NJwx85 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Line is warned from 78 south now looks like nnj and your area will miss out on anything good North of TTN looks to be just an area of heavier rains. At least up here we look to get a good soaking. Probably 1"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Line is warned from 78 south now looks like nnj and your area will miss out on anything good Warning to Edison now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 North of TTN looks to be just an area of heavier rains. At least up here we look to get a good soaking. Probably 1"+ Line is improving more and more as it heads into the better lapse rates to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Two strikes just showed up near Rt. 80 in Western Morris County. First in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Numerous reports of hail in the se PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Watch that new cell in Burlington County out ahead of the main line. It's all by itself and growing quickly. I would almost guarantee it's dropping hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Mostly C/S NJ: MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0843 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1050 AM CDT WED JUN 08 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND SRN NJ CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 081550Z - 081645Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT SUMMARY...ISOLATED STRONG GUSTS /40-55 MPH/ VIA HORIZONTAL MOMENTUM TRANSPORT WILL ACCOMPANY THE GUST FRONT/STRONG DOWNBURSTS. POCKETS OF VEGETATION/WIND DAMAGE MAY RESULT. DISCUSSION...A LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE BAND IS MOVING EWD AROUND 35 KT AND IS PROJECTED TO MOVE OFFSHORE AROUND 1730Z. THIS STRONGLY FORCED TSTM BAND IS ON CUSP OF AND/IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF A VERY STRONG MID-LEVEL VORTICITY MAXIMUM /DCVA/ MOVING RAPIDLY EWD THROUGH ERN PA INTO NJ DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DESPITE TEMPS IN THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 AND A DEARTH OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE /DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 50 DEG F/...VERY WEAK BUOYANCY /100 J PER KG MLCAPE/ IS COLOCATED WITH 30-40 KT FLOW AROUND H7 AND IS MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE FOR STRONGER GUSTS. THIS NOTION IS CONFIRMED VIA THE KBWI OBSERVATION AROUND 15Z WITH A MEASURED GUST OF 43 KT. OTHER OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER VALLEY HAVE BEEN GENERALLY LESS THAN 30 KT...INDICATIVE THE THREAT FOR STRONGER WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN LOCALIZED BUT POCKETS OF 35-55 MPH MAY BE REALIZED AND RESULT IN VEGETATION/WIND DAMAGE FOR THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. ..SMITH/DIAL.. 06/08/2016 ATTN...WFO...PHI... LAT...LON 39437541 40447448 40467392 39557416 39157473 39197514 39437541 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 8, 2016 Author Share Posted June 8, 2016 Philly just gusted to 59 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 not much for those of us North of NYC-models shifted south overnight, but not far enough south. Big event for NJ and SE PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Warnings? Its just some heavy rain here with no wind..it will be over in a half hour..but I will get more from this event than Sundays hyped event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 North of TTN looks to be just an area of heavier rains. At least up here we look to get a good soaking. Probably 1"+ Moving too fast for an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Philly just gusted to 59 mph. go.cgi.gif South jersey every time! Radar did a good job of showing this. Looks like a cool rain for yanks and ag3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 South jersey every time! Radar did a good job of showing this. Looks like a cool rain for yanks and ag3 rgem fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 rgem fail 4K nam fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 I see lightning strikes in the line headed for the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 I see lightning strikes in the line headed for the city nothing yet out here. just some rain, not even heavy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Moving too fast for an inch Radar is estimating several areas >1" http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-DSP-1-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 The leading edge of the line is only up to about the Morris/Passaic border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 How are those models failing? You can't just look at pretty colors on a model and think because it shows a lot of red it means severe weather. The vast majority of the area will see some decently heavy rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 How are those models failing? You can't just look at pretty colors on a model and think because it shows a lot of red it means severe weather. The vast majority of the area will see some decently heavy rains. Because they missed the heavy stuff in central and south jersey while the radar clearly had the focus further south This does not look like reality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Really downpouring here, and plenty more to come looking at the Radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Because they missed the heavy stuff in central and south jersey while the radar clearly had the focus further south This does not look like reality No, the line down south is stronger but much thinner. Up here it's a larger area of heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Really downpouring here, and plenty more to come looking at the Radar. Just started downpouring in Ramsey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Going to be some surprises with this one. Since its elevated it should make it all the way to the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Moderate rain and rumbles of thunder here in northern Union county. No real wind to speak of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 54° degrees here in the afternoon on June 8 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 The portion of the line approaching Monmouth County is bowing out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 8, 2016 Author Share Posted June 8, 2016 Strongest gust so far 66 mph at Millville. 1218 PM TSTM WND GST MILLVILLE MUNI AIRPORT 39.37N 75.07W06/08/2016 M66 MPH CUMBERLAND NJ ASOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Received pea size hail then BB size in round #2. Close to 1" rain 51.7F and strong winds currently. Wind chill on June 8th is nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Received pea size hail then BB size in round #2. Close to 1" rain 51.7F and strong winds currently. Wind chill on June 8th is nuts You had base ball sized hail??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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