MJO812 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 On 7/30/2016 at 3:50 PM, Rjay said: my impression of PR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 39 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Amen brother. But agree-alot of folks who that is their life. Sad. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 Anyone know why EWR is under Union County? http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 3 minutes ago, UnionWX said: Anyone know why EWR is under Union County? http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off I believe the station is sited in the Elizabeth portion of EWR, which is part of Union County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 Time to build an ark. http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2016/08/01/ellicott-city-maryland-flood/87914944/ The massive rainfall that caused a devastating flash flood in Ellicott City, Md., last weekend was a rare 1-in-1,000-year event that has been happening with unprecedented frequency in recent years, meteorologists said. The storm, which killed two people, dumped 6.5 inches of rain on Ellicott City in only about 3 hours, with 5.5 inches falling in just 90 minutes, theNational Weather Service said. One nearby spot recorded 8.22 inches, amounts that weather service meteorologist Greg Carbincalled "off the charts." This is at least the ninth "1-in-1,000" year rain event across the United States since 2010, and the third this year. Flooding in Houston in April killed eight people. And in June, 23 died in a in West Virginia flood caused by heavy rain. So many "1-in-1,000 year" rainfalls appear unprecedented. "The number of these type of events has seemingly become more pronounced in recent years," meteorologist Steve Bowen of a global reinsurance firm Aon Benfield said in a tweet Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 With respect to USA Today, downtown Ellicott City has experienced floods like this before; there's even a placard on one of the bridges going over the river showing the approximate heights various flood crests. It's built in the bottom of a valley which is fed by numerous tributaries. One of my old law school roommate's grew up there; the area of the flood is the historic section. The article reads a bit sensational to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 1 hour ago, ForestHillWx said: With respect to USA Today, downtown Ellicott City has experienced floods like this before; there's even a placard on one of the bridges going over the river showing the approximate heights various flood crests. It's built in the bottom of a valley which is fed by numerous tributaries. One of my old law school roommate's grew up there; the area of the flood is the historic section. The article reads a bit sensational to me. The Islip flood was far far more impressive. It was the soil type and terrain that made all the difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 neutral enso and a +pdo... we're going to freeze this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 12 minutes ago, forkyfork said: neutral enso and a +pdo... we're going to freeze this winter Made my day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 3, 2016 Share Posted August 3, 2016 15 hours ago, ForestHillWx said: With respect to USA Today, downtown Ellicott City has experienced floods like this before; there's even a placard on one of the bridges going over the river showing the approximate heights various flood crests. It's built in the bottom of a valley which is fed by numerous tributaries. One of my old law school roommate's grew up there; the area of the flood is the historic section. The article reads a bit sensational to me. A 20 ft rise in minutes smashes the old record going back to 1868. https://mobile.twitter.com/_cingraham/status/759601204636758016/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 3, 2016 Share Posted August 3, 2016 14 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: The Islip flood was far far more impressive. It was the soil type and terrain that made all the difference We are really lucky that we don't have the terrain that they have there with creeks or rivers that can rise 20 feet in minutes. The Long Beach flash flood of 10 to 11 inches back in August 2011 as was the ISP 13+was heavier. The amounts in this event were a little more than the Wantagh 6+ flood last September. In our area these events resulted in widespread basement floods and street closures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 3, 2016 Share Posted August 3, 2016 14 hours ago, forkyfork said: neutral enso and a +pdo... we're going to freeze this winter That's the JAMSTEC theme of focusing what little cold air is available in a very warm Northern Hemisphere into our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 3, 2016 Share Posted August 3, 2016 15 hours ago, forkyfork said: neutral enso and a +pdo... we're going to freeze this winter More snow, less freeze. Signed, The interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 3, 2016 Share Posted August 3, 2016 Typical. Another winter where Eastern North America manages to be the coldest area on Earth relative to normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 3, 2016 Share Posted August 3, 2016 19 minutes ago, Cfa said: Typical. Another winter where Eastern North America manages to be the coldest area on Earth relative to normal. That's the main difference between the cold winters during the 1970's and 1990's. There was much more cold to go around the Northern Hemisphere than