CapturedNature Posted May 29, 2016 Share Posted May 29, 2016 I didn't see a pattern thread for June and since we are almost there I decided to start one. I for one am hoping for climo or cooler but we'll see what we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted May 29, 2016 Share Posted May 29, 2016 I didn't see a pattern thread for June and since we are almost there I decided to start one. I for one am hoping for climo or cooler but we'll see what we get. What, no pun title? After NApril and disMay, I have a higher standard for thread titles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted May 30, 2016 Author Share Posted May 30, 2016 What, no pun title? After NApril and disMay, I have a higher standard for thread titles. I Juno about punny titles....if someone comes up with a good one, I can change it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 Looks like we start off with a ridge out west and trough over the northeast and Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 uninstall, close them down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 After tomorrow, little or no heat till mid month most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 After tomorrow, little or no heat till mid month most likely. Yeah, the operational GFS has a dead-panned winter pattern in June across multiple cycles in its la-la range. I suppose "la-la" offers some whispering hope that the realized pattern will be a normalized version of that. But the Euro wasn't much better frankly, showing a real bona fide polar jet construct from 130 longitude clear across the continent to 70 W. Really truly bizarre. What is intriguing to me is that while that occurs, the actual anomalies products don't really reflect heights all that excessively deeply cold along and astride the 50th parallel. It's like the Euro wants the outlandish look while not committing any negative crimes. Not sure if that can work out that way... It seems more than anything else, we are in a local temporal climate signal (spanning perhaps years now going back to 2013) where fractals emerge negative relative to any setting. What I mean by that is that cool results will pan out with better success than warm ones - which doesn't mean warm cannot happen. It's like a 60-40 things ... perhaps masked by GW. interesting... Anyway, philosophies aside, that operational tenor and the tele's for that matter, look like the atmosphere really is bucking for a third consecutive year of a cool June, and my hunch is that 60-40 thing is why. It's just a better's observation of current pattern tendencies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 uninstall, close them down? Some of us never installed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 What, no pun title? After NApril and disMay, I have a higher standard for thread titles.June swoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 Probably going to go through June w/o severe wx too :fookthis: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 IMO after the 12th or so we see things flip quickly to AN and that month comes in warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 IMO after the 12th or so we see things flip quickly to AN and that month comes in warm Nah ... more likely that just like how you started posting/rushing in a warm pattern changes back on ... April 20 (apparently not realizes the whole time that it was till cold, too), and it took 5 weeks to happen ... we'll probably have to wait 'till the first week of July now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 IMO after the 12th or so we see things flip quickly to AN and that month comes in warm Shocked you think that, just shocked. Folks can uninstall though for a couple weeks as even the resident heat-caster isn't mentioning anything prior to the 12th.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 Some of us never installed. Some of us have nothing to install. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 Probably going to go through June w/o severe wx too :fookthis: I am shocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 I feel like it's been awhile since we've had a torch June...just going by memory...haven't glanced at data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 I feel like it's been awhile since we've had a torch June...just going by memory...haven't glanced at data.June 2014 was +1.1 at ORHMeh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 June 2014 was +1.1 at ORH Meh I don't consider +1 a torch. It was only +0.4F up here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 Last real furnace in June I recall is 2008. 2005 was also damned hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 Last real furnace in June I recall is 2008. 2005 was also damned hot. June 2008? I don't recall it that torchy...that was the month with the trough and cold pools. Have to look at data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 Holy crap I guess so. Don't have Internet and using my pine so it's a pain to get the image but here's the link http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/cgi-bin/data/usclimdivs/climdiv.pl?variab=Temperature&type=2&base=3&mon1=6&mon2=6&iy%5B1%5D=2008&iy%5B2%5D=&iy%5B3%5D=&iy%5B4%5D=&iy%5B5%5D=&iy%5B6%5D=&iy%5B7%5D=&iy%5B8%5D=&iy%5B9%5D=&iy%5B10%5D=&iy%5B11%5D=&iy%5B12%5D=&iy%5B13%5D=&iy%5B14%5D=&iy%5B15%5D=&iy%5B16%5D=&iy%5B17%5D=&iy%5B18%5D=&iy%5B19%5D=&iy%5B20%5D=&irange1=&irange2=&xlow=&xhi=&xint=&iunits=1&scale=&iwhite=1&iswitch=0&Submit=Create+Plot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 I don't consider +1 a torch. It was only +0.4F up here too. Right. Hence the meh I only saw data to 2011. June swoons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 Last real furnace in June I recall is 2008. 2005 was also damned hot. 2008 is my most recent AN June, though 2013 was almost dead on average. June 2005 is the last time I've reached 90. June and May have moved in opposite directions since we moved to the foothills in mid-May 1998. While Junes 2009-15 are 2.5F cooler than those 1998-2008, Mays are 2.1F milder for the same periods (w/o the partial May of 1998.) Which doesn't mean much, given the sample size. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 June 2008? I don't recall it that torchy...that was the month with the trough and cold pools. Have to look at data. July was more of the cold pools setup back in 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 Nice pattern for the yards. Cooler wx and periodic rain chances it seems through mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 Seems last 1/2 to torch and build heat east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 whatever it is/was in June's of lore/yore ... i distinctly recall the last several consecutive ones as at least having sensible intervals that were annoyingly cool - i know, two of those years destroyed my garden. whether the whole months worked out that way or not, they contained substantive cool episodes enough to mar the times spans. the operational runs and tele's are hell bent on a 4-peat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 Seems last 1/2 to torch and build heat east You sound like a man who is desperate. Trying to swim against the inevitable tide that is sweeping away your dreams of a June inferno. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted May 31, 2016 Author Share Posted May 31, 2016 You sound like a man who is desperate. Trying to swim against the inevitable tide that is sweeping away your dreams of a June inferno. It's the opposite of winter where a better pattern looked just ten days away. Here, a warmer (or seasonable) pattern is just over the horizon. Then when it comes, it turns out to be transient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 You sound like a man who is desperate. Trying to swim against the inevitable tide that is sweeping away your dreams of a June inferno.Or you could look at monthly guidance and see all of them torching the last 1/3 of the month. That's another way to view it. And this time it lasts most of the rest of the summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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