Solak Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 So, where in the bloody hell is this super duper desert dry catastrophic LA NINA that we were supposed to flip to this spring/summer again? Sick and tired of rain every day. I've literally seen rain/storms every single day since last Wednesday. I'm ready for the friggin' drought. Don't feel bad. It's rained up in DC for 15 consecutive days now. Yesterday broke the record for most days in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 The AFD changes have less visual accuity Lol...they look ridiculous now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 One of the Colorado tornadoes. Pretty amazing to watch albeit hardheaded to get that close imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 That is awesome to watch, but I am surprised more people have not been killed chasing tornadoes and trying to be a Youtube star. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted May 11, 2016 Author Share Posted May 11, 2016 That is awesome to watch, but I am surprised more people have not been killed chasing tornadoes and trying to be a Youtube star. I agree, but zoom lenses often make it seem like they are much closer than they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bjb7QtMEBUg One of the Colorado tornadoes. Pretty amazing to watch albeit hardheaded to get that close imo Amazing how the funnel hovered right above the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 JAMSTEC DJF Surface Temp Anomaly (time to head for Alaska): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 JAMSTEC DJF Surface Temp Anomaly (time to head for Alaska): Amazing how that type of long range forecast will verify It is a major concern for this upcoming winter as it almost surely will not be as rewarding for cold or snow lovers as this past year I can see overnight lows of 53 degrees already at 5000 feet for periods of time next winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 nchighcountrywx, on 11 May 2016 - 3:07 PM, said: Amazing how that type of long range forecast will verify It is a major concern for this upcoming winter as it almost surely will not be as rewarding for cold or snow lovers as this past year I can see overnight lows of 53 degrees already at 5000 feet for periods of time next winter Lol..I'm sure you might get one night of 53; with a raging south wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 AFDs here are still upper case http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KGSP/1605111858.fxus62.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 Wow, found out why the Airforce choice of model is the GALWEM and not the GFS. Forecast for RJTY had 12c at 0000z and GALWEM had 18c. It was already 16c at Yokota AB at 2200Z. Either the GFS just completely sucks for helping with a forecast over Japan and South Korea, or it sucks entirely. The verification scores have been poor recently, but I believe it just got upgraded today. Let's see if that makes any difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 meant to say grapefruit size in my salad here today wrong thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 Wow, found out why the Airforce choice of model is the GALWEM and not the GFS. Forecast for RJTY had 12c at 0000z and GALWEM had 18c. It was already 16c at Yokota AB at 2200Z. Either the GFS just completely sucks for helping with a forecast over Japan and South Korea, or it sucks entirely. The verification scores have been poor recently, but I believe it just got upgraded today. Let's see if that makes any difference. FWIW - this was posted this morning re: GFS upgrade. Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 47m47 minutes ago Pennsylvania, USA Horrid start with GFS upgrade 12z yesterday as its 5-10 was lousy compared to what is going on ( new run) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 The new upgrade is beyond horrible. It shows temps going below 30 in parts of the triad Monday morning and below 40 over much of NC and upstate SC. It's only going to be wrong by 15-25 degrees, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 12Z shows 43 for here... forecast calling for 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 12Z shows 43 for here... forecast calling for 50. 12z is still off a good bit, but the 6z was crazy. It had me down to 39 Monday morning. Our forecast low is at 50 for Monday. I just can't see that 39 here and the 20's in the mountains that the 6z had verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 The new upgrade is beyond horrible. It shows temps going below 30 in parts of the triad Monday morning and below 40 over much of NC and upstate SC. It's only going to be wrong by 15-25 degrees, lol. That should be fun when we get to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 That should be fun when we get to winter. I have a feeling you guys will have "fun" with the models either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 I have a feeling you guys will have "fun" with the models either way. I only use DGEX in the winter! It is right as much as the Euro and GFS ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 I only use DGEX in the winter! It is right as much as the Euro and GFS ! I like to look at the Jamstec and extrapolate forward for each day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted May 14, 2016 Share Posted May 14, 2016 Don't know what to expect my first winter in Boone. Going to miss the 30s with rain, ice, slop, sleet, will be stuck with all snow probably throughout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 14, 2016 Share Posted May 14, 2016 Don't know what to expect my first winter in Boone. Going to miss the 30s with rain, ice, slop, sleet, will be stuck with all snow probably throughout.You'll be too far NW. You get flurries, Wilkesboro jackpots with 11+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted May 15, 2016 Share Posted May 15, 2016 the snakes are out bad. 1 black snake and 1 copperhead so far both 3-4ft long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 ... Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 3 am Monday to noon MDTTuesday...The National Weather Service in Denver has issued a WinterWeather Advisory for snow... which is in effect from 3 am tonight tonoon MDT Tuesday. The conditions will be worst in the highermountian passes.* Timing... snow will begin late tonight... and become heavy attimes Monday afternoon and evening.* Snow accumulations... total accumulations of two to two and ahalf feet will be possible above 10000 feet by midday Tuesday.Expect up to 4 inches tonight and up to 8 inches Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 Are we back live again??? I've been getting a server error for the past 4-5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 It's felt like spring, summer, and fall here this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 It's felt like spring, summer, and fall here this month. It feels like summer everyday down here. I don't start work until next Monday, so I have spent the first couple days of this week doing some exploring. There's definitely some nice outdoors stuff to do down here... if you can stand the heat. St. Marks Nature Preserve is really nice. I got an annual pass there and plan to be back on a regular basis. Too bad they are renovating the lighthouse right now. I got my FL driver's license and car registered in FL this morning, which was surprisingly easy. I was in and out in around 20 minutes. I don't know if I was lucky or if it was because it was a Monday morning, or maybe FL is just that much better at DMVing than NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 Good news to get so much accomplished on a Monday! Looking forward to your weather reports --- since a lot of your weather sometimes eventually becomes our weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 I didn't realize until today that North GA is in a moderate drought despite a very wet winter. I thought El Ninos usually meant a wet spring ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 I didn't realize until today that North GA is in a moderate drought despite a very wet winter. I thought El Ninos usually meant a wet spring ?Not in a Godzilla niño ! We are looking at a Chihuahua Niña , and a great winter! Just a long, hot, drought infested summer away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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