Snowlover11 Posted May 4, 2016 Share Posted May 4, 2016 light rain/drizzle. This weather is depressing! If it's gunna rain give me heavy rain and thunder at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 4, 2016 Share Posted May 4, 2016 .20" today, .70" yesterday, and .34" over the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted May 4, 2016 Share Posted May 4, 2016 24 hours of moderate drizzle added up to .20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted May 4, 2016 Share Posted May 4, 2016 Got in a full day of lawns today..hurray for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsplex Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 May 10th ish. Yeah im seeing 2 decent days then back to cool garbage rain off and on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Yeah im seeing 2 decent days then back to cool garbage rain off and on Yeah. This is very May 2009ish, unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Yeah im seeing 2 decent days then back to cool garbage rain off and on ...what a terrible stretch of weather..and its NOT over..desperately seeking some sunshine. will this ever end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 You can see the cooler pattern lingering as the blocking is slower to weaken from the near record -EPO drop in late March and the strong -AO in April. Posters were unhappy in recent years about the lack of a -AO. This year is showing that it's back with two months so far below -1. In fact, April had the strongest -AO readings for the month at -1.051 since 1996. Strongest April -AO readings on record 1966...-1.837 1996...-1.525 1979...-1.157 1973...-1.126 2016...-1.051 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/monthly.ao.index.b50.current.ascii.table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Yeah im seeing 2 decent days then back to cool garbage rain off and on The 6z gfs had some nice temps after Monday if you are grasping for straws like I am. If we do string together a few dry days in the 70s-80s next week the tree growth is going to explode and it will be bad for allergies. I'd still take that over endless 49 degree drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 My May mean temperature of 49.5F thus far is almost identical to December 2015's final mean. Impressive. 3/5 May days with highs < 50F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 My May mean temperature of 49.5F thus far is almost identical to December 2015's final mean. Impressive. 3/5 May days with highs < 50F.Gonna be one of the coolest first weeks of May for my station...we'll see where we end up come Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Gonna be one of the coolest first weeks of May for my station...we'll see where we end up come Saturday. I guess we will see if we end the current streak of 10 consecutive months above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Gonna be one of the coolest first weeks of May for my station...we'll see where we end up come Saturday. Today is the 10th day in a row with below normal temperatures in NYC. So the streak of no 10 days in a row below normal since February 2015 is finally over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 I guess we will see if we end the current streak of 10 consecutive months above average. No real heat on the GFS through 16 days. I'm assuming we finally have a month that ends below average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Nice little storm tomorrow backing in NW off the Atlantic. Sometimes these storms getting pulled in from the east can surprise to the upside. The 4km and the Euro have some heavy showers possible thunder across LI and gusty winds. The strong onshore flow combined with the spring tides should get us close to moderate coastal flooding especially with the evening high tide. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_12z/rloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Nice little storm tomorrow backing in NW off the Atlantic. Sometimes these storms getting pulled in from the east can surprise to the upside. The 4km and the Euro have some heavy showers possible thunder across LI and gusty winds. The strong onshore flow combined with the spring tides should get us close to moderate coastal flooding especially with the evening high tide. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_12z/rloop.html the 18z runs are in better agreement and give most of the nyc area .75"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 I think the last week or so of May could become very warm to potentially hot. There will be a cool shot later next week / mid May induced largely by declining AAM/-MT and its concomitant –EPO pulse. However, the –EPO block will gradually retrograde, yielding a more Nina-like mid level configuration by late May; Aleutian ridging w/ downstream Western US troughing should promote a burgeoning ridge in the East as the vortex lifts nwd in Canada. We’ll be much colder than normal (departure wise) heading into May 20th, but it’s possible the last week of May makes a significant dent into the negatives, possibly even erasing it entirely depending upon the speed with which this pattern evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 I think the last week or so of May could become very warm to potentially hot. There will be a cool shot later next week / mid May induced largely by declining AAM/-MT and its concomitant –EPO pulse. However, the –EPO block will gradually retrograde, yielding a more Nina-like mid level configuration by late May; Aleutian ridging w/ downstream Western US troughing should promote a burgeoning ridge in the East as the vortex lifts nwd in Canada. We’ll be much colder than normal (departure wise) heading into May 20th, but it’s possible the last week of May makes a significant dent into the negatives, possibly even erasing it entirely depending upon the speed with which this pattern evolves. this happened in 95 and 05 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Appreciate the longer range thoughts and details guys. We get plenty of discussion for D-J-F, but much less for spring and summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 You can see the cooler pattern lingering as the blocking is slower to weaken from the near record -EPO drop in late March and the strong -AO in April. Posters were unhappy in recent years about the lack of a -AO. This year is showing that it's back with two months so far below -1. In fact, April had the strongest -AO readings for the month at -1.051 since 1996. Strongest April -AO readings on record 1966...-1.837 1996...-1.525 1979...-1.157 1973...-1.126 2016...-1.051 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/monthly.ao.index.b50.current.ascii.table 500.gif 1966 strikes again...1973 is in there also...Both had cool Mays and a warmer than average June thru August...1966 had a very dry Spring and Summer...1973 had a wet Spring... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Tomorrow will be the 11th consecutive day of below average temperatures. Saturday can go either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 .50+ on both the euro and GFS. Nam has over a inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 .50+ on both the euro and GFS. Nam has over a inch GFS was 0.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 10/12 of the gfes members on e-wall have 1"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 GFS was 0.9" Where? Areawide? Gfs was barely 1/4" at 12z around here, havent looked at 18z yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 Where? Areawide? Gfs was barely 1/4" at 12z around here, havent looked at 18z yet. .5+ for u and .75+ gets to ewr on my sv maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 Going to be a good looking radar tomorrow morning with bands coming off the ocean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 18z RGEM jackpots NYC south and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 18z RGEM jackpots NYC south and west Wow, this is a really interesting set up. Look at that gradient in NJ alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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