WxUSAF Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 My rain is collapsing as I get light sprinkles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Lightning! So that's something I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Almost none of that line is severe. #lwxing IAD has gusted to 28mph. To be fair, that is probably enough to take down a tree around here. Before the line gets here, a post-mortem on the models: NAM: terrible NAM 4k: catastrophic Euro: pretty bad HRRR: missed some of the discrete stuff, but had the timing and general idea of the line from well out GFS: probably will end up closest on qpf, though it was too coarse for convective details Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 some wierd lightning in the straightform **** over central md. i guess thats the main show lol. welp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Just had T&L imby. Returns not impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 I'm out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 I'm pretty sure the DC Split is taking place (to a certain extent.) Honestly, I shouldn't be surprised... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Had a big rumble of thunder here a few mins ago. Pretty mundane otherwise. I'm waiting for my washout... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 I'm out Me too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Looks like I underestimated the rain that fell. 0.80" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gunny23 Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Heavy rain and good lightening show in sterling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Looks like I underestimated the rain that fell. 0.80" Did you float away? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Someone needs to take LWX to task over their warnings. And not using SAILS. What a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 STW just issued for AA county. I wish they wouldn't do that. Crying wolf again. It looks like a dieing and drying line of storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 LOL at the warning to the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 at least I'm hearing thunder and it's raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Good yall are getting some practice for this winter XD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 IAD has gusted to 28mph. To be fair, that is probably enough to take down a tree around here. Before the line gets here, a post-mortem on the models: NAM: terrible NAM 4k: catastrophic Euro: pretty bad HRRR: missed some of the discrete stuff, but had the timing and general idea of the line from well out GFS: probably will end up closest on qpf, though it was too coarse for convective details Well that's the thing.. their horrible warnings generally verify because a sneeze brings down trees around here. Today's polygons are embarrassing. I know they are probably leaned on to overwarn but come on. I actually thought the models did OK, though I was focusing on the severe cutoff more than anything.. as far as rain it seems a lot of bad performances based on what it looks like now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Not sure I believe IADasos, but evidently IAD has over 1" in 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Good yall are getting some practice for this winter XD We don't need practice. We're already experts lol. Just heard thunder. I'm back in lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Did you float away? Swift water rescues everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 IDK, but Lots of CG lightning. Strike right on my street Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gunny23 Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Not sure I believe IADasos, but evidently IAD has over 1" in 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gunny23 Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 5 miles due north of IAD and it has been raining heavily...I believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Line fell apart for me. Split due to the earlier storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Tornado WarningSEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 911 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 VAC033-085-170130- /O.CON.KAKQ.TO.W.0043.000000T0000Z-160617T0130Z/ CAROLINE VA-HANOVER VA- 911 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM EDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN CAROLINE AND NORTH CENTRAL HANOVER COUNTIES... AT 911 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF KINGS DOMINION...OR 9 MILES NORTH OF RANDOLPH MACON COLLEGE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND TWO INCH HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... ASHLAND...RANDOLPH MACON COLLEGE AND KINGS DOMINION AROUND 930 PM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Hearing wind but very lame so far. 14mph again. Maybe there's something wrong with my weather station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 It almost looks like the rain behind the storms is starting to expand. The rain area looks like it might be becoming heavier. It might just be because it's getting past the radar site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 The warnings out west seem to have done well, but obviously, the better potential was out there. Isn't SAILS supposed to help during specifically designed for days like today? Does its use also change the way we (the public) see things? The actually dropped most of that big warning DC and east.. not sure I've seen that before heh. This line was way overwarned. Was a few segments that were probably severe intermixed but they could have crafted it all better if they tried. Was busy most of the supercell time though I think there were probably too many tornado warnings. And yes SAILS was added for severe weather days. This isn't the first time they haven't had it active in storms either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Semi redemption in progress. Fair amount of lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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