HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 Might as well post something from today. http://i.imgur.com/bXkaeEAh.jpg Had some nice mammatus clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 Saturday synoptically looks rather interesting for the southern Ontario/upstate NY folks. Very strong shortwave diving SE providing plenty of deep layer shear with westerly low level moisture advection leading to increasing instability and some half-decent lapse rates. Any southwesterly component to the surface winds would likely increase tornado potential as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 Saturday synoptically looks rather interesting for the southern Ontario/upstate NY folks. Very strong shortwave diving SE providing plenty of deep layer shear with westerly low level moisture advection leading to increasing instability and some half-decent lapse rates. Any southwesterly component to the surface winds would likely increase tornado potential as well. Problem will be lack of forcing, but we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 Problem will be lack of forcing, but we will see. Further east that isn't an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 New initiation near JVL... We'll see if that's the beginning of training storms or not for SE. WI/NE. IL soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 New initiation near JVL... We'll see if that's the beginning of training storms or not for SE. WI/NE. IL soon enough. Looks like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 Looks like it if it is, we're both getting shut out well southwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 if it is, we're both getting shut out well southwest Nah stuff going up back near Freeport and into SW WI too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 if it is, we're both getting shut out well southwestWe're an easy in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 Idk it looks like its heading to the chicago area. What do you guys think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 McHenry County. So far everything on a trajectory for here is fading out and/or diving more southerly for a miss. Clear overhead atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 probably setting up from msn to jvl to rfd to western chicago metro. this is based on 850 frontogenesis lining up with the edge of the EML/most unstable CAPE. with time the activity should trend more southerly rather than southeasterly. will be a close call for heart of chicago metro, but leaning towards western portions at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 10, 2016 Author Share Posted June 10, 2016 Fwiw, latest HRRR shifted the corridor of heavy rain farther south/west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 Saw that coming a mile away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 thursday looking solid over north central IL Saw that coming a mile away Looks like you nailed it on the second post in the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 Severe t-storm warning for Albany, Green County, south-central Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 It's a little messier now with one line through Kenosha and another through Rockford with isolated cells in between Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 Big hail-er SW of RFD... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 Big hail-er SW of RFD... Storm is crawling along. Probably some hail accumulation under that core. Storm is slowly making its way towards my back yard, will see what shape it is in upon its arrival. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 If you check out the base velocity from Minot ND, you will see 106kt-108kt winds toward the radar, several miles north of Minot. There's going to be some storm reports from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 Probably too cool here for anything severe, but getting some pretty good downpours in the last half hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 Probably too cool here for anything severe, but getting some pretty good downpours in the last half hour. Impressive rainfall rates here too and it keeps backbuilding. These setups always make me nervous. Looks like it's targeting the progged corridor after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 Impressive rainfall rates here too and it keeps backbuilding. These setups always make me nervous. Looks like it's targeting the progged corridor after all. I think the ground can take a good inch or maybe two before problems arise. Pretty heavy rates out in Jefferson and Rock counties right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 I think the ground can take a good inch or maybe two before problems arise. Pretty heavy rates out in Jefferson and Rock counties right now.I'd bet we just got that inch down here over the past 30 minutes. Edit: radar confirms it and then someQuite a light show and big deep boomers on top of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 Wow. Very impressive- best storm this season for sure with lots more to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 The 00z NAM looking really good for the MI crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 The 00z NAM looking really good for the MI crowd. No kidding, some supercells around 09- 12Z this morning and it has initiation on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 No kidding, some supercells around 09- 12Z this morning and it has imitation on Saturday. I'm not really paying attention to the simulated radar. It seems kinda off. But I clicked on a few points of that run of the environment just before the cold front plows through. Here's DTW And here's one near Flint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 New outlooks out: Day 1 basically unchanged for now, could change as mesoscale details become clear. Day 2 expanded hugely west, areas in Gen thunder yesterday are in the slight risk. Mentions both supercells and a QCLS tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 Cold front later today should provide quite a show somewhere in W WI and E MN. Looks like around 4500 J/kg available later this afternoon. Dewpoints around 70 and temp of around 94-97F. Pump is primed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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