Derecho! Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Not biased at all; typically the ppl calling for a bust are those looking for justification for sitting out on a chase. You guys are severely underestimating what this setup is likely to produce. Actually some of the bust calls (regardless of wx event) are from "cooler-than-thou" types trying to show off how levelheaded and unexcited they are as opposed to being hype-weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric In NW Ohio Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 A sun kink can do the same thing to the rail bed...and thats just because of expansive heating of the rail under extreme temperatures. So it looks to me the entire rail bed was physically shoved sideways as a unit by wind? In some ways that is even more impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 So it looks to me the entire rail bed was physically shoved sideways as a unit by wind? In some ways that is even more impressive. Considering how incredibly strong/sturdy and low to the ground these tracks are, and if heavy debris impacts weren't involved, this kind of warping and bending is likely the result of 200+ MPH winds. There is pretty much nothing for the wind to "grab onto", and it would take insanely high wind speeds right at ground level to do that. In a nutshell: probably EF5. Will we see that kind of rating given such a non-conventional DI? Probably not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Only 2:16pm folks. Multiple rounds likely, LLJ influence has not begun either. Most of this stuff is elevated junk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 The tornado activity in Oklahoma and Kansas sure has been impressive the last few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Looks like the storms around Topeka have finished merging into one large supercell. Something to watch with velocity getting more interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Only 2:16pm folks. Multiple rounds likely, LLJ influence has not begun either. Most of this stuff is elevated junk.A lot of it is surface based now.Activity in the Woodward area is more discrete and probably poses the best risk, in addition to anything that develops south of the ongoing activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 While its just now 2:25, these "elevated junk" is pretty far west in the MDT risk. I don't think we should be calling this a bust at this point but I don't see the problem with talking about how this junk could potentially be a limiting factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 A lot of it is surface based now. Activity in the Woodward area is more discrete and probably poses the best risk, in addition to anything that develops south of the ongoing activity. I'm talking about stuff in KS... Primarily near/east of I-135. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KSWx Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Man, flooding could get particularly problematic today, so many of these areas are already so saturated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 232 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016 KSC149-262000- /O.CON.KTOP.TO.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160526T2000Z/ POTTAWATOMIE- 232 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY... AT 232 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER WAMEGO... MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... WAMEGO AND LOUISVILLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Couplet on the Wamego, KS confirmed tor isn't anything special, but it's producing nonetheless. Hard to make it out even on BV... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Couplet on the Wamego, KS confirmed tor isn't anything special, but it's producing nonetheless. Hard to make it out even on BV... now 4 tornado reports today near Wamego/St George/Louisville KS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Didn't you guys who are calling bust at 230pm learn earlier this week when a lot of people said this week wasn't going to produce a whole lot? And look what it's done. Not gonna say anymore about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Couplet on the Wamego, KS confirmed tor isn't anything special, but it's producing nonetheless. Hard to make it out even on BV... Looks a lot better now just south of Louisville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 4 tornado warnings in progress. 3 in SC KS/N OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Wamego, KS storm with a better couplet now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Protection taking a direct hit if there's a tor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KSWx Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Storm NE of TOP looks like it may want to pop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Protection taking a direct hit if there's a tor.That one is gonna head right north into Greensburg possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Protection taking a direct hit if there's a tor. also the cell that just formed to its west SW of Minneola, its blowing up fast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Storm near Protection, KS has a nice couplet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Live stream from WIBW. http://www.wibw.com/livestream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Must have hit something near/in Protection. Pretty clear on CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Couple of cells NW of Topeka looking like they are trying to go as well, cell just north of St Marys starting to get that look... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjc3395 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Looks like a dominant cell has emerged and should begin tracking northeast soon in southwest ks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Crazy video from Big Spring, TX (aftermath right after tornado hits guys house) at the below link: http://www.ktxs.com/news/Big-Spring-man-dog-survive-tornado/39676500 And here's a video of one of the tornadoes actually touching down in Big Spring http://www.ktxs.com/news/video-tornado-touches-down-in-big-spring/39674112 None of those videos works, says video media not found or something. Impressive, but boy, quite a bit of hyperbole in initial reports, eh? Weren't people initially saying that the tracks were actually ripped out of the ground? Unless there is indeed more parts of the railroad that the tornado hit and ripped right out clean that haven't surfaced in media yet, the initial reports stating that would be outright lies. There is no accidental mistaking the two forms of damage. 6 TOR warnings ongoing, outbreak mode at 2:55 CDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 [quote name="Torchageddon" post="4125111" timestamp="1464292644" 6 TOR warnings ongoing, outbreak mode at 2:55 CDT. There's nothing outbreak-like about what's occurring right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rolltide_130 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 SPC still maintains the hatched 15% area. I'm not real sure about this. They're banking on that LLJ kicking in, and it better do so quick or we're going to be dealing with an MCS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 The line in SW Kansas is becoming more discrete though, there will a chance for 3 or 4 of those cells to get going here soon....the one between Coldwater and Greensburg in particular... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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