Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,613
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    RyRyB
    Newest Member
    RyRyB
    Joined

Active Severe Weather Pattern Beginning Next Week


Jim Martin

Recommended Posts

Currently the best looking supercell is in Mexico lol. Tops to 63KFT, has 60+dbz at 43KFT. Likely producing monster hail. Storm near Hedley, TX is looking quite sad right now, lost its SVR warning, tops below 40KFT now... Meanwhile CU is becoming increasingly agitated in NW OK/SW KS... Harper/Woods Co. OK, and Clark/Comanche Co. KS.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 1.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Heading E towards Alva, have a nice updraft right in front of me.

Looks like some stuff is trying to get going in Comanche county Kansas, as well as that stuff in front of you thats in Woods county OK. Just not shooting off yet... Which might be better, later initiation will likely mean a better tornado threat.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Currently the best looking supercell is in Mexico lol. Tops to 63KFT, has 60+dbz at 43KFT. Likely producing monster hail.

 

Its been a mega beast for over a hour, at one point having duel hooks. Its one of the more impressive supercells I've seen this year.

 

According to mesoanalysis there is 7000 SBCAPE near that storm across the border....

 

Explains it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Must be quite a cap in place or something...LLVL winds looks pretty meager on the VNX/DDC VWPs. Any storms in and north of the panhandle are just dying off.

 

The panhandle storms are fighting CIN (and losing), but I suspect the real problem is more a lack of upper support. There’s nothing as of yet to help these cells maintain robust updrafts, no clearly defined feature that would provide the strong upper wind fields needed, especially at h700, leaving updrafts vulnerable to very modest amounts of inhibition. I would guess this is one of those days where the missing ingredient (so far, anyway) has been the proverbial Large Scale Ascent, a term that is frequently tossed around in forecasts but almost never precisely defined, but which can make or break a chase day. In any event, low level winds should now be increasing, which should help things considerably.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah... winds at H7 are garbage today. 4000+J/KG of CAPE does not help crap if you have meager wind fields. Updraft longevity today has been terrible. With that said... as ct_yankee said, with LLVL winds increasing from both nocturnal-LLJ and influence from S/W over SE CO, storms might have a better chance at maintenance.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Supercell near Alanreed, TX in the panhandle is starting to look impressive.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
745 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2016
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN GRAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS...
  NORTH CENTRAL DONLEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS...
 
* UNTIL 815 PM CDT
    
* AT 745 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
  WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALANREED...OR 17 MILES NORTH OF
  CLARENDON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
 
  HAZARD...TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. 
 
  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 
 
  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. 
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE 
           DAMAGE IS LIKELY. 
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ALANREED AND LAKE MCCLELLAN. 
Link to comment
Share on other sites

TOR warning out for Woodward, OK now

Starting to get better organized... Quite a number of chasers on this storm! Is the first storm i've seen today over TX PH/W OK that actually seems legit. Top is nearly to 60KFT... Most other storms today could not even achieve 50KFT.

 

 Pretty close to producing...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL

WOODWARD COUNTY...

    

AT 834 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 4 MILES

NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WOODWARD...AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY.

 

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

 

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. 

 

SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. 

 

IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY 

         BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES 

         WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES...

         BUSINESSES...AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION 

         IS POSSIBLE. 

 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

WOODWARD AND MOORELAND. 

 

LAT...LON 3644 9942 3654 9947 3660 9922 3645 9917

TIME...MOT...LOC 0134Z 199DEG 4KT 3652 9942 

 

TORNADO...OBSERVED

TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

HAIL...2.50IN

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Has anyone kept track of how long that supercell has been going in mexico? Has a nice couplet right now. Pretty ridiculous...

Believe it developed sometime around 3pm, so its been going strong for quite a while! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...