Brian5671 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Warm at 77 degrees this am...cold front moving thru this am, but still a very warm day . Looks like the front is in the HV, will move through most of the area by 10am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Looks like the front is in the HV, will move through most of the area by 10am.Yep, moved through here a little while ago, lovely stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Looks like the front is in the HV, will move through most of the area by 10am. ...you can see the band of clouds associated with the CF dropping SE..thats when the winds will increase out of the NW.. but still gonna try the beach..maybe "sand blasting" but will give it a shot anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Departures through 6/11 NYC: +0.8 EWR: +0.1 LGA: +1.7 JFK: +1.9 TTN: +2.0 PHL: +2.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Departures through 6/11 NYC: +0.8 EWR: +0.1 LGA: +1.7 JFK: +1.9 TTN: +2.0 PHL: +2.2 Departure here thru yesterday, 0 degrees.Perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 12, 2016 Author Share Posted June 12, 2016 Warm offshore flow on Long Island as Farmingdale is at 84 degrees now after only reaching 77 yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Departures through 6/11 NYC: +0.8 EWR: +0.1 LGA: +1.7 JFK: +1.9 TTN: +2.0 PHL: +2.2 And that's with record blocking keeping temps down? How sad. Maybe if we get a very large volcanic explosion we will get to normal one day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 9AM Temps TEB: 82 NYC: 81 EWR: 85 LGA: 85 JFK: 84 ISP: 84 New Brunswick: 83 BLM: 84 TTN: 84 PHL: 86 ACY: 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 12, 2016 Author Share Posted June 12, 2016 And that's with record blocking keeping temps down? How sad. Maybe if we get a very large volcanic explosion we will get to normal one day. Less warm has become the new cool around here. We haven't seen extended below normal temps here since JFM 2015. We need extreme blocking just to keeps the means closer to normal before the much above normal and record warmth returns when the blocking fades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Big change in Tot. Precip. for next 16 days from yesterday's runs. Persistent east, southeast and then northeast winds spins up big rainstorm for next Sunday, starts near Cape Hatteras. Favorable MJO phases? No 90 degree days w/o a fight here in northeast for the 16 day period. From 06Z GFS: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_atlantic_180_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=atlantic&storm=&cycle=06¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&fhr=180&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=model&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160612+06+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Summer solstice looks like a scorcher for us. Highs in the 90's and maybe even 100's before we get another cool shot around the 27th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Big change in Tot. Precip. for next 16 days from yesterday's runs. Persistent east, southeast and then northeast winds spins up big rainstorm for next Sunday, starts near Cape Hatteras. Favorable MJO phases? No 90 degree days w/o a fight here in northeast for the 16 day period. between 6/21 - 6/26 id be surprised if the area didnt reach widespread 90 degree readings 1 or 2 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 85 with a dew point of 59 here at 9:30 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Just as an aside, we are coming off a fairly strong El Niño phase transitioning to a potentially moderate La Niña. Would it not translate to warmer temps over the baseline? I'm interested to see if the AMO flips in the next few years, that should have an influence on our temps. I'm just glad I live at 800 feet elevation, 45 miles west of the urban heat islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Already 85 . Terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Already 85 . Terrible. ...85* @ KFOK..83* here..warmest temps all season so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 82 here. First 80s of the season IMBY with the offshore flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Already 87..it can stop climbing now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 And that's with record blocking keeping temps down? How sad. Maybe if we get a very large volcanic explosion we will get to normal one day. Far from it, actually. Blocking has been mediocre at best for the month of June, and the meteorological spring as a whole. NAO finished positive for March and April; it was slightly negative in May. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.nao.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table Mar Apr May 0.73 0.38 -0.77 The NAO experienced a transient dip -1 to -2 in the beginning of the month, but has been oscillating around neutral. The AO, similarly, has not been significantly negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 12, 2016 Author Share Posted June 12, 2016 Far from it, actually. Blocking has been mediocre at best for the month of June, and the meteorological spring as a whole. NAO finished positive for March and April; it was slightly negative in May. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.nao.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table Mar Apr May 0.73 0.38 -0.77 The NAO experienced a transient dip -1 to -2 in the beginning of the month, but has been oscillating around neutral. The AO, similarly, has not been significantly negative. I like using the 500 mb anomalies to judge the strength of blocking since the strongest height anomalies often occur between the classic teleconnection regions. This spring set the record for blocking over Western Canada north to the Beaufort Sea area of the Arctic. Overall 500 mb heights continue at record levels for the globe. http://24.237.90.116/rankings.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 77/51, stellar out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Its been holding in the 60's in upstate NY, and dropping into the 50's in some locations. That makes for a 30 degree temperature spread. Impressive cold front for mid-June. If not for the down-sloping/compressional heating, we would also be dropping more dramatically. Regardless, DPs are taking a tumble. It will be a very comfortable evening and night - even chilly in spots. Already 87..it can stop climbing now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Less warm has become the new cool around here. We haven't seen extended below normal temps here since JFM 2015. We need extreme blocking just to keeps the means closer to normal before the much above normal and record warmth returns when the blocking fades. Even that period was a bit of good luck as our negative departures were a small blip in a sea of widespread above across the NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 86/34 now. Winds gusting to near 30 mph. Wonder when NWS will put out a fire weather watch. Especially since it didn't rain over most of the Tri-state area yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 12, 2016 Author Share Posted June 12, 2016 Even that period was a bit of good luck as our negative departures were a small blip in a sea of widespread above across the NH. Yeah, the record JFM cold over the Northeast occurred in a sea of warmth across the NH making it even more impressive. Below normal months become harder to come by against such a warm background state. The record blocking last JFM over Western NOAM got stuck long enough to focus what little cold there was right over our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 I like using the 500 mb anomalies to judge the strength of blocking since the strongest height anomalies often occur between the classic teleconnection regions. This spring set the record for blocking over Western Canada north to the Beaufort Sea area of the Arctic. Overall 500 mb heights continue at record levels for the globe. http://24.237.90.116/rankings.php 2016_2_5_3_5_5_2_90_-90_0_360_panel.png I like using the 500 mb anomalies to judge the strength of blocking since the strongest height anomalies often occur between the classic teleconnection regions. This spring set the record for blocking over Western Canada north to the Beaufort Sea area of the Arctic. Overall 500 mb heights continue at record levels for the globe. http://24.237.90.116/rankings.php 2016_2_5_3_5_5_2_90_-90_0_360_panel.png The location of the strongest 500mb geopotential height anomalies through that period projects most strongly onto the PNA domain, which does not have a significant correlation with our temperatures in the spring season. Once the robust blocking retrograded into the EPO region for May, while concomitantly, the NAO finally dipped negative, most of the United States experienced a colder to much colder than normal May. Of course, there is substantial residual heat in the mid latitudes due in large part to the collapsing super El Nino, but to me, the teleconnection indices did not support the focus of the cold over the Northeast for most of the meteorological spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 RH down to 10% DP 22 Temp 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 12, 2016 Author Share Posted June 12, 2016 One of the biggest dewpoint/RH drops that I have ever seen around here in such a short time. This more like something you see with the Texas dryline than in the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=okx&wwa=special%20weather%20statement 86/34 now. Winds gusting to near 30 mph. Wonder when NWS will put out a fire weather watch. Especially since it didn't rain over most of the Tri-state area yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 2 alarm brush fire just south of the Belt Pky near Flatbush Ave now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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