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June 2016 Discussions/Observations


bluewave

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Yet another long term/all time heat record falls.

 

It just goes to show how warm this pattern has been when we need a strong blocking pattern just to 

step the temps down closer to normal. The return of the blocking pattern this week is enough

to shrink the first week of June departure down to +3.9 so far from +13.4 the last week of May in NYC.

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This could be the warmest day, until the last 3-4 days if June. The blocking pattern continues strong through 6/25 on GEFs. European is even quite chilly starting next week. 6/8-6/18 may be 10-12 below normal stretch. Highs 60-68 and some rain and drizzle periods. Summer heat could arrive after solstice or early July. Not holding much hope for any extended heat or even much heat at all this summer.

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This could be the warmest day, until the last 3-4 days if June. The blocking pattern continues strong through 6/25 on GEFs. European is even quite chilly starting next week. 6/8-6/18 may be 10-12 below normal stretch. Highs 60-68 and some rain and drizzle periods. Summer heat could arrive after solstice or early July. Not holding much hope for any extended heat or even much heat at all this summer.

you also called for a June 2009 redux, this is nothing like June 2009

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you also called for a June 2009 redux, this is nothing like June 2009

 

This could be the warmest day, until the last 3-4 days if June. The blocking pattern continues strong through 6/25 on GEFs. European is even quite chilly starting next week. 6/8-6/18 may be 10-12 below normal stretch. Highs 60-68 and some rain and drizzle periods. Summer heat could arrive after solstice or early July. Not holding much hope for any extended heat or even much heat at all this summer.

 

NYC is +3.1 for June already.

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Yeah, we have seen nothing as cool as the summer of 2009 since then. What passes for cool during the 2010's summers 

was close to or slightly below normal like we saw in 2014. Even the very cool start to last June

was mostly erased by the end of the month.

 

Less warm or near normal has been become the new cool relative to all the record heat

during the 2010's summers.

This month won't be anywhere near below normal. We might see a couple days below average but a -10 stretch for 10 days isn't happeneing. Of course warlock will say we all hyped the cooldown

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This could be the warmest day, until the last 3-4 days if June. The blocking pattern continues strong through 6/25 on GEFs. European is even quite chilly starting next week. 6/8-6/18 may be 10-12 below normal stretch. Highs 60-68 and some rain and drizzle periods. Summer heat could arrive after solstice or early July. Not holding much hope for any extended heat or even much heat at all this summer.

Doesn't the GEFS only run out to 6/22? And it looks like below normal heights until about 6/17 then its more or less flat- no real ridge or trough. The blocking upstream doesnt look very strong after that either. I don't have the Euro but the GEFS shows 2 days with 60s, then 70s, then its the 80s for the last few days of the run. Sounds like typical June to me. 

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Sub-70 highs and Sub-50 lows are being forecast. Looks more like May 8th than June 8th. Any record lows or minimum highs in the forecast?

Upton not impressed.  Temperatures will remain slightly below normal Thursday and Friday,

before returning to near normal temperatures for the weekend and

start of next week.

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