SACRUS Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 It will be interesting to see if Newark can go the rest of the month without 95 degree or higher major heat. Not reaching 95 over the rest of the month would set us up for less extreme July heat potential analogs. Remember that June 2010 to 2013 featured monthly highs of 96 to 102 and Julys in the +3 to +5 range. There have been no +3 or higher Julys following June not reaching 95 since 1980. Newark June maxes in low 90's since 1980 and the July Departure: 2016...91 so far 2015...93..........July....+1.6 2014...92..........July.....-0.4 1998...94..........July.....-0.2 1996...92...........July....-3.9 1992...90...........July....+0.1 1990...92............July...+1.0 1986...94............July....+0.1 1982...90............July.....+2.0 1980...94............July.....+2.5 Only shot appears to be 6/26-6/27 but even then may fall short. Interesting stats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 We actually have a fair amount of SBCAPE building in from the West so the NAM's depiction isn't completely off base Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 90...got my heatwave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 83/55 here...just perfect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Ewr 91. 2nd 90 of month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Starting to get gross in Manhattan! Subway tunnels starting to get that kill me feeling. At least for me... I belong at the beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Nice cell near 6 flags Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Nice cell near 6 flags Cells keep reforming further and further North. We'll see how far they make it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Nice cell near 6 flags Cells keep reforming further and further North. We'll see how far they make it I think Monmouth County will be as far north as they are going to get, but something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 I think Monmouth County will be as far north as they are going to get, but something to keep an eye on. that's about as far north as most modeling got today. Just missed it by 6-12 hrs further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Hearing multiple reports that a tornado touched down in Wildwood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Hearing multiple reports that a tornado touched down in Wildwood. WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 21, 2016 Author Share Posted June 21, 2016 that's about as far north as most modeling got today. Just missed it by 6-12 hrs further north. Drought starting to pick up steam now north of Monmouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Drought starting to pick up steam now north of Monmouth. 20160614_northeast_none.png Regardless of what the graphic shows, I've had plenty of rain here in NNJ. We have an annual deficit here because the first half of Spring was so dry but since the end of April I've done well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Regardless of what the graphic shows, I've had plenty of rain here in NNJ. We have an annual deficit here because the first half of Spring was so dry but since the end of April I've done well.Rainfall from sprinklers doesn't count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Drought starting to pick up steam now north of Monmouth. 20160614_northeast_none.png Eventually the tide is going to change and we will get into a wetter and more active pattern. As we know mother nature always balances itself out eventually so its only a matter of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Regardless of what the graphic shows, I've had plenty of rain here in NNJ. We have an annual deficit here because the first half of Spring was so dry but since the end of April I've done well. most of us have not see jack squat. underperforming or missed events week after week. One wet week saved most of us from it being desert dry (Memorial day to June 5th) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Rainfall from sprinklers doesn't count. Well played lolz However my rain has been allnautral Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 most of us have not see jack squat. underperforming or missed events week after week. Glad I don't live there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 21, 2016 Author Share Posted June 21, 2016 Eventually the tide is going to change and we will get into a wetter and more active pattern. As we know mother nature always balances itself out eventually so its only a matter of time. it will be interesting to see how long this drier pattern lasts. Outside the extreme August 2014 Islip deluge and the Wantagh flash flood last September, it has been dry here since after the historic rains of summer into fall 2011. It was quite a run of record rains from after the 2001-2002 drought until 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Well played lolz However my rain has been allnautral How much rain do you have since May 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 it will be interesting to see how long this drier pattern lasts. Outside the extreme August 14 Islip deluge and the Wantagh flash flood last September, it has been dry here since after the historic rains of summer into fall 2011. The tropics are ripe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 91f. Up to 9 90+ days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Must be the Pompton JP. Haven't seen squat in a while, and everything is brown. Then again it's usually 90 + here with clear skies everyday the past week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 How much rain do you have since May 1? 5.52" including 0.02" at KCDW which is my closest reporting station. I am still in Pompton Plains for another month but I am moving to Mahwah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 5.52" including 0.02" at KCDW which is my closest reporting station. I am still in Pompton Plains for another month but I am moving to Mahwah. Below average if i'm not mistaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 it will be interesting to see how long this drier pattern lasts. Outside the extreme August 2014 Islip deluge and the Wantagh flash flood last September, it has been dry here since after the historic rains of summer into fall 2011. It was quite a run of record rains from after the 2001-2002 drought until 2011. We've definitely flipped to a long term drier pattern after Irene. Even with great winter snows in '13-'15 it was cold and the water equivalent was not that impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Below average if i'm not mistaken. It could still be below average but I recorded measurable rain 15/31 days in May and 7/21 days so far in June. Only one event has been >1". I've been nickel and dimed to death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 it's the NAM at 18z, but it drenches some areas with 2-3 inches of rain in a short period on Thursday - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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