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June 2016 General Discussion


Hoosier

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EPS (more the control) is a lot like the GFS runs from a night or two ago. Here's to a good mid-late June.. :weenie:

Yeah and the Euro is no where nearly like the gfs. I'd believe a pattern like that if it was winter, not this time of year though.
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EURO surface temps for the 10th have the core of the heat over and near Iowa - lower 90s. 80s lower lakes, 70s north.

Showing a lot of convention over top of the ridge.

 

this kind of convection usually trends south of medium range modeling guidance as individual mesoscale systems help keep the baroclinic zone further south

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Just need a little more shear and a little more cape today. Still should see some thunderstorms this afternoon in the area

Wauseon OH malfunctioning ASOS has the answer for ya. Dew of 88 (31 Celsius) ought to create a CAPE in the several thousands, if it were real. Dews are actually 54-63 in that area.

 

KUSE 011935Z AUTO VRB06G13KT 10SM 31/31 A2993 RMK AO2

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EURO surface temps for the 10th have the core of the heat over and near Iowa - lower 90s. 80s lower lakes, 70s north.

Showing a lot of convention over top of the ridge.

Its a bit hotter than that for the 10th, Detroit/Chicago/Indy would all be in the low 90s and the only spots with 70s are northern MN, everyone else is mid 80s or better. N MO/S IA/C IL would be in the mid 90s with pretty good dewpoints as well.

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Wauseon OH malfunctioning ASOS has the answer for ya. Dew of 88 (31 Celsius) ought to create a CAPE in the several thousands, if it were real. Dews are actually 54-63 in that area.

 

KUSE 011935Z AUTO VRB06G13KT 10SM 31/31 A2993 RMK AO2

Haha talk about some nice lapse rates with those dews. As for Saturday, I like that we're finally getting some good winds aloft

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