Stormlover74 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Nice line from lake Michigan back to Iowa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 The 00z NAM is much more ominous looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 The 00z NAM is much more ominous looking Just going to point out that the last models with rain or QPF have been so bad locally, that I am more pissed then ever. A local national weather company based in S NJ has been so poor with forecasting that locally we now toss our hands in the air and watch channel 12 NJ news. We have not had a severe or strong t storm in my area is 4 + years. I am very suspect with measuring water from the sky. when I measure rain at my house in NNJ, everyone has a higher total. Stil Overall...poor weather forecasting continues in NWNJ. Wondering when it gets improved. People call for 1/2 to an inch of rain and basically nothing falls. and locals tell me it was pouring rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 That MCS is going way North. Good sign for later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 4K NAM delivers North and East of NYC later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 there is way less convective debris than I thought there would be. yay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 there is way less convective debris than I thought there would be. yay Game on if Forky is excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 4K NAM delivers North and East of NYC later. 12Z has a supercell on top of NYC. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2016061112/nam4km_ref_frzn_neus_12.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Is cenyral jersey out of the woods...radar looks like it wouldn't even clip my area or will more stuff develop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 12Z has a supercell on top of NYC. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2016061112/nam4km_ref_frzn_neus_12.png That would be awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 12Z has a supercell on top of NYC. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2016061112/nam4km_ref_frzn_neus_12.png That would be like right during or just after the Belmont Stakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Is cenyral jersey out of the woods...radar looks like it wouldn't even clip my area or will more stuff developMore stuff will develop later. And if Forkys excited so I would be too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Yeah, the MCS passing by to our north is laying down a nice outflow boundary for storms to fire on later across the area. Yeah if anything the radar is promising showing the MCS laying down its outflow boundary right across our region. Keep an eye out for PA storms forming and moving down along that axis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Watching storms approach from across sound now in Port Jefferson during maritime Festival.. With all the free apps available I am surprised people don't check radar judging by amount of bands and events not covered properly.. But third weekend of summer season with rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Got clipped by the western edge of the dying MCS, .05 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Watching storms approach from across sound now in Port Jefferson during maritime Festival.. With all the free apps available I am surprised people don't check radar judging by amount of bands and events not covered properly.. But third weekend of summer season with rain. more bark than bite on radar, barely wet the ground here and sun is poking back out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Get ready for another flop, honestly there's no point to hope for severe anymore. It's been years since there's been a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Get ready for another flop, honestly there's no point to hope for severe anymore. It's been years since there's been a good storm. Unnecessary post. Let the event pass 1st. New Hrrr has a strong tstorm directly over NYC in the afternoon. And numerous pop up storms over NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Here in Port Jeff Village we had very heavy rain for 15 minutes and rumbles of thunder but didn't see any lightning. Looks like one more batch crossing sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Get ready for another flop, honestly there's no point to hope for severe anymore. It's been years since there's been a good storm. Today is over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 11, 2016 Author Share Posted June 11, 2016 Was just reading some of Steve D's latest tweets on the severe threat, he doesn't seem very impressed, thinking more of an isolated severe threat then anything else. We will see how well his thinking turns out for him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Was just reading some of Steve D's latest tweets on the severe threat, he doesn't seem very impressed, thinking more of an isolated severe threat then anything else. We will see how well his thinking turns out for him. Most severe around here is isolated. What did he expect? Labor Day 1998 or September 2010? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Suns out blazing here. Looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Most severe around here is isolated. What did he expect? Labor Day 1998 or September 2010? Of course this was never supposed to be widespread, but because its been mentioned as a potential severe weather threat people will cry bust if they don't see anything in their backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Of course this was never supposed to be widespread, but because its been mentioned as a potential severe weather threat people will cry bust if they don't see anything in their backyard Severe around here is very localized. Look at September 2010. It was the greatest outbreak in a long time but only affected Brooklyn and Queens mostly. It's just the way it is around these areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Severe around here is very localized. Look at September 2010. It was the greatest outbreak in a long time but only affected Brooklyn and Queens mostly. It's just the way it is around these areas. True severe yes but often we get a strong line or widespread storms with localized severe. Today looks isolated either way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 I would say there's a second chance for a severe storm late overnight or Sunday morning (0500-0800h best) when the main cold front arrives, radar in northeast Ontario shows rapid development and that front is pushing south fast with a lot of support. Would expect it through Albany by 0300h and lying approx POU to ORH by 0600h, through NYC around 0800h. This may become derecho-like for eastern ON, western QC and upstate NY-VT this evening to midnight and then could hold together as a partial squall line to 0800h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Radar looks pretty meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Radar looks pretty meh Doesnt look good at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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