Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,613
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    RyRyB
    Newest Member
    RyRyB
    Joined

May 16th Severe Potential


Jim Martin

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 69
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Lots of data missing from the AMA VWP, but from what is available (4-11kft) it appears to be impressive in the low-levels. No surprise that there is two semi-discrete/discrete intense supercells right now given the thermodynamics and deep-layer shear in place... Going to move into an increasingly favorable environment across the TX PH... Appears that it may eventually morph into a southeastward propagating cluster/bow-echo though. Low-level moisture is still pretty lacking, so the tornado threat still is not that great despite the impressive 0-3KM directional shear.

post-7962-0-18729600-1463439737_thumb.pn

Link to comment
Share on other sites

SPC oddly decided to upgrade 6 counties to a TOR watch.

ww0177_radar_big.gif

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY EVENING FROM 600 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD
INTO AN ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF LOW-LEVEL STORM ROTATION AND AN
ATTENDANT TORNADO RISK. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING GUSTS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE AS THE STORMS PERSIST THROUGH LATE EVENING.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Drove out to Shamrock with the girlfriend earlier this morning. Sat around in town till 3 PM until deciding it wasn't worth her having to use a sick day (night) over it. Back home now and nothing I've seen so far has changed my mind. Another potential decent chase event turned into garbage by a gulf coast MCS and other mitigating factors. Mind you if we had the conditions models were indicating yesterday we would have major tornadoes ongoing right now versus puny little dust whirls. Looks like we've transitioned over to a HP mode as well. Congrats to those who got the brief tornadoes today. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX  
856 PM CDT MON MAY 16 2016  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
NORTHERN HEMPHILL COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS...  
 
* UNTIL 930 PM CDT  
 
* AT 855 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CANADIAN...  
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.  
 
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.  
 
SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
 
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT  
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.  
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE  
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
CANADIAN...LAKE MARVIN AND GLAZIER.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...