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June 21 and 23 severe weather risks


Ian

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We don't tend to do multiple rounds well except for a few of the big time events. I always assume outflow or storms themselves will stabilize us too much for a lot of intensity from subsequent rounds. We'll see - but you've trained me well to be very pessimistic mostly. 

 

True, but places SW of DC don't look convectively overturned as of yet

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We don't tend to do multiple rounds well except for a few of the big time events. I always assume outflow or storms themselves will stabilize us too much for a lot of intensity from subsequent rounds. We'll see - but you've trained me well to be very pessimistic mostly. 

well it's not really multiple rounds.. all same general 'line' other than the pretender front runner cell. don't see any huge surging outflow and winds are from the SW so it should keep blowing in the better undisturbed air for now.

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well it's not really multiple rounds.. all same general 'line' other than the pretender front runner cell. don't see any huge surging outflow and winds are from the SW so it should keep blowing in the better undisturbed air for now.

 

The poolesville area cell looks like it could be trying to do something too. 

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  

202 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A  

 

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...  

PAGE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...  

NORTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...  

SOUTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...  

SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...  

 

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT  

 

* AT 202 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BASYE-BRYCE  

MOUNTAIN...OR 22 MILES NORTH OF HARRISONBURG...MOVING EAST AT 30  

MPH.  

 

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  

205 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A  

 

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...  

THE CITY OF WINCHESTER IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...  

WEST CENTRAL LOUDOUN COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

CLARKE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...  

EASTERN FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...  

NORTH CENTRAL FAUQUIER COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...  

SOUTHWESTERN BERKELEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...  

 

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT  

 

* AT 204 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST  

OF WINCHESTER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.  

 

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  

 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.  

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2010 had monster snow and I had 3 of the worst 5 thunderstorms I ever experienced including the morning mauler, and a 2pm afternoon event where Nws team reported slivers of 90mph gusts in our subdivision. 2016 monster snow snd DC is getting some more than typical events including the recent all time hailer around Rockville

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