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June 21 and 23 severe weather risks


Ian

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Round 2

 


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  453 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A    * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...    NORTHWESTERN FAIRFAX COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...    NORTHWESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...    SOUTHERN LOUDOUN COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...    NORTH CENTRAL FAUQUIER COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...    * UNTIL 545 PM EDT    * AT 453 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR    BLUEMONT...OR 16 MILES SOUTH OF CHARLES TOWN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT    25 MPH.      HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS.       SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.       IMPACT...EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES. HAIL IS              LARGE ENOUGH TO DENT AND DAMAGE VEHICLES. SOME HAIL              DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND WINDOWS IS POSSIBLE.     * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...    CENTREVILLE...RESTON...SOUTH RIDING...HERNDON...BROADLANDS...    BRAMBLETON...DULLES INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...ASHBURN...STERLING...    CHANTILLY...BULL RUN...MIDDLEBURG...ARCOLA...OATLANDS...BLUEMONT...    SUDLEY...WOOLSEY...UPPERVILLE...PHILOMONT AND GLEEDSVILLE.    
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  

509 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016  

 

MDC021-031-VAC107-212130-  

/O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-160621T2130Z/  

MONTGOMERY MD-FREDERICK MD-LOUDOUN VA-  

509 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016  

 

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT  

FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...SOUTH  

CENTRAL FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHEASTERN  

LOUDOUN COUNTIES IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

 

AT 509 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BOYDS...OR  

NEAR GERMANTOWN...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.  

 

HAZARD...TWO INCH HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.  

 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.  

 

IMPACT...EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES. HAIL IS LARGE  

ENOUGH TO DENT AND DAMAGE VEHICLES. SOME HAIL DAMAGE TO  

ROOFS...SIDING...AND WINDOWS IS POSSIBLE.  

 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  

GERMANTOWN...POINT OF ROCKS...CLARKSBURG...ADAMSTOWN...BARNESVILLE...  

DICKERSON...TUSCARORA...LUCKETTS...PARK MILLS AND TAYLORSTOWN.  

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Seems the issue we will have to deal with for Thursday is a morning batch of heavy rain and storms. The NAM really squashes some of the better CAPE due to this. I'd definitely continue to lean south and west. We'll probably need to hope for that big batch of rain to be wrong if you want severe. Though it's been on multiple consecutive runs. Or perhaps hope for it to clear out quickly. It's still pouring on sim radar at 15z Thursday. 

The 12z GFS seems to not have it (or rather not have as much) morning precip and really blows up convection by afternoon. 

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Sunny, 80 and humid. .10" from the rain earlier. Don't think anything out west will hit tonight. Hopefully Thursday produces up this way...

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

Hmmm...storm in western HoCo moving north east.  Looks like I've got more rain on the way, and maybe it'll make its way further north for you.

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Some pretty wicked effective shear available to these storms approaching the BWI/DCA corridor from the WNW.

ClgRYX8UoAAlPFg.png

I haven't gotten jack but a solid day for here.
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  

531 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A  

 

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...  

FAIRFAX COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

THE CITY OF FALLS CHURCH IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

THE CITY OF ALEXANDRIA IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

ARLINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

THE CITY OF FAIRFAX IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

 

* UNTIL 615 PM EDT  

 

* AT 531 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTH  

RIDING... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.  

 

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.  

 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.  

 

IMPACT...DAMAGING WINDS WILL CAUSE SOME TREES AND LARGE BRANCHES  

TO FALL. THIS COULD INJURE THOSE OUTDOORS...AS WELL AS  

DAMAGE HOMES AND VEHICLES. ROADWAYS MAY BECOME BLOCKED BY  

DOWNED TREES. LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.  

UNSECURED LIGHT OBJECTS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES.  

 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  

ARLINGTON...ALEXANDRIA...CENTREVILLE...RESTON...ANNANDALE...  

SPRINGFIELD...FAIRFAX...FORT HUNT...VIENNA...GROVETON...  

FALLS CHURCH...HUNTINGTON...MANTUA...FORT BELVOIR...PIMMIT HILLS...  

CRYSTAL CITY...REAGAN NATIONAL AIRPORT...MCLEAN...  

ROSSLYN AND BURKE.  

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Not holding my breath, but maybe.

Cool backyard pano I just took. Storm south, clear west, towers north in PA

https://twitter.com/mapgirl18/status/745368189068992513

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Nice pic!  That's where we should be having the end July AmWx get-together!  It would be like the pool scene in Caddyshack.

 

 

Regarding storms, it's getting super-humid here, but looks like my storm is taking I 70.  :(

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