FlatLander48 Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 And after two days of excitement, we're back to where we were with an offshore hurricane, with the only difference being around Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 It won't rain in the southeast until Thanksgiving and maybe not even then. Next summer is going to make what we just went through this summer seem like nothing, when we match Phoenix AZ for heat and dryness. Someone may see 120 next summer in the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 17 minutes ago, jshetley said: It won't rain in the southeast until Thanksgiving and maybe not even then. Next summer is going to make what we just went through this summer seem like nothing, when we match Phoenix AZ for heat and dryness. Someone may see 120 next summer in the southeast. Just another 14 degrees and we could beat the world's hottest temp record. That'd be fun... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 23 minutes ago, FallsLake said: Just another 14 degrees and we could beat the world's hottest temp record. That'd be fun... Hopefully something changes, but I just don't see it. This is going to be a very dry fall, just like 2001 when we went 2 months without more than traces of rain. The reason I see next summer so hot is because I don't think we are going to see a lot of rain right through this spring. This, along with a west to northwest flow and downsloping will bake NC and SC. With the gulf cut off dewpoints will be low, but temps will be extreme. The hottest in the southeast will probably be the area from Charlotte to Athens and down to Augusta and Columbia. IF we somehow get into a wetter pattern before summer all bets are off, but I don't see it happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 31 minutes ago, jshetley said: Hopefully something changes, but I just don't see it. This is going to be a very dry fall, just like 2001 when we went 2 months without more than traces of rain. The reason I see next summer so hot is because I don't think we are going to see a lot of rain right through this spring. This, along with a west to northwest flow and downsloping will bake NC and SC. With the gulf cut off dewpoints will be low, but temps will be extreme. The hottest in the southeast will probably be the area from Charlotte to Athens and down to Augusta and Columbia. IF we somehow get into a wetter pattern before summer all bets are off, but I don't see it happening. If la nina does not materialize that should be good news for the SE as a whole. But you are right about the importance of this upcoming winter precip totals to how dry next summer could become. The worse drought usually follow dry winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Surprised that Stump guy attempted to keep posting under a similar name after what he said in the Matthew thread. Stumpv2 I think it was. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Does Mack not post anymore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 22 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Does Mack not post anymore? He said he's been busy and hasn't had time. Hopefully, a good winter storm threat will bring him back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 4 hours ago, jshetley said: It won't rain in the southeast until Thanksgiving and maybe not even then. Next summer is going to make what we just went through this summer seem like nothing, when we match Phoenix AZ for heat and dryness. Someone may see 120 next summer in the southeast. thats just a bit dramatic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 43 minutes ago, GaStorm said: Surprised that Stump guy attempted to keep posting under a similar name after what he said in the Matthew thread. Stumpv2 I think it was. Lol. Stumpy 2: Electric Boogaloo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 I don't think it's ever going to rain again in the entire world. This drought is just ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 9 minutes ago, Avdave said: thats just a bit dramatic Maybe on this 2nd part, but not the 1st. The GFS shows little if any rain right through day 16. And much of the southeast was bone dry in 2001 as well when we barely got a trace of rain from mid Sept until after Thanksgiving where I am and I easily see that happening again this fall. The pattern we have now looks a lot like it did that fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 54 minutes ago, Avdave said: thats just a bit dramatic He also insinuated 3 weeks ago that there would be insufferable heat through mid-October. Let him vent, take it with a grain of salt, and let the weather sort itself out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 I had oatmeal for breakfast this morning. Then I went to a dentist appointment, and afterwards I went to Bojangle's and had a second breakfast with a cheddar Bo biscuit and Bo rounds. Well, I guess it was more of a brunch. Now I wonder if I should have the salad I brought for lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 3 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: I had oatmeal for breakfast this morning. Then I went to a dentist appointment, and afterwards I went to Bojangle's and had a second breakfast with a cheddar Bo biscuit and Bo rounds. Well, I guess it was more of a brunch. Now I wonder if I should have the salad I brought for lunch. I did. It's a good day for a salad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 Yeah, I think if I don't have the salad, I'm just going to be hungry around 2:00 or 3:00. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 10 hours ago, Cold Rain said: He said he's been busy and hasn't had time. Hopefully, a good winter storm threat will bring him back. Lol... Does he work for a campaign? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 57 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Lol... Does he work for a campaign? Haha I have no idea. I hope not! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Its crazy how much the track has changed from what it was... its safe to say now nc wont see much of anything from this storm. Maybe some outer bands can make it here at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 I'm thinking it might be too wet Sunday for the kids' soccer games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Could really use some of that tropical air here in Amsterdam....currently sitting at 55 with a cool breeze in the air. Getting down into the lower 40's now. Hoping my fellow SE board members get spared major damage with this hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Its crazy how much the track has changed from what it was... its safe to say now nc wont see much of anything from this storm. Maybe some outer bands can make it here at best.If you call 10"+ of rain in some spots that are already saturated not much of anything. NC will have its fair share of effects from this system. Maybe not 110 MPH winds, but Wilmington could certainly see hurricane gusts. Honestly I don't think it is "safe" to make any assumptions atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 2 minutes ago, burgertime said: Could really use some of that tropical air here in Amsterdam....currently sitting at 55 with a cool breeze in the air. Getting down into the lower 40's now. Hoping my fellow SE board members get spared major damage with this hurricane. Sorry no Europeans allowed to post here...... **we miss your play by play of the models. But, hope everything is going well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Kudos to the SE crew for the Mathew disco. I had to just stop reading the main thread. You guys are the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Wasn't the Euro two days ago that had the "bad" run that showed Matthew doing the loop and coming back to Florida? Or was it the UKMET? Just funny how when we first saw it it was hysterical now it's about to actually do the loop It looks like. But once it goes down again, it has to come back up right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Will be interesting to see how the steady rain Saturday will affect the college football games in NC such as UNC/VT, NCST/ND, etc.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Will be interesting to see how the steady rain Saturday will affect the college football games in NC such as UNC/VT, NCST/ND, etc.. The biggest effect will be that the losing team will use the rain as an excuse, as if the winning team was playing on a dry field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 Oftentimes, I wished I lived in Jacksonville rather than Tallahassee. This is not one of those times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 8 minutes ago, superjames1992 said: Oftentimes, I wished I lived in Jacksonville rather than Tallahassee. This is not one of those times. Didn't realize you now lived in Tallahassee! I have a sister in Ft. Walton Beach, her son my nephew obviously, graduated from FSU.... he and his wife currently live in Jacksonville. They are on their way to Ft. Walton to get out of harms way. Last I heard moving about 6 mph on I-10!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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