bluewave Posted June 12, 2016 Author Share Posted June 12, 2016 2 alarm brush fire just south of the Belt Pky near Flatbush Ave now. Showing up clearly now on the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Showing up clearly now on the radar. WUNIDS_map.gif I can see it here at jones beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Interesting to note the relatively low barometer reading (29.60 at my station) which had been falling earlier and now leveled off to steady behind the cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 For the afternoon hours of a mid June day, temperatures in the lows 40's in Quebec, and 90's as close as Atlantic City; very impressive, highly anomalous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Its gonna be a shock to the system tomorrow am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Anyone see the euro for next Sunday? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Temps starting to drop off now. 78 DP 44 at my station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Had some crazy wind gusts about a half hour ago definitely over 40 as it took off some small branches from my huge silver maple Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 It's freezing here. 66 degrees with a brisk wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Perfect night. Windows open, enjoying the sound of crickets. Low dps temps in the mid 60s and falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Temps plummeted here once past 6pm. 62/48 with some still gusty winds-windows open...great sleeping weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Today's Highs ACY: 93 PHL: 90 EWR: 88 LGA: 86 TTN: 87 New Brunswick 87 NYC: 83 JFK: 87 TEB: 87 ISP: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Euro has a cutoff next weekend which dumps a ton of rain on us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Euro has a cutoff next weekend which dumps a ton of rain on usGFS has it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Today's Highs ACY: 93 PHL: 90 EWR: 89 LGA: 89 TTN: 87 New Brunswick 87 NYC: 87 JFK: 87 TEB: 87 ISP: 86 NYC was only 83, LGA was only 86, EWR was 88 per Daily Climate Reports this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Currently 52... Heading down into the 40s again. Since June 1st we have had quite a few nights up here with lows dipping into the Mid 40s. I want summer now thank you.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 13, 2016 Author Share Posted June 13, 2016 Around a 30 degree temperature drop for many locations from the highs yesterday. It's pretty rare to get 2 days so close together with 30 degree temperature drops at a place like Newark during the first half of June. A drop from 91 to 55 on the 11th and a fall of 88 yesterday the 12th to 58 today the 13th. You can thank the blocking for interrupting the heat from taking hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 The Euro is a multi day disaster towards the end of this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 13, 2016 Author Share Posted June 13, 2016 The Euro is a multi day disaster towards the end of this week. The EPS are stronger with the high to the north and further SE with the low than the OP. Don't have much confidence in post 120 hr Op Euro runs without EPS support. It may come down to how strong the block to our north is at the time on whether the low comes further north or more suppressed south like EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Around a 30 degree temperature drop for many locations from the highs yesterday. It's pretty rare to get 2 days so close together with 30 degree temperature drops at a place like Newark during the first half of June. A drop from 91 to 55 on the 11th and a fall of 88 yesterday the 12th to 58 today the 13th. You can thank the blocking for interrupting the heat from taking hold. another example of heat to cool in one day is June 14th, 1961...Max was 88 early and the min was 53 with rain later in the day...it was 96 on June 13th so it was quite the turn a round... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael05192016 Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 It looks like the blocking might go strong through the first quarter of July. I wonder if it keeps going straight at various levels through next winter without ever really leaving. Hot summer seems completely off the table for the Northeast, I am thinking for North of DC a complete shut out. The GEFS and CFS make this point for next 2-3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 The anticipated alterations to the NHEM circulation initiate by D7, and the transition into a hot/furnace regime across much of the country ensues. Geopotential heights significantly decrease near Greenland and AK/Beaufort Sea, resulting in an intensification of the zonal flow across the mid-latitudes. Expecting widespread 100s to develops in the Mid-west/Central US with differential advection induced MCS activity around the periphery of the mid level ridge. The summer pattern truly begins post June 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 It looks like the blocking might go strong through the first quarter of July. I wonder if it keeps going straight at various levels through next winter without ever really leaving. Hot summer seems completely off the table for the Northeast, I am thinking for North of DC a complete shut out. The GEFS and CFS make this point for next 2-3 weeks. Yeah - I'll go with a no on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 The EPS are stronger with the high to the north and further SE with the low than the OP. Don't have much confidence in post 120 hr Op Euro runs without EPS support. It may come down to how strong the block to our north is at the time on whether the low comes further north or more suppressed south like EPS. ps2png-atls05-95e2cf679cd58ee9b4db4dd119a05a8d-VBOLcV.png this run backed off from the inches of rain idea on the 12z run. i expect that trend to continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 It looks like the blocking might go strong through the first quarter of July. I wonder if it keeps going straight at various levels through next winter without ever really leaving. Hot summer seems completely off the table for the Northeast, I am thinking for North of DC a complete shut out. The GEFS and CFS make this point for next 2-3 weeks.Not happening lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Euro has a cutoff next weekend which dumps a ton of rain on us GFS has it too. Fantasy at this time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 13, 2016 Author Share Posted June 13, 2016 this run backed off from the inches of rain idea on the 12z run. i expect that trend to continue The one weakness of the OP Euro is that it can be too amplified after 120 hrs. But the good news is that the EPS are usually correct when they disagree with the OP. Interesting how the OP almost always finds the right solution 96-120 after being off 132-144 to 168. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 The one weakness of the OP Euro is that it can be too amplified after 120 hrs. But the good news is that the EPS are usually correct when they disagree with the OP. Interesting how the OP almost always finds the right solution 96-120 after being off 132-144 to 168. it did that all winter. Remember how excited we all were for the day 6-8 threat only to see if evaporate in the next few runs.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 It looks like the blocking might go strong through the first quarter of July. I wonder if it keeps going straight at various levels through next winter without ever really leaving. Hot summer seems completely off the table for the Northeast, I am thinking for North of DC a complete shut out. The GEFS and CFS make this point for next 2-3 weeks. We have record blocking and are still above average for June. Blocking doesnt mean cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 it did that all winter. Remember how excited we all were for the day 6-8 threat only to see if evaporate in the next few runs.... Except 1 storm produced the largest snowstorm in NYC's history. And models picked it up from 8 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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