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NNE Summer 2016


MaineJayhawk

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2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

There were no real reports of damage worth checking out. And believe me, we had a vested interest in it being a TDS because it was well within a TOR.

Ah, Ok, That was going to be my next question if there were any spotter or public reports of damage

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19 hours ago, backedgeapproaching said:

That place is ridiculous with their torches.

Eyewall needs to make a beeline and head over/near the spine with you, JSpin, mreaves, etc. He should check realtor.com for listings in JSpins neighborhood.:snowman:

 

Yeah, there’s an absolutely amazing disparity in both snowfall and temperatures (especially summertime low temperatures) between the Champlain Valley and the mountain valleys to the east.  Relative to the BTV NWS numbers, my data suggest our area gets roughly 20” more overall liquid as well.  That’s of course associated with more clouds that are also going to keep daytime temperatures somewhat lower.  Growing up in the Champlain Valley, you know the mountains themselves get more snow, but unless you were in close contact with someone who lives in the mountain valleys, you wouldn’t have the full appreciation for just how different the valley climate is as well.  There’s certainly an allure to the mountain climate around here with regard to weather, unless one’s looking for hot and sunny.

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21 hours ago, Lava Rock said:

What a whopper of a shower. 0.01". Local met called for 0.1-0.2", Bzt. Wrong.

Beats my "T".   Since the TS on July 26, I've recorded measurable precip on 7 days and a trace on 3 others, for a not-so-grand total of 0.24", or 0.01" per day.  :(

All the mountain-sourced tribs of the Kennebec are at record low flows, unless they're dam-controlled.

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2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

forcst discussion calling for 1-3" over the weekend. I'l be happy as a pig in **it if that happens. High bust potential given recent outcomes.

The only saving grace is the front will be hanging near by so should be more wide spread slow movers instead of scattered or isolated, So i say there is a chance

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1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

BTV already hit 93F.

MPV with 88F.

MVL with 84F.  We still haven't hit 90F at MVL and it always seemed like a torchy daytime mountain valley location.  I'm starting to wonder...we are never 9F colder than BTV without precip of CAD.

MVL is now 89/90

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Almost there for the first 90F of this summer    89.4/67F.

 New 12Z Euro out.  Now through next Monday it gives New England on average about 1" of rainfall.  Somewhat less towards the coast and jackpots the far northern areas along the Canadian boarder with over 2".  Because its convective I'm sure some areas will do much better and some will miss most.  I have no idea how good the Euro is with convection.  A couple of days ago it had amounts much higher.  Mid next week (like the GFS)  it brings another area of rain up from the SW but it mostly misses to the south.  GFS has it a bit further north but that's far away.  Just hoping we all can get something with this slow moving fropa.

Question for the met guys.  Today lots of storms firing up  in areas well to the south.  Dinernal thunderstorms are the norm from the Mid Atlantic on south during days like this.  We are now in the tropical air like areas further south but nothing usually gets going up here in northern latitudes unless a front is involved.  Is it that 70F dews are not high enough and you need dews in the mid 70's???

EDIT:  Just answered my own question by reading the other thread.  Better moisture to the SW!

 

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3 hours ago, Lava Rock said:

forcst discussion calling for 1-3" over the weekend. I'l be happy as a pig in **it if that happens. High bust potential given recent outcomes.

12z gfs gives Greenville 1.75" thru day 8, nearly all now thru Monday.  PWM's number is 2.37", and RUM's 0.63".  That Rumford qpf would be my biggest rain event since late June, but seeing both north and south with nearly 3-4 times as much makes for a drought sandwich along Route 2.  And I'll believe the 0.63 when I measure it.

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18 minutes ago, alex said:

I've never lived with a well before so this might  sound like an idiotic question, and I realize that it's going to be different depending on the well itself, but approximately at what point does it get dry enough that one has to start worrying about running out of water from a well?

Lava Rock is probably worried now. You sort of answered your own question, at least partially. There are numerous factors such as how deep your well is and the recharge rate. It's been years since I've had a well and it is nice not to have to worry about these things. For a time growing up, we had a spring that was dug out and tiled. Great water but we would be dry in a year like this. 

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21 minutes ago, alex said:

I've never lived with a well before so this might  sound like an idiotic question, and I realize that it's going to be different depending on the well itself, but approximately at what point does it get dry enough that one has to start worrying about running out of water from a well?

Alex, totally depends on your well.  My well is very deep, 700 feet.  I spoke to my well guy last week and he said that I will never run out of water.  My neighbors well is 250 feet deep. Then there are the old surface wells that are only 20 or so feet deep.  Those are the wells that tend to go dry.  It really depends on the static level of the ground water and the refresh rate coming into the well.  A well driller can tell you all this but to do it they have to pull your pump and do some tests.  It seems you have gotten some really good rain this summer, much more than areas to your south.  

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Hit 92F today.  I believe my record high since I have owned my house is around 95F.  Fairly rare event to hit 90F.

Don't like the looks of the 18Z NAM.  Sure doesn't give much rain for Southern Maine or SE sections of NH.  Interesting times ahead with such deep moisture coming in!

 

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Hit 92F today.  I believe my record high since I have owned my house is around 95F.  Fairly rare event to hit 90F.

Don't like the looks of the 18Z NAM.  Sure doesn't give much rain for Southern Maine or SE sections of NH.  Interesting times ahead with such deep moisture coming in!

 


Wouldn't surprise me to hear models backing off. Same old song and dance lately. Regarding the well, ours is 500' but recharge is awful at 2-3 GPM.
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