mattinpa Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 On 12/22/2010 at 6:03 AM, psuhoffman said: thats not the problem, 12z euro was the strongest with the vortex over the northeast and still bombed out the low. That may actually be why it bombed out as the block slowed everything down and allowed it to amplify behind it. This is about how the northern branch phases with the STJ That's true. Thanks for the info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 On 12/22/2010 at 6:03 AM, Ericjcrash said: Uh oh....the S/w is killing us tonight. how about you let the run finish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 hr 66 has a closed h5 low over whichita falls tx....mod precip over tx and ok... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 On 12/22/2010 at 6:04 AM, Zir0b said: how about you let the run finish I will, just a reaction to the play by play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 On 12/22/2010 at 6:04 AM, Zir0b said: how about you let the run finish Its absolutely hilarious. Tombo says a little weaker and mass panic starts. Let the run actually play out before people start panicing! JEESH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 H5 low still closed at 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 EC Day 3: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 hr 72 has a closed h5 low just west of dallas ...hvy precip in eastern tx and ok...the ridging over the rockies is significantly stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 The GFS opened back up with H5 at 72, for reference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 hr 78 closed h5 low over dallas...its starting to slow down a lil more than 12z...mod precip over eastern tx la and southern ark...ridge over rockies continues to be more amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 On 12/22/2010 at 6:08 AM, Dsnowx53 said: The GFS opened back up with H5 at 72, for reference. What would force the H5 low to open back up? There really hasn't been much of a discussion about that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 hr 84 the h5 low just barely opened up...northern stream is starting to dive down...h5 low is over eastern tex..lgt precip from ill south to tx...mod precip over la ark and etx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 On 12/22/2010 at 6:08 AM, Dsnowx53 said: The GFS opened back up with H5 at 72, for reference. In other words Euro has min height of 561dm instead of what, 562dm on GFS??!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 the h5 low on hr 84 is just barely opened up compared to 12z at hr 96 which was opened up a good amt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 On 12/22/2010 at 6:10 AM, ptb127 said: What would force the H5 low to open back up? There really hasn't been much of a discussion about that.. It sounds to me like the confluence may have been the killer in the other runs. From what tombo is saying it looks like the confluence gets out in time on the EURO because it's slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteoutwx1796 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 On 12/22/2010 at 6:12 AM, PSUHazletonWx said: It sounds to me like the confluence may have been the killer in the other runs. From what tombo is saying it looks like the confluence gets out in time on the EURO because it's slower. Makes you wonder if the bias the euro has is in play here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 hr 90 h5 low over extreme se la...mod to hvy precip over la and lgt to mod in ten...with lgt precip in between Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 hr 96 has a sub 1012 over northern gulf...northern stream still is diving down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 22, 2010 Author Share Posted December 22, 2010 the vorticity pattern looks similar to the past two runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 hr 96 has lgt to mod precip into nc/tn/sc mtns down into al and ga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 EC Day 4: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 On 12/22/2010 at 6:13 AM, SACRUS said: ggem and ukmet are similar and not far off - ukmet better maps 957 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 hr 102 has a sub 1008 low over eastern pan handle of fl...lgt precip as far north as southern va ...lgt to mod in western nc,sc...mod precip over northern fl and ga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 On 12/22/2010 at 6:15 AM, uofmiami said: EC Day 4: I think this one is going out to sea, look at the orientation of the trof swinging east, and the surface low is further south than the 12z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 hr 108 sub 1000 low 50 miles east of savannah ga...lgt precip up to about dc...lgt to mod precip nc south..with hvy in ga and sc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Euro says **** off to the GFS/GGEM/UK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 On 12/22/2010 at 6:17 AM, Neblizzard said: I think this one is going out to sea, look at the orientation of the trof swinging east, and the surface low is further south than the 12z... Agree...surface low is too far south and trough is too zonal over the Atlantic. We'd want some higher heights there. EDIT: Maybe I spoke too soon, sounds like it's trying to turn the corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 hr 114 sub 992 over cape fear nc...lgt precip to dc hvy precip just into southern va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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