Geos Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Had a really good downpour here just before 7. Don't think I even heard any thunder. Lots of storms... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 The crap from the west and the crap from the south looks to be connecting... we need rain so bad..only have like 3.5 inches so far this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 The crap from the west and the crap from the south looks to be connecting... we need rain so bad..only have like 3.5 inches so far this month Yeah I think you're getting rain. ha ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 I have 4.25" in the gauge since 4:30pm. Still raining too. That's the normal total for the month of June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 I have 4.25" in the gauge since 4:30pm. Still raining too. That's the normal total for the month of June. holy crap... Its pouring here now, but i think it'll move through half way quick. This month its just been like every day we are getting rain. Not much wind...some lightning... i wouldn't want to be out jogging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Gino's latest discussion sums it up perfectly for the LOT CWA tonight. Record hi PWATs at DVN on the 00Z sounding with the instability gradient/axis lined up such that activity to our northwest will slide E/SE into the region. Going to be some good training in parts of the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Gino's latest discussion sums it up perfectly for the LOT CWA tonight. Record hi PWATs at DVN on the 00Z sounding with the instability gradient/axis lined up such that activity to our northwest will slide E/SE into the region. Going to be some good training in parts of the region. Nice disco update from him. First time he's been onboard for an event in a while... 825 PM CDT EARLIER CONVECTION HAS HELPED SHARPEN THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER NORTHWEST ILLINOIS AND EASTERN IA WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEAST INTO CENTRAL IL. HAVE SEEN OCNL STORMS POPPING ON THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY EARLY THIS EVENING, BUT WITH SUNSET SOON AND ANTICIPATED RAMP UP OF LLJ/WAA REGIME WOULD ANTICIPATE ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT TO BECOME MORE FOCUSED FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO "COOL" SIDE OF THE FRONT IN OUR AREA LATER THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION, ALSO MONITORING MCS OVER WESTERN WI AND NORTHEASTERN IA WHICH HAS BEEN TRACKING EASTWARD. ON ITS CURRENT TRAJECTORY, JUST THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF THE MCS WOULD SCRAPE ACROSS OUR NORTHERN CWA. HOWEVER, NW-SE ORIENTED INSTABILITY AXIS ALONG WITH AREA OF MAXIMIZED WAA WOULD SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL START TO PROPAGATE MORE ESE OR PERHAPS EVEN SE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THE 00Z DVN SOUNDING IS CONCERNING FOR A COUPLE REASONS; FIRST THE INSTABILITY IS IMPRESSIVE AND STRONGER THAN DEPICTED BY RAP MESOANALYSIS AND LIKELY FAIRLY REPRESENTATIVE OF ENVIRONMENT OVER OUR NORTHERN/WESTERN CWA. THE T/TD SPREADS ARE QUITE SMALL NOW, SO NOT EXPECTING ANY SIGNIFICANT NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER, SO THIS MCS COULD POTENTIALLY HAVE SOME SIZABLE INSTABILITY TO FEED ON AS IT GETS INTO OUR CWA LATER THIS EVENING. COULD SEE A SPORADIC DAMAGING WIND THREAT WITH THIS LINE EVEN INTO THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY IN OUR NORTHERN CWA. SECONDARY CONCERN IS POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD THREAT. THE 00Z DVN SOUNDING HAD AN OBSERVED PWAT OF 2.19 INCHES, WHICH SPC SOUNDING CLIMO PAGE INDICATES IS A RECORD HIGH PWAT FOR DVN FOR SO EARLY IN THE SUMMER (GRANTED RECORDS ONLY DATE BACK TO 1995 FOR THIS SITE). REGARDLESS, SUCH A HIGH PWAT ENVIRONMENT IS OBVIOUSLY RAISES RED FLAGS FOR HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL. BY LATE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT RAP AND NAM BOTH FORECAST UPWIND PROPAGATING CORFIDI VECTOR MAGNITUDE TO GET QUITE SMALL. IF THE MCS MOVING INTO THE AREA DEVELOPS A QUASI-STATIONARY BACK BUILDING TAIL, WHICH IS POSSIBLE GIVEN THE STRONG WAA/LLJ DESPITE LESS THAN IDEAL ORIENTATION OF THE FRONT, THEN FLASH FLOOD THREAT COULD BE QUITE REAL. TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY TO JUMP OUT WITH ANY FLOOD HEADLINES, BUT SOMETHING THAT WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED TONIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 FFW just issued for most of the LOT CWA... * THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT, AND GIVEN THE VERY MOIST AIRMASS, SOME OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL RATESOF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STORMS TOREPEATEDLY DEVELOP AND MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS WHICH COULD LEADTO LOCALIZED RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 4 INCHES BY MORNINGIN A FEW LOCATIONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 When do you guys expect the rain to reach the Chicagoland area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 When do you guys expect the rain to reach the Chicagoland area? Ball parking what I see I