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May 7th-9th Severe Weather Episodes


andyhb

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0573
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0549 PM CDT MON MAY 09 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST OK AND FAR NORTH TX TO AR

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 155...

VALID 092249Z - 092345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 155 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ASIDE FROM LARGE HAIL...A TORNADO RISK WILL CONTINUE
PARTICULARLY OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS /POTENTIALLY THROUGH AT LEAST
00-01Z/ ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL OK INTO SOUTHEAST OK AND
POSSIBLY EAST-CENTRAL OK. TORNADO WATCH 155 CONTINUES UNTIL 02Z/9PM
CDT.

DISCUSSION...FOUR DISTINCT SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL/CENTRAL OK ROUGHLY 35-40 MILES EAST OF I-35 AS OF 530
PM CDT...WITH THE MOST PROMINENT SUPERCELL WITH A HISTORY OF A
TORNADO AND HIGHER-END VELOCITY SIGNATURE CURRENTLY SHOWING A
WEAKENING TREND ACROSS PONTOTOC COUNTY OK. AFTER INITIATING NEAR THE
DRYLINE...THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY THRIVING IN A
BAROCLINICITY/VORTICITY-RICH ENVIRONMENT AIDED BY EARLY-DAY
PRECIPITATION/RESIDUAL CLOUD COVER. ENVIRONMENT 0-1 KM SRH IS LIKELY
IN EXCESS OF 250 M2/S2 PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST
OK AS SUBSTANTIATED BY KTLX WSR-88D VWP DATA AND CONTEMPORARY
MODIFICATIONS TO THE 18Z OBSERVED NORMAN SOUNDING. ACCORDINGLY...THE
TORNADO THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE PARTICULARLY FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL INTO
SOUTHEAST OK. THIS CORRIDOR IS OBSERVATIONALLY CONSISTENT WITH
REGIONALLY MAXIMIZED PRESSURE FALLS...A CONTINUED TENDENCY FOR A
BACKING OF LOW-LEVEL WINDS....AND WARMER AIR ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OK
AND ADJACENT ARKLATEX /SOMEWHAT COOLER TEMPERATURES AND THICKER
CLOUD COVER HAS PERSISTED ACROSS PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
OK/.

..GUYER.. 05/09/2016

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Anyone got anything heading to Tulsa?? I've scanned every radar I can but there is a lot of uncertainty.

Sent from my HTC6525LVW using Tapatalk

 

Smokey, I've followed your posts for a minute on this thread. Judging from your responses, I'd venture to guess you're a bit freaked out by severe weather. No worries, completely understand. It was my fear of severe weather as a child that drove me to be interested in it. Take a deep breath, keep a weather radio nearby, and for God's sake, if you have a fear of severe weather, get off this forum, as it's only going to exasperate the problem. A similar correlation would be a hypochondriac visiting webmd. Not a good idea. 

 

Stay safe. 

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