there is today. Our recent cold has been limited to a much smaller geographic region. You can also see how much warmer the Arctic has become relative to the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted August 3, 2016 Share Posted August 3, 2016 5 hours ago, bluewave said: We are really lucky that we don't have the terrain that they have there with creeks or rivers that can rise 20 feet in minutes. The Long Beach flash flood of 10 to 11 inches back in August 2011 as was the ISP 13+was heavier. The amounts in this event were a little more than the Wantagh 6+ flood last September. In our area these events resulted in widespread basement floods and street closures. Its wasn't 13" but I wouldn't call it little. Those rainfall rates are insane. Close to an inch in 5 mins! Over 2" in 15 mins. Those first 30 mins with over 3" did it for them. Then to get another 3 inches or so is pretty crazy. I don't remember that LI flood in 2011 that well, but I dont think they reached rates like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 3, 2016 Share Posted August 3, 2016 6 hours ago, bluewave said: That's the main difference between the cold winters during the 1970's and 1990's. There was much more cold to go around the Northern Hemisphere than there is today. Our recent cold has been limited to a much smaller geographic region. You can also see how much warmer the Arctic has become relative to the past. Very interesting. I wonder why we've been bearing the brunt of the cold anomalies lately. Is it the geography? It just seems weird, like we've become a magnet for displaced arctic/polar air. I know it should eventually balance out in the end, hopefully soon. Cold is useless. All I want is Dec 2015 followed by a snowier Jan+Feb 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 4 hours ago, Cfa said: Very interesting. I wonder why we've been bearing the brunt of the cold anomalies lately. Is it the geography? It just seems weird, like we've become a magnet for displaced arctic/polar air. I know it should eventually balance out in the end, hopefully soon. Cold is useless. All I want is Dec 2015 followed by a snowier Jan+Feb 2012. Well to get that type of snow you need the cold. Otherwise it will be rain and a crappy mix all the time. I wouldn't say cold is useless. Freezing cold and dry is useless if that's what you meant. I would much rather have cold air in place when a storm is heading for us as oppose to having mild temps all winter and hoping the cold arrives with the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 It will be interesting to see if the greatest 5 year December warm streak in recorded history continues or we return to cold again. December NYC...ave temp..departure...monthly max..min 2010...32.8...-4.5....60/19 2011...43.3...+6.0...62/22 2012...41.5...+4.0...62/28 2013...38.5...+1.0...71/19 2014...40.5....+3.0..65/24 2015...50.8...+13.3..72/38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 We're not going to see a December 2015 for a long time, one of the most insane months I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 59 minutes ago, bluewave said: It will be interesting to see if the greatest 5 year December warm streak in recorded history continues or we return to cold again. December NYC...ave temp..departure...monthly max..min 2010...32.8...-4.5....60/19 2011...43.3...+6.0...62/22 2012...41.5...+4.0...62/28 2013...38.5...+1.0...71/19 2014...40.5....+3.0..65/24 2015...50.8...+13.3..72/38 we need a negative AO for December...most of the cold ones had it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 1 hour ago, uncle W said: we need a negative AO for December...most of the cold ones had it... Seems like it has been mostly a delayed by not denied pattern for snow, blocking, and cold while we had record SST's off the East Coast in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 the storm track since the 2000-01 winter has been very good at times...even the average storm track of all the winters since then is good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjr Posted August 6, 2016 Share Posted August 6, 2016 Might be willing to bet that for summer 2016, BOS ends up reporting more 90+ days than NYC. Not in the real world but in the alternate universe of the Central Park thermometer. Dysfunction trumps climatology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 6, 2016 Share Posted August 6, 2016 I just noticed the RGEM now goes out to 84 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 6, 2016 Share Posted August 6, 2016 CFS shows a TS striking the city on Labor Day. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 7, 2016 Share Posted August 7, 2016 16 hours ago, CIK62 said: CFS shows a TS striking the city on Labor Day. lol. The run must have changed ( not shocking ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted August 9, 2016 Share Posted August 9, 2016 according to statistics, NYC lost 54 minutes of sunlight since the summer solstice. Can't wait for this summer to end. Although it hasn't been terrible I still always cheer for the fall and cooler weather. Can't wait till late September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 So does anyone actually like dew points between 75-85 with temps in the 80s and 90s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 14 minutes ago, Rjay said: So does actually like dew points between 75-85 with temps in the 80s and 90s? I was outside for 2 minutes and had to change shirts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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