Hoosier Posted June 12, 2016 Author Share Posted June 12, 2016 ECMWF definitely more death ridgey than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 12, 2016 Author Share Posted June 12, 2016 I will say if the ECMWF verifies, it's probably a sign of what's to come. You usually don't see that type of ridge/heat in June not make a return appearance or three in July/August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 ECMWF definitely more death ridgey than the GFS. Yeah 12z for next weekend on the GFS is quite pleasant really. 70s to low 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Not hard to pick out where the backdoor front is. Euro did a good job at showing this several days ago when other models showed the heat continuing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Not hard to pick out where the backdoor front is. Euro did a good job at showing this several days ago when other models showed the heat continuing. Wow, didn't realize dew points went that low. 30 at Timmerman! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Wow, didn't realize dew points went that low. 30 at Timmerman! Yeah, these are some impressively low dews considering the time of the year, and how much higher they were yesterday. These northeast winds behind the front really displaced the moisture very efficiently. Some new storms are forming along the extreme instability/moisture convergence gradient west of Ottumwa IA now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 12, 2016 Author Share Posted June 12, 2016 GEFS seem a bit more bullish on the ridge than the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Euro did a good job at showing this several days ago when other models showed the heat continuing. The GFS was the model that showed this consistently. The Euro was the model keeping the front to the northeast of the DVN area until the last day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Yeah, these are some impressively low dews considering the time of the year, and how much higher they were yesterday. These northeast winds behind the front really displaced the moisture very efficiently. Some new storms are forming along the extreme instability/moisture convergence gradient west of Ottumwa IA now. Dewpoint is lower in some areas than Las Vegas is right now. Denver has a higher dew point right now even. Today could pass for a late April day here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Last couple runs of the GFS show an active end to June Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Top shelf day Best climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Top shelf day Best climo I wish we had 275 days like today per year, with 90 days of winter. Dream the impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Despite it being wet overall the past few weeks, some of the lawns are actually browning up. I'm sure the mid 90 temps since Friday played a huge role in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 65° for a daytime high today. 68° earlier at midnight. Dew point at 38° right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Gonna be curious to see the DVN sounding this evening. Mesoanalysis shows H5 winds of 1-2kts right now just south of MLI. Nearly dead calm in the mid levels under the center of the ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 81/36 today in Toledo. Very rare for June in these parts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Dewpoint of 42 right now is about 30 degrees less than at this time last night. Pretty damn impressive. Looks like dews will quickly bounce back tomorrow though. This time tomorrow night we may be up another 30 degrees into the low 70s again. Pretty interesting roller coaster ride of air masses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Had to cut the grass sunday to get warm... Best Climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 while the rest of you chumps are sweatin' to the oldies with upper 80s and 90s, it will be another beautiful 75 degree day here lakeside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 you can keep that lakeside paradise in the spring lol, but in the summer in pretty jealous, it's a pick your poison scenario. Tuesday and Wednesday look sticky icky, dews in the 73-75 range. A pretty impressive heatwave for early in the summer, especially when the Euro was backing off the longevity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 you can keep that lakeside paradise in the spring lol, but in the summer in pretty jealous, it's a pick your poison scenario. Tuesday and Wednesday look sticky icky, dews in the 73-75 range. A pretty impressive heatwave for early in the summer, especially when the Euro was backing off the longevity. No heat wave up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 The last 6 days...metro detroit went from upper 40s on Wed & thu, to low 90s sat, to upper 40s this morning (low 50s at the airports this morn, even they were safely 40s earlier in the week). Riding the June roller coaster. If you take the laughable ARB & YIP (who are ironically very close to one another), it went from 98 to 41 in 36 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 What is up with those YIP readings anyway? Are those numbers actually going down as official highs? They seem to run like 10 degrees above everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 What is up with those YIP readings anyway? Are those numbers actually going down as official highs? They seem to run like 10 degrees above everyone else.Idk if Stebo knows anything I don't, but to my knowledge,it's not that there's anything wrong with the thermometer, it's that it's in a terrible location? Idk if sun is playing a factor? YIP readings didnt used to be like that, so again its a mystery, especially since the low temps are unaffected. I know the deal with ARB is that its in a valley so cold air gets pooled up on nights with good radiation all cooling year round. Neither ARB or YIP are first order climate stations though, so definitely not as big a deal as if that was at DTW. Although back in the already cool '70s, DTW thermometer was at a different location than it is now and the area was even more rural so many of the lows from the late 1960s thru 1970s would be the coldest in the area (similar to ARB now, maybe not as extreme). The south side of the airport is valleyed and much colder (almost an ARB effect as well, today). Ive driven by there on the way to work and seen crazy numbers on my car thermometer. The craziest was on 2-20-15 when dtw officially was -13 my car said -22 when i drove past that south side of the airport at 730am! Another factor is UHI. With UHI now dtw is usually rarely the coolest in the area and it's a crap shoot if DTW or more urban DET will be cooler (in the 1970s DTW would be 8 to as much as 10 degrees colder on some nights, though DET was more urban then than it is now as well). One of my bigger gripes with dtw is not lows but rather their mysterious intra hour bumps for high temps on some (not all) days. I am skeptical of some of these because they can be 2 to even 3F intra hour bumps, coming at what is typically not peak heating of the day, & very nearby stations did not see any such bumps. Then again it IS at an airport with concrete nearby, even though the thermometer is in a grassy area, so that may play a factor. Oh well that's my thermometer rant lol. Just so dependent and changeable as locations change (urbanization, the more rare deurbanization), especially in times when temps are scrutinized to the tenth of a degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 while the rest of you chumps are sweatin' to the oldies with upper 80s and 90s, it will be another beautiful 75 degree day here lakeside That ish is for spring, bring on the 80s and 90s. Its summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Nice cool night, made it down to 58. Already back up to 82 though, and quickly rising. Dews have jumped from the low 40s to the mid 50s. Should breach the 70 mark by mid to late afternoon. HRRR shows some storms moving in later this afternoon from Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 From 6am to 1pm today we've risen from 63/51 to 86/71. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Wednesday is looking absolutely brutal. Hot but one of the most humid days this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 nice stray shower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 nice stray shower Scattered showers/storms along a southward moving OFB. They're struggling in an environment that has little CAPE and 50F DP's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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