SACRUS Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 With just about 3 weeks to go the holiday will slowly start showing up on some long range forecasts Past July 4th's Year. 23..21..20..19..18..17...16..15...14...13...12....11....10...09...08....07....06...05....04...03...02...01...00...99...98...97...96...95..94...93 EWR: 91..84..87...89...89...88...84...79...76...91...97...92...101...83...81....73...89...80...87...94...100...81....88...99...86...88...72...84..86..97 LGA:. 87..79..88...93...84...87...86...75...74...91....95...88....98....81...80....73...92...82...83...93...98....81....84...95...86...87...73...84..83..92 TTN: 85..79..89...91...91...86...82...75...75...84....88...95....99....81...80....74...89...84...89...92...97....82....87...99...85...84...73...81..83..92 JFK: 85..75..85....97...86...85...82...80...76....84...89...86....101...83...82....72...86..78...79...92...99....75....81...97...82...89...74...80..83..96 NYC: 85..77.. 87...90...86...85...84...75...74...87....92...86....96....79...78....71...87...83...82...92...96....79....84...96...84...85...71...84..86..95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 the best 4th of July weather of my life was in 1965...Sunny with a max of 90 and a min of 65 with very little humidity... http://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/4thofJulywx.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 OKX list of July 4th weather: http://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/4thofJulywx.pdf OKX July 4th top 5 weather (wettest, warmest, coldest): http://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/Top54thofJuly.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael05192016 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 54 and rain. Bet on it!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 54 and rain. Bet on it!!!!I'll double up and say it'll be 95 with a chance of thunderstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 I'll take rain on the 4th if it's clear on the 3rd for my wedding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2016 Author Share Posted June 25, 2016 4th of July coming into view and troughing looks to be in place over the northeast to open July. Looks near normal as of now 80s. We'll see how it progresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2016 Author Share Posted June 25, 2016 Overnight guidance a bit more unsettled for Mon Jul 4th after what seems like a very sunny/warm weekend Fri-Sun 1st - 3rd. Trough and front timing and amount of storms to be ironed out next 10 days. 83 - 87 some scattered storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 26, 2016 Author Share Posted June 26, 2016 Latest guidance still lining up nicely for 4th of July but timing of track of front still needs to be honed down. As it stands now Fr (7/1) - Sun (7/3) looks warm 85 - 90 with Mon (7/4) low to mid 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 27, 2016 Author Share Posted June 27, 2016 Latest guidance remains in the mid to upper 80s range for the 4th after some afternoon/evening storms on the third. Fri - Sun look warm 85 - 90 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 27, 2016 Share Posted June 27, 2016 Latest guidance remains in the mid to upper 80s range for the 4th after some afternoon/evening storms on the third. Fri - Sun look warm 85 - 90 range. My wedding is Sunday in Port Jeff. Hoping it doesn't rain for the ceremony at 4 which is outside. After that I'm not too concerned as the reception is indoors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 28, 2016 Author Share Posted June 28, 2016 Forecast remaining essentially unchanged. Warm holiday weekend 85 - 90 with some scattered storms fri and sun. 4th of July 83 - 88 range and sunny. Week turns a bit warmer 6th - 8th upper 80s / low 90s. Summer time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted June 29, 2016 Share Posted June 29, 2016 My wedding is Sunday in Port Jeff. Hoping it doesn't rain for the ceremony at 4 which is outside. After that I'm not too concerned as the reception is indoors.Congratulations!!! Even if it does end up raining, may that be the worst of your concerns to ever have to face together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 29, 2016 Share Posted June 29, 2016 it's trended warmer vs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 30, 2016 Share Posted June 30, 2016 Just one run of one model but the 12z GFS wasn't far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 Chamber of commerce weather this upcoming weekend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 Chamber of commerce weather this upcoming weekend... Violently agree, stellar weather IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 What's everyone doing for the weekend. Hosting a BBQ Saturday with the new American themed corn hole set I built. Will be at the beach the rest of the weekend. Water temps 70 or even better now. Get out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 What's everyone doing for the weekend. Hosting a BBQ Saturday with the new American themed corn hole set I built. Will be at the beach the rest of the weekend. Water temps 70 or even better now. Get out there. IMG_1491.jpg Props for building it yourself, interesting you went with two sets of legs, I only have the one set of legs in the back of the ones I built years ago now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 Props for building it yourself, interesting you went with two sets of legs, I only have the one set of legs in the back of the ones I built years ago now. Last minute decision to add the extra legs in the middle. I built the boards with 2x2's instead of 2x4's to try and make it as sleek as possible in an attempt to pack it in the car for camping trips. The two extra legs were just for more stability Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 2, 2016 Author Share Posted July 2, 2016 INteresting ECM and nam has widespread tstorms between 8 and overnight on the 4th now. GFS keeps em south. Other than that the day looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 2, 2016 Share Posted July 2, 2016 NAM, GGEM and Euro are all very wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted July 2, 2016 Share Posted July 2, 2016 NAM, GGEM and Euro are all very wet.For when though? Will firework time be ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 2, 2016 Share Posted July 2, 2016 For when though? Will firework time be ok? Maybe not, some of the models have the rain by early evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 3, 2016 Share Posted July 3, 2016 Latest NAM is a bit slower. Dry till 03z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jets Posted July 3, 2016 Share Posted July 3, 2016 Rgem is faster and looks like a big soaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 3, 2016 Share Posted July 3, 2016 GEFS mean is >1.50" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted July 3, 2016 Share Posted July 3, 2016 Upton still says shows on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted July 3, 2016 Share Posted July 3, 2016 Rgem is faster and looks like a big soaker The RGEM had been dreadfully slow since its upgrade last year with most events. Using the NAM though which also tends slow I would say anyone from about central northern NJ east sees nothing before 10pm other than spotty light rain here or there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 3, 2016 Author Share Posted July 3, 2016 Eesh that forecast turned ugly quickly. These systems are always ahead of prog's and at this point the only hope would be for this to track north with the main band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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