Eskimo Joe Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Pretty decent clearing from Garrett County all the way east to US 15...might work to our advantage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 12z 4km NAM sounding in Warren County in NW VA for 00z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Any idea right now where that diffuse warm front is running? I think it is dead on top of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 CCX velocity data is pretty decent in central pa down through the Laurels. Surprised at the amount of lightning and warnings so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 CCX velocity data is pretty decent in central pa down through the Laurels. Surprised at the amount of lightning and warnings so far. BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1104 AM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE PA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL CAMERON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA... ELK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA... CLEARFIELD COUNTY IN CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA... * UNTIL 1145 AM EDT * AT 1102 AM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR PUNXSUTAWNEY TO 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORTHERN CAMBRIA...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS. IMPACT...EXPECT TREE DAMAGE. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... SANDY AROUND 1110 AM EDT. ROCKTON AROUND 1120 AM EDT. CURWENSVILLE AND S.B. ELLIOT STATE PARK AROUND 1130 AM EDT. CLEARFIELD...HYDE...PLYMPTONVILLE...WOODLAND...HOUTZDALE AND JEFFRIES AROUND 1140 AM EDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE LUMBER CITY...BRISBIN...TROUTVILLE...WEEDVILLE...COALPORT...NEW WASHINGTON... DRIFTWOOD...IRVONA...GRAMPIAN AND MORRISDALE. FOR THOSE DRIVING ON INTERSTATE 80...THIS INCLUDES AREAS BETWEEN THE DUBOIS AND KYLERTOWN EXITS...SPECIFICALLY FROM MILE MARKERS 97 TO 132. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Do you think the MCS will survive further East? The HRRR has it dying off by early afternoon. sigh. it was always supposed to die off some and reorganize as it came east. No, the current line is expected to weaken and then reform over Ohio around 19z. ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Just about every model is dry about NE of Columbia MD, 12z 12k NAM is the only different looking. 4K NAM, RGEM, HRRR, and RAP have that same orientation. Baltimore and East is probably out of the game for any severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 First meso of the day, 40% chance of a watch. Looks like the warm front is right over the I-270 corridor: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2016/md0948.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 First meso of the day, 40% chance of a watch. Looks like the warm front is right over the I-270 corridor: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2016/md0948.html This is all about the initial line, which is interesting. Basically, a wait-and-see whether the storms hold together as they enter WV/western MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 I am driving through a monsoon on 95 in Delaware headed toward Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 The main line is now initiating West of Cleveland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Convective temp on the 12z IAD RAOB is 86. Lets see if we can break 86-88 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 I think it is dead on top of us. Kind of how I feel....left Richmond this morning at 6 it was partly cloudy, made it to Fredericksburg by 7 and it was foggy. It is now pretty much full sun in Spotsylvania Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted June 16, 2016 Author Share Posted June 16, 2016 Sunny spot has made its way to downtown DC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Getting more sunny than not in NoVa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 I am driving through a monsoon on 95 in Delaware headed toward Jersey. I am sitting in a desert on 81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Getting more sunny than not in NoVa Even getting a few peaks of sun here east of DC. Hopefully we can get some good clearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 86 / 75 at 12 PM, Not a cloud in the sky. I don't know if I've seen a DP this high. Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Cloudy and coolish here. 68. I will be surprised to even hear any thunder here later. Just hoping for some decent rain. Picked up 0.15" this morning. June total is now 0.40". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Interesting and pretty decent IMO -- from the 12z WRF-NSSL run: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 1630z SPC OTLK is late... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 1630z SPC OTLK is late... They are trying to draw it to completely carve out the DC metro. It doesn't look great for severe for areas DC and east, but this is such an oddball storm that it is interesting to watch anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Convective temp on the 12z IAD RAOB is 86. Lets see if we can break 86-88 degrees. I hit 86 out here! NAM is insanity. I have been a bit buried in work so I am just coming up to speed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Really cleared out here- plenty of blue sky overhead right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 no change to SPC update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Discrete stuff popping right behind the MCS near Pittsburgh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Walked outside and was surprised to see the sun fully out. Looks like a good bit of blue sky. Temps seem to have gone up. Warm front slide north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Discrete stuff popping right behind the MCS near Pittsburgh. And the start of something linear looking near the CLE radar site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Slow temp climb. 79.3 and humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 88/70 way down here in Roanoke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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