think we'll be in it by 12:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Ball parking what I see I think we'll be in it by 12:30.I'm gonna stay up for this probably. Hopefully we'll get something good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 not until 1 at the earliest in western/northwestern burbs and closer to 3 downtown and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 not until 1 at the earliest in western/northwestern burbs and closer to 3 downtown and south.Im in Northbrook (Northern suburb) so yeah probably 1ish. Praying for some action as we have had none for forever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Have a feeling the heavier amounts in the line is going to split to the north and south here in Oak Brook (Western suburbs) We'll see how it shapes up next hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Storms are beginning to take a more easterly movement rather than Northeast especially as they enter NC IL. I'm excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Storms are beginning to take a more easterly movement rather than Northeast especially as they enter NC IL. I'm excited Cold pool forming to the north is making these storms turned towards our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 The evening storms largely skipped over me, so my total today is 1.55". There are some locations in northeast Iowa that received 3-4+ inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Absolute deluge out there right now. At 2.34" for the day and still rising very quickly. Have had thunderstorms firing all around since 2. Been a fun little system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Severe thunderstorm warning in north central IL. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGILC141-201-150530-/O.NEW.KLOT.SV.W.0026.160615T0438Z-160615T0530Z/BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDSEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL1138 PM CDT TUE JUN 14 2016THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...OGLE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...WINNEBAGO COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...* UNTIL 1230 AM CDT* AT 1138 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINEEXTENDING FROM NEAR LAKE SUMMERSET TO NEAR GERMAN VALLEY TO NEARPOLO...MOVING EAST AT 35 TO 40 MPH.HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...DURAND AROUND 1145 PM CDT.OREGON AND BYRON AROUND 1150 PM CDT.WINNEBAGO AROUND 1155 PM CDT.STILLMAN VALLEY AROUND 1200 AM CDT.ROCKTON AND ROCKFORD AIRPORT AROUND 1205 AM CDT.MACHESNEY PARK...SOUTH BELOIT AND ROSCOE AROUND 1210 AM CDT.CHERRY VALLEY AND HILLCREST AROUND 1215 AM CDT.OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE NEWMILLFORD...ADELINE...DAVIS JUNCTION AND LEAF RIVER.INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...I-39 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 102 AND 123.I-90 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 2...AND BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 61 AND76. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Just about to blow by the 3" mark. These rain rates are freaking sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Just about to blow by the 3" mark. These rain rates are freaking sick. I didn't think you had anywhere near that much. Oddly, I've had 1.55" and the radar estimate says we've had about the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 The line in Illinois is starting to kick surprising ass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 I didn't think you had anywhere near that much. Oddly, I've had 1.55" and the radar estimate says we've had about the same. 3.19" now. Almost 2" of that came in the last hour and a half. MRMS radar qpf estimates over 3.5" a few miles to my east. Shows widespread 4-5" totals from south of Dubuque over towards Freeport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 2.04 on the day today. Nice squall line moved through around 8:00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Starting to hear thunder in the distance now. Still a warning out south of the Northwest Tollway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 I can hear some jaws hitting floors from the new Day 1. We just can't win this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Looks like we're about done for this event. 3.27". I bet some areas just east of here towards Tampico/Deer Grove have had 6-7" of rain. They really got nailed over there all evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Woke me up from sound sleep. Probably best nighttime hit in the eight years at my current place. Best gusts came well after rain started. It was blowing hard and coming down torrential. You're in for a real treat downwind in Northbrook if she can maintain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 I can hear some jaws hitting floors from the new Day 1. We just can't win this summer. Looks like Wisconsin might be back in the game. Leaving for GB in a few hours. Maybe a late day warm front play on the way home later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Torrential rain here and really loud thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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