bluewave Posted June 9, 2016 Author Share Posted June 9, 2016 These very impressive blocking patterns continue to produce for us with one of the deepest 500 mb lows on record at OKX in June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 These very impressive blocking patterns continue to produce for us with one of the deepest 500 mb lows on record at OKX in June. Screen shot 2016-06-09 at 7.23.25 AM.png eps_z500a_nh_1.png Could you post the equivalent screenshot for the annual 850mb Temps. @ NYC, which are just 3----4C this morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 38 DP on June 9... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 temps struggling here. 65 now, we might have a hard time cracking 70 despite full sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 The GFS barely has the area hitting 80 degrees over the next 16 days let alone 90. Ensembles in good agreement on a monster ULL over NNE this weekend. The OP then cuts off a low to our Southwest post day 7 as blocking returns with full force. The ensembles have the cut off low as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 9, 2016 Author Share Posted June 9, 2016 These very impressive blocking patterns continue to produce for us with one of the deepest 500 mb lows on record at OKX in June. Screen shot 2016-06-09 at 7.23.25 AM.png eps_z500a_nh_1.png Could you post the equivalent screenshot for the annual 850mb Temps. @ NYC, which are just 3----4C this morning? The 12Z OKX sounding was also near record low 850 mb modern day temps for June 9th. Just goes to show how extreme these blocking patterns have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 The GFS barely has the area hitting 80 degrees over the next 16 days let alone 90. Ensembles in good agreement on a monster ULL over NNE this weekend. The OP then cuts off a low to our Southwest post day 7 as blocking returns with full force. The ensembles have the cut off low as well. Only checked the 6z GFS. Had almost no rain through 16 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 Only checked the 6z GFS. Had almost no rain through 16 days. Never said anything about rain. The blocking keeps most of the rain to our South and West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 Never said anything about rain. The blocking keeps most of the rain to our South and West. I was just mentioning that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 67/37 in the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 67 in the park. High of 69. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 The 12Z OKX sounding was also near record low 850 mb modern day temps for June 9th. Just goes to show how extreme these blocking patterns have been. Screen shot 2016-06-09 at 11.37.14 AM.png ...its sooo hot in the midwest..chicago gets to 95* tomorrow..when is that ridge coming here??..or is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 ...its soon hot in the midwest..chicago gets to 95* tomorrow..when is that ridge coming here??..or is it? Perfect set up for EMLs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 Perfect set up for EMLs ..EML's..??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 ..EML's..???Elevated mixed layers. Good set up for severe weather here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 Widespread 40's already in western NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 10, 2016 Author Share Posted June 10, 2016 ...its sooo hot in the midwest..chicago gets to 95* tomorrow..when is that ridge coming here??..or is it? We'll have to wait and see what happens once we get past day 10. But the ensembles keep the ridge over the Midwest for the next week to 10 days with some troughing over the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 No precipitation for 10 days on GFS 6/11---6/21 about. Boring. Shouldn't this make above normal temps. more likely despite the fact a -NAO will try to protect New England/N.E.? If there really will be a thermo-conflict going on around here, why is there no convection for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 No precipitation for 10 days on GFS 6/11---6/21 about. Boring. Shouldn't this make above normal temps. more likely despite the fact a -NAO will try to protect New England/N.E.? If there really will be a thermo-conflict going on around here, why is there no convection for us?Ummm what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 No precipitation for 10 days on GFS 6/11---6/21 about. Boring. Shouldn't this make above normal temps. more likely despite the fact a -NAO will try to protect New England/N.E.? If there really will be a thermo-conflict going on around here, why is there no convection for us? It's likely going to rain on Saturday in most places. The reason for the lack of rain is because of where the blocking sets up. FWIW the GEFS is further East with the cut off low than the OP and the significant rains make it into PA and parts of the mid-atlantic before the whole system retrogrades back West. One thing certain is that no heat waves are on the horizon. Troughing remains on the mean throughout the entire period and the 00z EPS builds ridging in the Southwest post day 7 which would only help to reload the trough further East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 It's likely going to rain on Saturday in most places. The reason for the lack of rain is because of where the blocking sets up. FWIW the GEFS is further East with the cut off low than the OP and the significant rains make it into PA and parts of the mid-atlantic before the whole system retrogrades back West. One thing certain is that no heat waves are on the horizon. Troughing remains on the mean throughout the entire period and the 00z EPS builds ridging in the Southwest post day 7 which would only help to reload the trough further East. Question doesn't a -NAO promote above average temps in the summer? And yeah looks like blocking looks to dominate the pattern now especially with the solar minimum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 Question doesn't a -NAO promote above average temps in the summer? And yeah looks like blocking looks to dominate the pattern now especially with the solar minimum It depends on the positioning. You're not going to get above average temps with troughing locked in to your northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 It depends on the positioning. You're not going to get above average temps with troughing locked in to your northeast. In June, the -NAO seems to be associated with more Nor'easters and cut-offs, and therefore cooler temperatures. In July and August those things are less common so the -NAO can hook up with the SE ridge for above normal temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 In June, the -NAO seems to be associated with more Nor'easters and cut-offs, and therefore cooler temperatures. In July and August those things are less common so the -NAO can hook up with the SE ridge for above normal temperatures. Agree-we've had some of our hottest stretches in July with a -NAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Made it to 80 here yesterday after a cool 54 degree am low...54 again this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Hit 48 again last night. I can't remember hitting 50 or lower so many times in June. Not complaining at all, after the heat spell at the end of May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Made it to 80 here yesterday after a cool 54 degree am low...54 again this morning. 72/52, 77/46, and 47F this morning, for the past couple of days. Beautiful weather, though I'm ready for the heat and humidity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 What's the deal for tomorrow few days ago I saw a high of 85 now it's 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Current temp 69/DP 55/RH 60% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 11, 2016 Share Posted June 11, 2016 Current temp 78/DP 61/RH 54% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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