NittanyWx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Putting track aside for a moment, the globals are in agreement that this will be an absolute monster of a low pressure system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 The surface low gets down to 970 east of Ocean City, Maryland. Prolific snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 no Seems odd then for a low drifting east... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 hr 156 its out of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Wait, don't you mean heavy DC-NYC with light-mod. back to PIT? Naw.. he has it right. Even if we "only" get 1.00" the ratios may be 18:1 or so.. crazy stuff man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Putting track aside for a moment, the globals are in agreement that this will be an absolute monster of a low pressure system. Just commented on this the ukie at 957 and ggem at 966 are not too far (near misses) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Does this remind you somewhat of Dec 92 and where that stalled out? Sounds like its going to stall just east of the delmarva, much like that one did. The winds with this thing will be amazing. IF it transpires, and this is probably again representative of a perfectly phased/timed solution. It seems to stall a little south of where that one did, so maybe the best analog would be the Ash Wednesday storm 1962? It actually phases and then occludes too fast for us, so we receive moderate effects compared to further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 :wub: no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bass28 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 dont wanna be a weenie here but it sounds like the euro doesnt even hit nyc that good the way you described it with only light to mod? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 the best way to put it, looks like a hurricane coming up the coast the precip is like symmetrical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 It's insane how far south this thing is captured and then stalled. We might actually want it to be captured a little later than this run shows so the worst of it hits us and not Balt/DC (although we would be hit very hard regardless). I will take take the capture right were it is please . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 dont wanna be a weenie here but it sounds like the euro doesnt even hit nyc that good the way you described it with only light to mod? He already said that DC to NYC Shut down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Just commented on this the ukie at 957 and ggem at 966 are not too far (near misses) They are so close.. wouldn't take much of an adjustment to move them 100 miles further to the west... (I guess you could say the same thing about moving them further east too) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 dont wanna be a weenie here but it sounds like the euro doesnt even hit nyc that good the way you described it with only light to mod? im gonna do a map hold on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 EC still has a bomb... but did trend SE. Not sure I'm liking that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Look familiar to anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Board reaction to Euro was video taped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Absolute bomb, but notice it's further out than 12z, looks like the Dec 1992 Nor'easter on the panels... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 QPF could be a little lighter than expected above 40N. This is a golden run south of mason-dixon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiburon Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 hr 138 sub 976 75 miles east of lewes del...lgt to mod precip over dc to nyc...hvy precip all the way back to pit with mod precip garret county md to state college to albany Wait, don't you mean heavy DC-NYC with light-mod. back to PIT? No--we must be in the eye. dont wanna be a weenie here but it sounds like the euro doesnt even hit nyc that good the way you described it with only light to mod? Light to mod is one thing, light to mod for 24+ hours with 30+mph winds is another altogether. In this airmass, with this setup, if it verifies, you don't need a whole lot of QPF to get ridiculous snows--and we haven;t even breached the idea of a deformation band yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Thanks tomb. I still can't make these precip amounts out for the life of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Well glad to see my thoughts were wrong. ECM destroys the EC. I am wishing it on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 EC still has a bomb... but did trend SE. Not sure I'm liking that... LET US ENJOY THIS TONIGHT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 IF it transpires, and this is probably again representative of a perfectly phased/timed solution. It seems to stall a little south of where that one did, so maybe the best analog would be the Ash Wednesday storm 1962? It actually phases and then occludes too fast for us, so we receive moderate effects compared to further south. It feels weird talking about a March 1993 type storm in terms of strength, coupled with the stalling out features of Ash Wed 1962 (which peaked at the central Jersey Shore if Im not mistaken) and Dec 1992, which was stronger further north, Long Island to SNE 5-6 days in advance lol. Let's see if this has room to trend slightly north with time.... it probably doesnt have to get more than, what 50 miles further north, to be in the same spot Dec 1992 was when it stalled? Besides which, a storm of that strength should have a wider area of heavy precip-- unless its tropical lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 EC still has a bomb... but did trend SE. Not sure I'm liking that... It actually just trended further south...it gets captured earlier. The ridge out west was more amplified. Don't see any eastward jogs here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 :wub: With caution ptb, we basically need everything perfect for us to get good snows. The EURO verbatim may not be that good for us. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I am tempering excitement until more models come inline, but anyone notice how every other model takes the storm NE and out while the euro moves due east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Goodness sakes, did anyone actually look at the NOGAPS? I don't even know what it is doing this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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