Morris Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Upper 90's on the Euro for next Tuesday. It chopped 20 degrees off of the high on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Upper 90's on the Euro for next Tuesday. It chopped 20 degrees off of the high on Monday. Is it possible that you can pm me what the euro shows for tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 I'll take it! What's it got longer range? Another trough towards the middle of the week which kicks the ULL East followed by another cut off low offshore next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Is it possible that you can pm me what the euro shows for tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Yes next Tuesday is upper 90's in spots but I would be aware of the fact that a cold front will already be approaching. It could be a pretty solid severe day if all the pieces fall into place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Pretty warm day today, current temp 86/DP 50/RH 28% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 what's causing the storm to back in? is there any blocking? Whole solution appears a bit odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 12z EPS has finally caught onto the big closed ULL. It's not as far West as the OP or the GGEM but it's there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 nam is weaker and slightly further south with tomorrow's rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 nam is weaker and slightly further south with tomorrow's rains Has 0.0 for the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 100 different solutions all in two days..such consistency in 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Light shower came through my area...may get clipped by another one but looks like everything moving quick. Unless something radically changes its a non event for me..no surprise there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Surprised the park got 0.20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Had a nice soaking this morning. The HRRR develops a mega MCS over Western PA later today. Too bad that it looks to dive Southeast and miss most of this area. Models are spitting out 2-4" of rain along the path. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Morris, on 16 Jun 2016 - 08:05 AM, said:Surprised the park got 0.20" Nothing measurable here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Models are completely missing the already well developed MCS in Western PA. The HRRR doesn't bring the MCS into PA until 19z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Even the 4k NAM has nothing this early in PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Surprised the park got 0.20" i live near the upper east side and for 10 to 15 minutes this morning it was pouring rain.. that is where the .20 in the park happened... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Zilch in Kensington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 6" on the NAM on the South side of DC. What a deluge they are about to receive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 6" on the NAM on the South side of DC. What a deluge they are about to receive. Flood watches up down there. No rain this far NE from this morning's action. Dry begets dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Flood watches up down there. No rain this far NE from this morning's action. Dry begets dry. 4k NAM has some sick totals down there. It will be interesting to see how that MCS in Western PA impacts things because none of the modeling has a good handle on it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 4k NAM has some sick totals down there. It will be interesting to see how that MCS in Western PA impacts things because none of the modeling has a good handle on it yet. just your run of the mill 6-8 inches of rain...LOL. Overdone most likely but wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 16, 2016 Author Share Posted June 16, 2016 just your run of the mill 6-8 inches of rain...LOL. Overdone most likely but wow Somebody is going to get a big dump in that region as the Euro has a 6.74" max. The south trend this year continues.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Somebody is going to get a big dump in that region as the Euro has a 6.74" max. Any chance that MCS makes it here later? The middle part of the line just went severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Any chance that MCS makes it here later? The middle part of the line just went severe. UM, it's dropping SSE. Zero chance it makes it to Baltimore let alone N NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 UM, it's dropping SSE. Zero chance it makes it to Baltimore let alone N NJ You think it's dropping SSE? I don't see that at all. I see it moving ESE. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=ccx&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 You think it's dropping SSE? I don't see that at all. I see it moving ESE. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=ccx&loop=yes it does for now, but models have the max around DC, so if it hit you, it would be a massive 6 hr model bustorama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 it does for now, but models have the max around DC, so if it hit you, it would be a massive 6 hr model bustorama. That's because the modeling has it completely falling apart before the main line comes in from Ohio around 19z. I think the models are grossly underestimating the strength of that MCS. That line currently stretches from WV up into NY and shows no signs of slowing down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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