _ 353 _ 380 ____1058 ________ 0 0 0 _______ 3851 (=11)

16 SD ___________________ 358 _ 330 _ 334 ____1022 _______ 0 0 1 _  Jul  __ 3717 (=13)

17 Tom __________________ 343 _ 347 _ 324 ____1014 _______ 0 0 0 _______ 3439 (=17)

 

18 Normal _______________ 388 _ 314 _ 278 _____ 980 _______ 1 0 0 ________ 3468 (=17)

 

18 dmillz25 _______________ 331 _ 262 _ 386 _____ 979 _______ 0 0 0 _______ 3381 (=18)

19 ksammut* ______________ 306 _ 322 _ 220 _____ 848 _______ 0 1 0 _______ 2971 (=20)

20 Stebo _________________ 257 _ 280 _ 200 _____ 737 _______ 0 0 0 _______ 3299 (=19)

______________________________________________________

* missed one month (July) >> other part-time entrants are listed in earlier annual reports.

UPDATES for EASTERN, CENTRAL will be edited into the previous post fairly soon, I hope. 

[Roger Smith]

Updated Extreme Forecast Table

 

These locations qualified in July:

BOS (+2.7) ... Damage scores a win with second most extreme forecast of +2.8, Rjay takes a loss for +4.5.

IAH (+2.7) ... Maxim takes the win at +2.5, the highest forecast.

No other stations qualified, although ATL was close, fourth highest forecast (RodneyS) won there. 

 

Updated Standings

 

Damage in Tolland ____4-0

RodneyS ___________ 4-1*

Midlo Snow Maker ____4-1

Tenman Johnson _____3-0

DonSutherland.1 _____ 3-0

Maxim ______________3-1

wxallannj ___________ 2-0

ksammut ___________ 2-0

Roger Smith _________2-2

BKViking ___________ 1-0

dmillz25 ____________ 1-0

hudsonvalley21 ______ 1-0

Blazess556 __________1-0

OHweather __________1-0

Mallow _____________ 1-0

Normal _____________ 1-0

 

Rjay _______________ 0-2

debeaches __________ 0-3

 

*plus one "no decision" __ RodneyS and Quincy (they were closer by forecast back in April, but lost on time penalties to the high score).